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Louisville at North Carolina: Money Line Analysis

Monday Feb 23, 2026 7:00 pm - Chapel Hill, NC
Odds: Louisville by 3.5, Total Points: 162.5

Matchup Menu: LOU @ UNC

More Games From Feb 23, 2026

Money Line Predictions

Value Pick Model Confidence
North Carolina +155 Official TR Pick Model shows 1% value
North Carolina +155 Power Rating Model Model shows 13% value
North Carolina +155 Similar Games Model shows 14% value
North Carolina +155 Decision Tree Model shows 12% value
North Carolina +155 Predictive Ratings Model shows 8% value

Money Line Situational Trends

Record LOU adv UNC
Season 22-9 24-7
vs Division 0-0 0-0
vs Conference 12-8 12-7
Streak L1 L3
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Last 10 5-5 5-5
Home 15-2 18-0
Away 9-9 6-9

Louisville Detailed Win/Loss Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Score Result Margin
11/03 Home S Carolina St 104-45 W +59.0
11/06 Home Jackson St 106-70 W +36.0
11/11 Home Kentucky 96-88 W +8.0
11/15 Home Ohio 106-81 W +25.0
11/21 Neutral Cincinnati 74-64 W +10.0
11/24 Home E Michigan 87-46 W +41.0
11/26 Home NJIT 104-47 W +57.0
12/03 Away Arkansas 80-89 L -9.0
12/06 Neutral Indiana 87-78 W +9.0
12/13 Home Memphis 99-73 W +26.0
12/16 Away Tennessee 62-83 L -21.0
12/20 Home Montana 94-54 W +40.0
12/30 Away California 90-70 W +20.0
01/02 Away Stanford 76-80 L -4.0
01/06 Home Duke 73-84 L -11.0
01/10 Home Boston College 75-62 W +13.0
01/13 Home Virginia 70-79 L -9.0
01/17 Away Pittsburgh 100-59 W +41.0
01/24 Home Virginia Tech 85-71 W +14.0
01/26 Away Duke 52-83 L -31.0
01/31 Home SMU 88-74 W +14.0
02/04 Home Notre Dame 76-65 W +11.0
02/07 Away Wake Forest 88-80 W +8.0
02/09 Home NC State 118-77 W +41.0
02/14 Neutral Baylor 82-71 W +11.0
02/17 Away SMU 85-95 L -10.0
02/21 Home Georgia Tech 87-70 W +17.0
02/23 Away North Carolina 74-77 L -3.0
02/28 Away Clemson 75-80 L -5.0
03/03 Home Syracuse 77-62 W +15.0
03/07 Away Miami 92-89 W +3.0
03/11 Neutral SMU 62-58 W +4.0
03/12 Neutral Miami 73-78 L -5.0
03/19 Neutral S Florida 83-79 W +4.0
03/21 Neutral Michigan St 69-77 L -8.0

North Carolina Detailed Win/Loss Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Score Result Margin
11/03 Home C Arkansas 94-54 W +40.0
11/07 Home Kansas 87-74 W +13.0
11/11 Home Radford 89-74 W +15.0
11/14 Home NC Central 97-53 W +44.0
11/18 Home Navy 73-61 W +12.0
11/25 Neutral St Bonaventure 85-70 W +15.0
11/27 Neutral Michigan St 58-74 L -16.0
12/02 Away Kentucky 67-64 W +3.0
12/07 Home Georgetown 81-61 W +20.0
12/13 Home SC Upstate 80-62 W +18.0
12/16 Home E Tennessee St 77-58 W +19.0
12/20 Neutral Ohio St 71-70 W +1.0
12/22 Home E Carolina 99-51 W +48.0
12/30 Home Florida St 79-66 W +13.0
01/03 Away SMU 83-97 L -14.0
01/10 Home Wake Forest 87-84 W +3.0
01/14 Away Stanford 90-95 L -5.0
01/17 Away California 78-84 L -6.0
01/21 Home Notre Dame 91-69 W +22.0
01/24 Away Virginia 85-80 W +5.0
01/31 Away Georgia Tech 91-75 W +16.0
02/02 Home Syracuse 87-77 W +10.0
02/07 Home Duke 71-68 W +3.0
02/10 Away Miami 66-75 L -9.0
02/14 Home Pittsburgh 79-65 W +14.0
02/17 Away NC State 58-82 L -24.0
02/21 Away Syracuse 77-64 W +13.0
02/23 Home Louisville 77-74 W +3.0
02/28 Home Virginia Tech 89-82 W +7.0
03/03 Home Clemson 67-63 W +4.0
03/07 Away Duke 61-76 L -15.0
03/12 Neutral Clemson 79-80 L -1.0
03/19 Neutral VCU 78-82 L -4.0