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Duke at Notre Dame: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Feb 24, 2026 7:00 pm - South Bend, IN
Odds: Duke by 16.5, Total Points: 142.5

Matchup Menu: DUKE @ ND

More Games From Feb 24, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Duke -16.5 Official TR Pick Duke 51% odds to cover
Duke -16.5 Decision Tree Duke 52% odds to cover
Notre Dame +16.5 Power Rating Model Notre Dame 61% odds to cover
Notre Dame +16.5 Similar Games Notre Dame 53% odds to cover
Notre Dame +16.5 Predictive Ratings Notre Dame 54% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record DUKE adv ND
Season 20-18-0 15-16-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-10-0 7-11-0
Streak L2 L2
Last 5 1-4-0 1-4-0
Last 10 4-6-0 4-6-0
Home 7-8-0 8-9-0
Away 13-10-0 7-7-0

Duke Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Neutral Texas -10.5 W by 15 +4.5
11/08 Home W Carolina -37.0 W by 41 +4.0
11/11 Away Army -34.5 W by 55 +20.5
11/14 Home Indiana St -36.5 W by 38 +1.5
11/18 Neutral Kansas -11.0 W by 12 +1.0
11/21 Home Niagara -39.5 W by 58 +18.5
11/23 Home Howard -43.5 W by 37 -6.5
11/27 Neutral Arkansas -12.5 W by 9 -3.5
12/02 Home Florida -9.5 W by 1 -8.5
12/06 Away Michigan St -1.0 W by 6 +5.0
12/16 Home Lipscomb -32.0 W by 24 -8.0
12/20 Neutral Texas Tech -10.0 L by 1 -11.0
12/31 Home Georgia Tech -27.5 W by 6 -21.5
01/03 Away Florida St -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
01/06 Away Louisville (Pick) W by 11 +11.0
01/10 Home SMU -16.0 W by 7 -9.0
01/14 Away California -14.0 W by 15 +1.0
01/17 Away Stanford -11.0 W by 30 +19.0
01/24 Home Wake Forest -18.0 W by 21 +3.0
01/26 Home Louisville -8.5 W by 31 +22.5
01/31 Away Virginia Tech -12.0 W by 14 +2.0
02/03 Home Boston College -27.0 W by 18 -9.0
02/07 Away North Carolina -6.0 L by 3 -9.0
02/10 Away Pittsburgh -18.0 W by 16 -2.0
02/14 Home Clemson -13.5 W by 13 -0.5
02/16 Home Syracuse -20.5 W by 37 +16.5
02/21 Neutral Michigan +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
02/24 Away Notre Dame -16.5 W by 44 +27.5
02/28 Home Virginia -9.5 W by 26 +16.5
03/02 Away NC State -9.5 W by 29 +19.5
03/07 Home North Carolina -18.5 W by 15 -3.5
03/12 Neutral Florida St -16.5 W by 1 -15.5
03/13 Neutral Clemson -10.5 W by 12 +1.5
03/14 Neutral Virginia -6.5 W by 4 -2.5
03/19 Neutral Siena -28.5 W by 6 -22.5
03/21 Neutral TCU -12.5 W by 23 +10.5
03/27 Neutral St John's -6.5 W by 5 -1.5
03/29 Neutral UConn -4.5 L by 1 -5.5

Notre Dame Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home LIU -15.0 W by 22 +7.0
11/07 Home Detroit Mercy -21.0 W by 32 +11.0
11/11 Home E Illinois -23.5 W by 20 -3.5
11/16 Away Ohio St +10.0 L by 1 +9.0
11/19 Home Bellarmine -23.0 W by 7 -16.0
11/24 Neutral Kansas +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
11/25 Neutral Rutgers -7.0 W by 5 -2.0
11/26 Neutral Houston +11.5 L by 10 +1.5
12/02 Home Missouri +1.5 W by 5 +6.5
12/05 Away TCU +7.0 W by 2 +9.0
12/10 Home Idaho -11.5 W by 15 +3.5
12/13 Home Evansville -14.5 W by 24 +9.5
12/21 Home Purdue FW -11.5 L by 3 -14.5
12/30 Away Stanford +6.5 W by 7 +13.5
01/02 Away California +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
01/10 Home Clemson +3.0 L by 15 -12.0
01/13 Home Miami +5.0 L by 12 -7.0
01/17 Away Virginia Tech +6.5 L by 13 -6.5
01/21 Away North Carolina +13.5 L by 22 -8.5
01/24 Home Boston College -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
01/27 Home Virginia +9.5 L by 3 +6.5
01/31 Away Syracuse +5.0 L by 14 -9.0
02/04 Away Louisville +18.0 L by 11 +7.0
02/07 Home Florida St -1.0 L by 3 -4.0
02/10 Away SMU +10.5 L by 8 +2.5
02/14 Home Georgia Tech -6.0 W by 15 +9.0
02/21 Away Pittsburgh +2.0 L by 5 -3.0
02/24 Home Duke +16.5 L by 44 -27.5
02/28 Home NC State +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
03/04 Home Stanford +1.5 L by 8 -6.5
03/07 Away Boston College -1.5 L by 8 -9.5