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Duke at Notre Dame: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Feb 24, 2026 7:00 pm - South Bend, IN
Odds: Duke by 16.5, Total Points: 142.5

Matchup Menu: DUKE @ ND

More Games From Feb 24, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 142.5	Official TR Pick	56% odds to go under
Under 142.5	Decision Tree	56% odds to go under
Over 142.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	DUKE	ND
Season	14-24-0	22-9-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-12-0	15-3-0
Streak	Ov 2	Ov 8
Last 5	3-2-0	5-0-0
Last 10	5-5-0	9-1-0
Home	5-10-0	14-3-0
Away	9-14-0	8-6-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Duke Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Neutral	Texas	154.0	75-60	Under	-19.0
11/08	Home	W Carolina	153.0	95-54	Under	-4.0
11/11	Away	Army	153.5	114-59	Over	+19.5
11/14	Home	Indiana St	163.5	100-62	Under	-1.5
11/18	Neutral	Kansas	148.5	78-66	Under	-4.5
11/21	Home	Niagara	145.0	100-42	Under	-3.0
11/23	Home	Howard	151.0	93-56	Under	-2.0
11/27	Neutral	Arkansas	160.0	80-71	Under	-9.0
12/02	Home	Florida	157.5	67-66	Under	-24.5
12/06	Away	Michigan St	141.5	66-60	Under	-15.5
12/16	Home	Lipscomb	152.0	97-73	Over	+18.0
12/20	Neutral	Texas Tech	152.5	81-82	Over	+10.5
12/31	Home	Georgia Tech	153.5	85-79	Over	+10.5
01/03	Away	Florida St	163.0	91-87	Over	+15.0
01/06	Away	Louisville	160.5	84-73	Under	-3.5
01/10	Home	SMU	156.0	82-75	Over	+1.0
01/14	Away	California	149.0	71-56	Under	-22.0
01/17	Away	Stanford	149.0	80-50	Under	-19.0
01/24	Home	Wake Forest	151.5	90-69	Over	+7.5
01/26	Home	Louisville	157.0	83-52	Under	-22.0
01/31	Away	Virginia Tech	148.0	72-58	Under	-18.0
02/03	Home	Boston College	141.5	67-49	Under	-25.5
02/07	Away	North Carolina	151.5	68-71	Under	-12.5
02/10	Away	Pittsburgh	136.5	70-54	Under	-12.5
02/14	Home	Clemson	134.0	67-54	Under	-13.0
02/16	Home	Syracuse	145.0	101-64	Over	+20.0
02/21	Neutral	Michigan	150.5	68-63	Under	-19.5
02/24	Away	Notre Dame	142.5	100-56	Over	+13.5
02/28	Home	Virginia	142.5	77-51	Under	-14.5
03/02	Away	NC State	150.5	93-64	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	North Carolina	147.5	76-61	Under	-10.5
03/12	Neutral	Florida St	150.5	80-79	Over	+8.5
03/13	Neutral	Clemson	134.5	73-61	Under	-0.5
03/14	Neutral	Virginia	139.5	74-70	Over	+4.5
03/19	Neutral	Siena	137.5	71-65	Under	-1.5
03/21	Neutral	TCU	141.5	81-58	Under	-2.5
03/27	Neutral	St John's	140.5	80-75	Over	+14.5
03/29	Neutral	UConn	135.5	72-73	Over	+9.5

Notre Dame Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	LIU	137.0	89-67	Over	+19.0
11/07	Home	Detroit Mercy	148.0	102-70	Over	+24.0
11/11	Home	E Illinois	143.5	78-58	Under	-7.5
11/16	Away	Ohio St	156.5	63-64	Under	-29.5
11/19	Home	Bellarmine	151.5	86-79	Over	+13.5
11/24	Neutral	Kansas	142.5	61-71	Under	-10.5
11/25	Neutral	Rutgers	140.5	68-63	Under	-9.5
11/26	Neutral	Houston	133.0	56-66	Under	-11.0
12/02	Home	Missouri	146.5	76-71	Over	+0.5
12/05	Away	TCU	141.5	87-85	Over	+30.5
12/10	Home	Idaho	144.5	80-65	Over	+0.5
12/13	Home	Evansville	136.5	82-58	Over	+3.5
12/21	Home	Purdue FW	149.0	69-72	Under	-8.0
12/30	Away	Stanford	144.0	47-40	Under	-57.0
01/02	Away	California	138.5	71-72	Over	+4.5
01/10	Home	Clemson	133.5	61-76	Over	+3.5
01/13	Home	Miami	143.0	69-81	Over	+7.0
01/17	Away	Virginia Tech	143.0	76-89	Over	+22.0
01/21	Away	North Carolina	149.0	69-91	Over	+11.0
01/24	Home	Boston College	136.5	68-64	Under	-4.5
01/27	Home	Virginia	146.0	97-100	Over	+51.0
01/31	Away	Syracuse	147.5	72-86	Over	+10.5
02/04	Away	Louisville	156.5	65-76	Under	-15.5
02/07	Home	Florida St	153.0	79-82	Over	+8.0
02/10	Away	SMU	154.0	81-89	Over	+16.0
02/14	Home	Georgia Tech	150.0	89-74	Over	+13.0
02/21	Away	Pittsburgh	138.0	68-73	Over	+3.0
02/24	Home	Duke	142.5	56-100	Over	+13.5
02/28	Home	NC State	154.5	96-90	Over	+31.5
03/04	Home	Stanford	147.5	78-86	Over	+16.5
03/07	Away	Boston College	141.5	69-77	Over	+4.5