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Atlanta at Golden State: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Jan 11, 2026 8:30 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Golden State by 7.5, Total Points: 236.5

Matchup Menu: ATL @ GS

More Games From Jan 11, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 236.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 236.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under
Over 236.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ATL	GS
Season	44-44-0	49-35-0
vs Division	8-8-0	7-11-0
vs Conference	30-28-0	32-22-0
Streak	Ov 2	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	2-3-0
Last 10	5-5-0	4-6-0
Home	19-25-0	25-16-0
Away	25-19-0	24-19-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Atlanta Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Toronto	237.0	118-138	Over	+19.0
10/24	Away	Orlando	235.0	111-107	Under	-17.0
10/25	Home	Okla City	237.0	100-117	Under	-20.0
10/27	Away	Chicago	243.5	123-128	Over	+7.5
10/29	Away	Brooklyn	239.5	117-112	Under	-10.5
10/31	Away	Indiana	233.0	128-108	Over	+3.0
11/02	Away	Cleveland	230.0	109-117	Under	-4.0
11/04	Home	Orlando	228.5	127-112	Over	+10.5
11/07	Home	Toronto	235.5	97-109	Under	-29.5
11/08	Home	LA Lakers	228.5	122-102	Under	-4.5
11/10	Away	LA Clippers	220.5	105-102	Under	-13.5
11/12	Away	Sacramento	230.5	133-100	Over	+2.5
11/13	Away	Utah	234.5	132-122	Over	+19.5
11/16	Away	Phoenix	226.5	124-122	Over	+19.5
11/18	Home	Detroit	227.5	112-120	Over	+4.5
11/20	Away	San Antonio	233.5	126-135	Over	+27.5
11/22	Away	New Orleans	232.5	115-98	Under	-19.5
11/23	Home	Charlotte	232.5	113-110	Under	-9.5
11/25	Away	Washington	239.5	113-132	Over	+5.5
11/28	Home	Cleveland	236.5	130-123	Over	+16.5
11/30	Away	Philadelphia	232.5	142-134	Over	+43.5
12/01	Away	Detroit	232.5	98-99	Under	-35.5
12/03	Home	LA Clippers	225.5	92-115	Under	-18.5
12/05	Home	Denver	238.5	133-134	Over	+28.5
12/06	Away	Washington	237.5	131-116	Over	+9.5
12/12	Away	Detroit	233.5	115-142	Over	+23.5
12/14	Home	Philadelphia	225.5	120-117	Over	+11.5
12/18	Away	Charlotte	240.5	126-133	Over	+18.5
12/19	Home	San Antonio	238.5	98-126	Under	-14.5
12/21	Home	Chicago	248.5	150-152	Over	+53.5
12/23	Home	Chicago	254.5	123-126	Under	-5.5
12/26	Home	Miami	250.5	111-126	Under	-13.5
12/27	Home	New York	244.5	125-128	Over	+8.5
12/29	Away	Okla City	232.5	129-140	Over	+36.5
12/31	Home	Minnesota	239.5	126-102	Under	-11.5
01/02	Away	New York	239.5	111-99	Under	-29.5
01/03	Away	Toronto	231.5	117-134	Over	+19.5
01/05	Away	Toronto	236.5	100-118	Under	-18.5
01/07	Home	New Orleans	246.5	117-100	Under	-29.5
01/09	Away	Denver	230.5	110-87	Under	-33.5
01/11	Away	Golden State	236.5	124-111	Under	-1.5
01/13	Away	LA Lakers	233.5	116-141	Over	+23.5
01/15	Away	Portland	228.5	101-117	Under	-10.5
01/17	Home	Boston	231.5	106-132	Over	+6.5
01/19	Home	Milwaukee	232.5	110-112	Under	-10.5
