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Miami at Okla City: Point Spread Analysis

Sunday Jan 11, 2026 7:00 pm - Oklahoma City, OK
Odds: Oklahoma City by 15.5, Total Points: 234.5

Matchup Menu: MIA @ OKC

More Games From Jan 11, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Miami +14.5 Official TR Pick Miami 52% odds to cover
Miami +14.5 Power Rating Model Miami 73% odds to cover
Miami +14.5 Decision Tree Miami 51% odds to cover
Miami +14.5 Predictive Ratings Miami 61% odds to cover
Okla City -14.5 Similar Games Okla City 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MIA adv OKC
Season 47-36-0 47-50-0
vs Division 12-6-0 7-9-0
vs Conference 30-23-0 34-33-0
Streak W3 L2
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 5-5-0
Home 23-18-0 24-25-0
Away 24-18-0 23-25-0

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Orlando +8.0 L by 4 +4.0
10/24 Away Memphis +3.0 W by 32 +35.0
10/26 Home New York +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
10/28 Home Charlotte -6.5 W by 27 +20.5
10/30 Away San Antonio +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
11/02 Away LA Lakers +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
11/03 Away LA Clippers +8.0 W by 1 +9.0
11/05 Away Denver +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
11/07 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 18 +10.5
11/08 Home Portland +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/10 Home Cleveland +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
11/12 Home Cleveland -5.5 L by 14 -19.5
11/14 Away New York +6.5 L by 8 -1.5
11/17 Home New York -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
11/19 Home Golden State -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
11/21 Away Chicago +2.5 W by 36 +38.5
11/23 Away Philadelphia +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
11/24 Home Dallas -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/26 Home Milwaukee -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
11/29 Home Detroit -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
12/01 Home LA Clippers -6.5 W by 17 +10.5
12/03 Away Dallas -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/05 Away Orlando +6.5 L by 1 +5.5
12/06 Home Sacramento -8.5 L by 16 -24.5
12/09 Away Orlando +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
12/15 Home Toronto -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/18 Away Brooklyn -8.5 W by 11 +2.5
12/19 Away Boston +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
12/21 Away New York +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
12/23 Home Toronto -5.5 L by 21 -26.5
12/26 Away Atlanta +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
12/27 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 26 +19.5
12/29 Home Denver +1.5 W by 24 +25.5
01/01 Away Detroit +4.5 W by 6 +10.5
01/03 Home Minnesota +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/04 Home New Orleans -7.5 W by 19 +11.5
01/06 Away Minnesota +5.5 L by 28 -22.5
01/10 Away Indiana -6.5 L by 24 -30.5
01/11 Away Okla City +15.5 L by 12 +3.5
01/13 Home Phoenix -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
01/15 Home Boston +2.5 L by 5 -2.5
01/17 Home Okla City +11.5 W by 2 +13.5
01/19 Away Golden State +5.5 L by 23 -17.5
01/20 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
01/22 Away Portland +3.5 L by 17 -13.5
01/24 Away Utah -6.5 W by 31 +24.5
01/25 Away Phoenix +4.5 W by 9 +13.5
01/28 Home Orlando -3.5 L by 9 -12.5
01/29 Away Chicago -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
01/31 Home Chicago -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
02/01 Home Chicago -5.5 W by 43 +37.5
02/03 Home Atlanta -1.5 L by 12 -13.5
02/06 Away Boston +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
02/08 Away Washington -12.5 W by 31 +18.5
02/09 Home Utah -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
02/11 Away New Orleans +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
02/20 Away Atlanta -3.5 W by 31 +27.5
02/21 Home Memphis -11.5 W by 16 +4.5
02/24 Away Milwaukee -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
02/26 Away Philadelphia +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
02/28 Home Houston +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
03/03 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 26 +13.5
03/05 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 16 +3.5
03/06 Away Charlotte +7.5 W by 8 +15.5
03/08 Home Detroit +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
03/10 Home Washington -15.5 W by 21 +5.5
03/12 Home Milwaukee -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/14 Home Orlando -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
03/17 Away Charlotte +5.5 L by 30 -24.5
03/19 Home LA Lakers -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
03/21 Away Houston +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
03/23 Home San Antonio +3.5 L by 25 -21.5
03/25 Away Cleveland +2.5 W by 17 +19.5
03/27 Away Cleveland +5.5 L by 21 -15.5
03/29 Away Indiana -8.5 L by 17 -25.5
03/30 Home Philadelphia +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
04/01 Home Boston +4.5 L by 18 -13.5
04/04 Home Washington -17.5 W by 16 -1.5
04/07 Away Toronto +1.5 L by 26 -24.5
04/09 Away Toronto +3.5 L by 14 -10.5
04/10 Away Washington -15.5 W by 23 +7.5
04/12 Home Atlanta -10.5 W by 26 +15.5
04/14 Away Charlotte +6.5 L by 1 +5.5

