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Louisville at Tennessee: Point Spread Line Movement

Tuesday Dec 16, 2025 7:00 pm - Knoxville, TN
Odds: Tennessee by 4.5, Total Points: 156.5

More Games From Dec 16, 2025
TENN -4.5 Open +1.5 High -4.5
Last -3.5 Low +1.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3901 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Tennessee won the game 2521 times (64.6%).
  • The team like Louisville won the game 1380 times (35.4%).
  • The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 1953-1902-46 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 6 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 2-1 (66.7% ATS).

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -4.5 -4.5 --
Open +1.5 +1.5 --
History
12/16 06:55 PM -- -4.5 --
12/16 06:46 PM -4.5 -- --
12/16 06:35 PM -- -3.5 --
12/16 06:30 PM -3.5 -- --
12/16 03:05 PM -- -3.5 --
12/16 02:15 PM -- -3.5 --
12/16 02:12 PM -2.5 -- --
12/16 01:55 PM -- -3.5 --
12/16 01:44 PM -3.5 -- --
12/16 11:54 AM -2.5 -- --
12/16 09:56 AM -2.5 -- --
12/16 09:55 AM -- -2.5 --
12/16 09:25 AM -- -2.5 --
12/16 09:16 AM -1.5 -- --
12/16 07:45 AM -- -2.5 --
12/16 07:38 AM -2.5 -- --
12/16 07:35 AM -- -1.5 --
12/16 06:35 AM -- -1.5 --
12/16 06:32 AM -1.5 -- --
12/15 11:05 PM -- -1.5 --
12/15 10:46 PM -1.5 -- --
12/15 10:45 PM -- -1.5 --
12/15 09:35 PM -- -1.5 --
12/15 09:30 PM +1.5 -- --
12/15 09:16 PM -1.5 -- --
12/15 07:35 PM -- +1.5 --
12/15 07:26 PM -1.5 -- --
12/15 01:25 PM -- +1.5 --
12/15 01:14 PM +1.5 -- --
12/14 05:28 PM +1.5 -- --