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Louisville at Tennessee: Money Line Analysis

Tuesday Dec 16, 2025 7:00 pm - Knoxville, TN
Odds: Tennessee by 4.5, Total Points: 156.5

Matchup Menu: LOU @ TENN

More Games From Dec 16, 2025

Money Line Predictions

Value Pick Model Confidence
Tennessee -168 Official TR Pick Model shows 2% value
Tennessee -168 Decision Tree Model shows 3% value
Louisville +148 Power Rating Model Model shows 18% value
Louisville +148 Similar Games Model shows 2% value
Louisville +148 Predictive Ratings Model shows 14% value

Money Line Situational Trends

Record LOU adv TENN
Season 22-9 21-10
vs Division 0-0 0-0
vs Conference 12-8 12-8
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Last 10 5-5 5-5
Home 15-2 14-3
Away 9-9 11-9

Louisville Detailed Win/Loss Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Score Result Margin
11/03 Home S Carolina St 104-45 W +59.0
11/06 Home Jackson St 106-70 W +36.0
11/11 Home Kentucky 96-88 W +8.0
11/15 Home Ohio 106-81 W +25.0
11/21 Neutral Cincinnati 74-64 W +10.0
11/24 Home E Michigan 87-46 W +41.0
11/26 Home NJIT 104-47 W +57.0
12/03 Away Arkansas 80-89 L -9.0
12/06 Neutral Indiana 87-78 W +9.0
12/13 Home Memphis 99-73 W +26.0
12/16 Away Tennessee 62-83 L -21.0
12/20 Home Montana 94-54 W +40.0
12/30 Away California 90-70 W +20.0
01/02 Away Stanford 76-80 L -4.0
01/06 Home Duke 73-84 L -11.0
01/10 Home Boston College 75-62 W +13.0
01/13 Home Virginia 70-79 L -9.0
01/17 Away Pittsburgh 100-59 W +41.0
01/24 Home Virginia Tech 85-71 W +14.0
01/26 Away Duke 52-83 L -31.0
01/31 Home SMU 88-74 W +14.0
02/04 Home Notre Dame 76-65 W +11.0
02/07 Away Wake Forest 88-80 W +8.0
02/09 Home NC State 118-77 W +41.0
02/14 Neutral Baylor 82-71 W +11.0
02/17 Away SMU 85-95 L -10.0
02/21 Home Georgia Tech 87-70 W +17.0
02/23 Away North Carolina 74-77 L -3.0
02/28 Away Clemson 75-80 L -5.0
03/03 Home Syracuse 77-62 W +15.0
03/07 Away Miami 92-89 W +3.0
03/11 Neutral SMU 62-58 W +4.0
03/12 Neutral Miami 73-78 L -5.0
03/19 Neutral S Florida 83-79 W +4.0
03/21 Neutral Michigan St 69-77 L -8.0

Tennessee Detailed Win/Loss Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Score Result Margin
11/03 Home Mercer 76-61 W +15.0
11/08 Home N Kentucky 95-56 W +39.0
11/12 Home N Florida 99-66 W +33.0
11/17 Home Rice 91-66 W +25.0
11/20 Home Tennessee St 89-60 W +29.0
11/24 Neutral Rutgers 85-60 W +25.0
11/25 Neutral Houston 76-73 W +3.0
11/26 Neutral Kansas 76-81 L -5.0
12/02 Away Syracuse 60-62 L -2.0
12/06 Neutral Illinois 62-75 L -13.0
12/16 Home Louisville 83-62 W +21.0
12/21 Home Gardner-Webb 94-52 W +42.0
12/30 Home S Carolina St 105-54 W +51.0
01/03 Away Arkansas 75-86 L -11.0
01/06 Home Texas 85-71 W +14.0
01/10 Away Florida 67-91 L -24.0
01/13 Home Texas A&M 87-82 W +5.0
01/17 Home Kentucky 78-80 L -2.0
01/24 Away Alabama 79-73 W +6.0
01/28 Away Georgia 86-85 W +1.0
01/31 Home Auburn 77-69 W +8.0
02/03 Home Mississippi 84-66 W +18.0
02/07 Away Kentucky 71-74 L -3.0
02/11 Away Mississippi St 73-64 W +9.0
02/14 Home LSU 73-63 W +10.0
02/18 Home Oklahoma 89-66 W +23.0
02/21 Away Vanderbilt 69-65 W +4.0
02/24 Away Missouri 69-73 L -4.0
02/28 Home Alabama 69-71 L -2.0
03/03 Away South Carolina 78-59 W +19.0
03/07 Home Vanderbilt 82-86 L -4.0
03/12 Neutral Auburn 72-62 W +10.0
03/13 Neutral Vanderbilt 68-75 L -7.0
03/20 Neutral Miami OH 78-56 W +22.0
03/22 Neutral Virginia 79-72 W +7.0
03/27 Neutral Iowa St 76-62 W +14.0
03/29 Neutral Michigan 62-95 L -33.0