01/21	Away	Memphis	239.5	124-122	Over	+6.5
01/23	Home	Phoenix	233.5	110-103	Under	-20.5
01/26	Home	Indiana	233.5	132-116	Over	+14.5
01/28	Away	Boston	232.5	117-106	Under	-9.5
01/29	Home	Houston	223.5	86-104	Under	-33.5
01/31	Away	Indiana	235.5	124-129	Over	+17.5
02/03	Away	Miami	237.5	127-115	Over	+4.5
02/05	Home	Utah	245.5	121-119	Under	-5.5
02/07	Home	Charlotte	234.5	119-126	Over	+10.5
02/09	Away	Minnesota	238.5	116-138	Over	+15.5
02/11	Away	Charlotte	234.5	107-110	Under	-17.5
02/19	Away	Philadelphia	241.5	117-107	Under	-17.5
02/20	Home	Miami	244.5	97-128	Under	-19.5
02/22	Home	Brooklyn	227.5	115-104	Under	-8.5
02/24	Home	Washington	236.5	119-98	Under	-19.5
02/26	Home	Washington	235.5	126-96	Under	-13.5
03/01	Home	Portland	235.5	135-101	Over	+0.5
03/04	Away	Milwaukee	232.5	131-113	Over	+11.5
03/07	Home	Philadelphia	233.5	125-116	Over	+7.5
03/10	Home	Dallas	241.5	124-112	Under	-5.5
03/12	Home	Brooklyn	226.5	108-97	Under	-21.5
03/14	Home	Milwaukee	228.5	122-99	Under	-7.5
03/16	Home	Orlando	232.5	124-112	Over	+3.5
03/18	Away	Dallas	239.5	135-120	Over	+15.5
03/20	Away	Houston	226.5	95-117	Under	-14.5
03/21	Home	Golden State	227.5	126-110	Over	+8.5
03/23	Home	Memphis	239.5	146-107	Over	+13.5
03/25	Away	Detroit	229.5	130-129	Over	+29.5
03/27	Away	Boston	224.5	102-109	Under	-13.5
03/28	Home	Sacramento	234.5	123-113	Over	+1.5
03/30	Home	Boston	226.5	112-102	Under	-12.5
04/01	Away	Orlando	234.5	130-101	Under	-3.5
04/03	Away	Brooklyn	225.5	141-107	Over	+22.5
04/06	Home	New York	226.5	105-108	Under	-13.5
04/08	Away	Cleveland	235.5	116-122	Over	+2.5
04/10	Home	Cleveland	233.5	124-102	Under	-7.5
04/12	Away	Miami	240.5	117-143	Over	+19.5
04/18	Away	New York	218.5	102-113	Under	-3.5
04/20	Away	New York	218.5	107-106	Under	-5.5
04/23	Home	New York	215.5	109-108	Over	+1.5
04/25	Home	New York	215.5	98-114	Under	-3.5
04/28	Away	New York	214.5	97-126	Over	+8.5
04/30	Home	New York	214.5	89-140	Over	+14.5

Golden State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/21	Away	LA Lakers	227.0	119-109	Over	+1.0
10/23	Home	Denver	233.0	137-131	Over	+35.0
10/24	Away	Portland	228.5	119-139	Over	+29.5
10/27	Home	Memphis	240.0	131-118	Over	+9.0
10/28	Home	LA Clippers	225.5	98-79	Under	-48.5
10/30	Away	Milwaukee	228.5	110-120	Over	+1.5
11/01	Away	Indiana	230.0	109-114	Under	-7.0
11/04	Home	Phoenix	235.5	118-107	Under	-10.5
11/05	Away	Sacramento	224.5	116-121	Over	+12.5
11/07	Away	Denver	230.5	104-129	Over	+2.5
11/09	Home	Indiana	221.5	114-83	Under	-24.5
11/11	Away	Okla City	227.5	102-126	Over	+0.5
11/12	Away	San Antonio	232.5	125-120	Over	+12.5
11/14	Away	San Antonio	233.5	109-108	Under	-16.5
11/16	Away	New Orleans	226.5	124-106	Over	+3.5
11/18	Away	Orlando	223.5	113-121	Over	+10.5
11/19	Away	Miami	234.5	96-110	Under	-28.5
11/21	Home	Portland	236.5	123-127	Over	+13.5
11/24	Home	Utah	239.5	134-117	Over	+11.5
11/26	Home	Houston	224.5	100-104	Under	-20.5
