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Louisville at North Carolina: Recap

Monday Feb 23, 2026 7:00 pm - Chapel Hill, NC
Odds: Louisville by 3.5, Total Points: 162.5

Matchup Menu: LOU @ UNC

More Games From Feb 23, 2026
Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Louisville LOU 60.1%
UNC 39.9%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
UNC +3.5 LOU 49.0%
UNC 51.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 162.5 Over 53.0%
Under 47.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
UNC +155 LOU -5.4%
UNC +0.7%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
LOU 83.6 83.0 74
UNC 80.3 79.5 77

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU UNC
Points/Game 84.3 79.7
Avg Score Margin +11.7 +8.1
Assists/Game 17.1 16.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 38.3 38.2
Effective FG % 56.5% 54.3%
Off Rebound % 31.6% 28.8%
FTA/FGA 0.331 0.371
Turnover % 14.5% 12.0%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU UNC
Opp Points/Game 72.5 71.6
Opp Effective FG % 48.7% 48.3%
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.1 8.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 25.9 25.9
Blocks/Game 3.3 3.4
Steals/Game 6.8 5.4
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.5 14.7