Okla City Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/21 Home Houston -6.5 W by 1 -5.5
10/23 Away Indiana -7.5 W by 6 -1.5
10/25 Away Atlanta -8.5 W by 17 +8.5
10/27 Away Dallas -9.0 W by 7 -2.0
10/28 Home Sacramento -10.5 W by 6 -4.5
10/30 Home Washington -15.5 W by 19 +3.5
11/02 Home New Orleans -13.0 W by 31 +18.0
11/04 Away LA Clippers -8.5 W by 19 +10.5
11/05 Away Portland -3.5 L by 2 -5.5
11/07 Away Sacramento -11.5 W by 31 +19.5
11/09 Away Memphis -10.5 W by 14 +3.5
11/11 Home Golden State -8.5 W by 24 +15.5
11/12 Home LA Lakers -8.5 W by 29 +20.5
11/15 Away Charlotte -17.5 W by 13 -4.5
11/17 Away New Orleans -18.5 W by 17 -1.5
11/19 Home Sacramento -18.5 W by 14 -4.5
11/21 Away Utah -16.5 W by 32 +15.5
11/23 Home Portland -15.5 W by 27 +11.5
11/26 Home Minnesota -10.5 W by 8 -2.5
11/28 Home Phoenix -14.5 W by 4 -10.5
11/30 Away Portland -11.5 W by 8 -3.5
12/02 Away Golden State -10.5 W by 12 +1.5
12/05 Home Dallas -15.5 W by 21 +5.5
12/07 Away Utah -11.5 W by 30 +18.5
12/10 Home Phoenix -15.5 W by 49 +33.5
12/13 Neutral San Antonio -11.5 L by 2 -13.5
12/18 Home LA Clippers -17.5 W by 21 +3.5
12/19 Away Minnesota -5.5 L by 5 -10.5
12/22 Home Memphis -15.5 W by 16 +0.5
12/23 Away San Antonio -6.5 L by 20 -26.5
12/25 Home San Antonio -9.5 L by 15 -24.5
12/28 Home Philadelphia -15.5 W by 25 +9.5
12/29 Home Atlanta -16.5 W by 11 -5.5
12/31 Home Portland -15.5 W by 29 +13.5
01/02 Away Golden State -13.5 W by 37 +23.5
01/04 Away Phoenix -10.5 L by 3 -13.5
01/05 Home Charlotte -15.5 L by 27 -42.5
01/07 Home Utah -18.5 W by 4 -14.5
01/09 Away Memphis -5.5 W by 1 -4.5
01/11 Home Miami -15.5 W by 12 -3.5
01/13 Home San Antonio -8.5 W by 21 +12.5
01/15 Away Houston -4.5 W by 20 +15.5
01/17 Away Miami -11.5 L by 2 -13.5
01/19 Away Cleveland -6.5 W by 32 +25.5
01/21 Away Milwaukee -12.5 W by 20 +7.5
01/23 Home Indiana -15.5 L by 3 -18.5
01/25 Home Toronto -11.5 L by 2 -13.5
01/27 Home New Orleans -14.5 W by 9 -5.5
01/29 Away Minnesota -5.5 L by 12 -17.5
02/01 Away Denver -7.5 W by 10 +2.5
02/03 Home Orlando -11.5 W by 36 +24.5
02/04 Away San Antonio +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
02/07 Home Houston -3.5 L by 6 -9.5
02/09 Away LA Lakers -6.5 W by 9 +2.5
02/11 Away Phoenix -7.5 W by 27 +19.5
02/12 Home Milwaukee -13.5 L by 17 -30.5
02/20 Home Brooklyn -17.5 W by 19 +1.5
02/22 Home Cleveland +4.5 W by 8 +12.5
02/24 Away Toronto -1.5 W by 9 +7.5
02/25 Away Detroit +10.5 L by 8 +2.5
02/27 Home Denver -6.5 W by 6 -0.5
03/01 Away Dallas -16.5 W by 13 -3.5
03/03 Away Chicago -9.5 W by 8 -1.5
03/04 Away New York -4.5 W by 3 -1.5
03/07 Home Golden State -11.5 W by 7 -4.5
03/09 Home Denver -3.5 W by 3 -0.5
03/12 Home Boston -8.5 W by 2 -6.5
03/15 Home Minnesota -8.5 W by 13 +4.5
03/17 Away Orlando -10.5 W by 5 -5.5
03/18 Away Brooklyn -18.5 W by 29 +10.5
03/21 Away Washington -21.5 W by 21 -0.5
03/23 Away Philadelphia -16.5 W by 20 +3.5
03/25 Away Boston -2.5 L by 10 -12.5
03/27 Home Chicago -18.5 W by 18 -0.5
03/29 Home New York -8.5 W by 11 +2.5
03/30 Home Detroit -11.5 W by 4 -7.5
04/02 Home LA Lakers -8.5 W by 43 +34.5
04/05 Home Utah -23.5 W by 35 +11.5
04/07 Away LA Lakers -18.5 W by 36 +17.5
04/08 Away LA Clippers -8.5 W by 18 +9.5
04/10 Away Denver +2.5 L by 20 -17.5
04/12 Home Phoenix -7.5 L by 32 -39.5
04/19 Home Phoenix -17.5 W by 35 +17.5
04/22 Home Phoenix -16.5 W by 13 -3.5
04/25 Away Phoenix -8.5 W by 12 +3.5
04/27 Away Phoenix -11.5 W by 9 -2.5
05/05 Home LA Lakers -15.5 W by 18 +2.5
05/07 Home LA Lakers -16.5 W by 18 +1.5
05/09 Away LA Lakers -9.5 W by 23 +13.5
05/11 Away LA Lakers -12.5 W by 5 -7.5
05/18 Home San Antonio -6.5 L by 7 -13.5
05/20 Home San Antonio -7.5 W by 9 +1.5
05/22 Away San Antonio +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
05/24 Away San Antonio +2.5 L by 21 -18.5
05/26 Home San Antonio -3.5 W by 13 +9.5
05/28 Away San Antonio +3.5 L by 27 -23.5
05/30 Home San Antonio -3.5 L by 8 -11.5