11/29	Home	New Orleans	228.5	104-96	Under	-28.5
12/02	Home	Okla City	223.5	112-124	Over	+12.5
12/04	Away	Philadelphia	223.5	98-99	Under	-26.5
12/06	Away	Cleveland	230.5	99-94	Under	-37.5
12/07	Away	Chicago	229.5	123-91	Under	-15.5
12/12	Home	Minnesota	227.5	120-127	Over	+19.5
12/14	Away	Portland	237.5	131-136	Over	+29.5
12/18	Away	Phoenix	229.5	98-99	Under	-32.5
12/20	Home	Phoenix	226.5	119-116	Over	+8.5
12/22	Home	Orlando	227.5	120-97	Under	-10.5
12/25	Home	Dallas	229.5	126-116	Over	+12.5
12/28	Away	Toronto	227.5	127-141	Over	+40.5
12/29	Away	Brooklyn	226.5	120-107	Over	+0.5
12/31	Away	Charlotte	235.5	132-125	Over	+21.5
01/02	Home	Okla City	226.5	94-131	Under	-1.5
01/03	Home	Utah	248.5	123-114	Under	-11.5
01/05	Away	LA Clippers	221.5	102-103	Under	-16.5
01/07	Home	Milwaukee	229.5	120-113	Over	+3.5
01/09	Home	Sacramento	231.5	137-103	Over	+8.5
01/11	Home	Atlanta	236.5	111-124	Under	-1.5
01/13	Home	Portland	225.5	119-97	Under	-9.5
01/15	Home	New York	227.5	126-113	Over	+11.5
01/17	Home	Charlotte	236.5	136-116	Over	+15.5
01/19	Home	Miami	239.5	135-112	Over	+7.5
01/20	Home	Toronto	225.5	127-145	Over	+46.5
01/22	Away	Dallas	234.5	115-123	Over	+3.5
01/25	Away	Minnesota	237.5	111-85	Under	-41.5
01/26	Away	Minnesota	226.5	83-108	Under	-35.5
01/28	Away	Utah	241.5	140-124	Over	+22.5
01/30	Home	Detroit	225.5	124-131	Over	+29.5
02/03	Home	Philadelphia	223.5	94-113	Under	-16.5
02/05	Away	Phoenix	213.5	101-97	Under	-15.5
02/07	Away	LA Lakers	221.5	99-105	Under	-17.5
02/09	Home	Memphis	219.5	114-113	Over	+7.5
02/11	Home	San Antonio	220.5	113-126	Over	+18.5
02/19	Home	Boston	210.5	110-121	Over	+20.5
02/22	Home	Denver	228.5	128-117	Over	+16.5
02/24	Away	New Orleans	228.5	109-113	Under	-6.5
02/25	Away	Memphis	226.5	133-112	Over	+18.5
02/28	Home	LA Lakers	226.5	101-129	Over	+3.5
03/02	Home	LA Clippers	216.5	101-114	Under	-1.5
03/05	Away	Houston	214.5	115-113	Over	+13.5
03/07	Away	Okla City	220.5	97-104	Under	-19.5
03/09	Away	Utah	225.0	116-119	Over	+10.0
03/10	Home	Chicago	226.5	124-130	Over	+27.5
03/13	Home	Minnesota	224.5	117-127	Over	+19.5
03/15	Away	New York	218.5	107-110	Under	-1.5
03/16	Away	Washington	234.5	125-117	Over	+7.5
03/18	Away	Boston	216.5	99-120	Over	+2.5
03/20	Away	Detroit	219.5	101-115	Under	-3.5
03/21	Away	Atlanta	227.5	110-126	Over	+8.5
03/23	Away	Dallas	230.5	137-131	Over	+37.5
03/25	Home	Brooklyn	218.5	109-106	Under	-3.5
03/27	Home	Washington	230.5	131-126	Over	+26.5
03/29	Away	Denver	237.5	93-116	Under	-28.5
04/01	Home	San Antonio	227.5	113-127	Over	+12.5
04/02	Home	Cleveland	229.5	111-118	Under	-0.5
04/05	Home	Houston	226.5	116-117	Over	+6.5
04/07	Home	Sacramento	233.5	110-105	Under	-18.5
04/09	Home	LA Lakers	222.5	103-119	Under	-0.5
04/10	Away	Sacramento	228.5	118-124	Over	+13.5
04/12	Away	LA Clippers	229.5	110-115	Under	-4.5
04/15	Away	LA Clippers	220.5	126-121	Over	+26.5
04/17	Away	Phoenix	219.5	96-111	Under	-12.5