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Miami at Okla City: Recap

Sunday Jan 11, 2026 7:00 pm - Oklahoma City, OK
Odds: Oklahoma City by 15.5, Total Points: 234.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Okla City MIA 10.0%
OKC 90.0%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA +14.5 MIA 52.0%
OKC 48.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 234.5 Over 50.6%
Under 49.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -4.8%
OKC 0.0%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 110.5 110.0 112
OKC 124.3 124.5 124

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA OKC
Points/Game 120.9 118.5
Avg Score Margin +2.3 +10.5
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.4 13.6
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.7 48.5
Assists/Game 29.0 25.8
Total Rebounds/Gm 55.0 51.8
Effective FG % 54.2% 55.9%
Off Rebound % 25.3% 23.0%
FTA/FGA 0.266 0.260
Turnover % 11.4% 11.2%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA OKC
Opp Points/Game 118.6 108.0
Opp Effective FG % 54.0% 51.9%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.0 41.8
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.8 9.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.5 33.9
Blocks/Game 4.3 5.3
Steals/Game 8.6 9.8
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 19.4