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Atlanta at Golden State: Recap

Sunday Jan 11, 2026 8:30 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Golden State by 7.5, Total Points: 236.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Golden State ATL 31.9%
GS 68.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ATL +6.5 ATL 52.0%
GS 48.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 236.5 Over 49.5%
Under 50.5%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off ATL -1.4%
GS -3.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
ATL 115.1 115.0 124
GS 121.1 121.5 111

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat ATL GS
Points/Game 117.2 114.5
Avg Score Margin +1.1 -0.7
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 17.7 12.0
Pts in Paint/Gm 51.1 45.0
Assists/Game 29.6 28.8
Total Rebounds/Gm 52.3 50.5
Effective FG % 55.1% 55.1%
Off Rebound % 24.1% 25.8%
FTA/FGA 0.236 0.239
Turnover % 12.2% 13.8%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat ATL GS
Opp Points/Game 116.2 115.2
Opp Effective FG % 54.7% 55.4%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.1 50.6
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.9 11.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 32.2 30.9
Blocks/Game 4.7 4.2
Steals/Game 9.2 9.7
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.8 19.6