Orange Bowl Playoff Quarterfinal: Oregon vs. Texas Tech: Point Spread Analysis
Thursday Jan 1, 2026 12:00 pm -
Miami Gardens, FL
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Texas Tech by 1.5,
Total Points:
50.5
Matchup Menu: ORE vs. TTU
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Oregon +1.5 | Official TR Pick | Oregon 51% odds to cover |
| Oregon +1.5 | Decision Tree | Oregon 51% odds to cover |
| Oregon +1.5 | Predictive Ratings | Oregon 51% odds to cover |
| Texas Tech -1.5 | Power Ratings | Texas Tech 70% odds to cover |
| Texas Tech -1.5 | Similar Games | Texas Tech 59% odds to cover |
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ORE | adv | TTU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 0-2-0 | 0-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-2-0 | 0-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 0-2-0 | 0-2-0 | |
| Home | 0-1-0 | 0-1-0 | |
| Away | 0-1-0 | 0-1-0 |
Oregon Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/30 | Home | Montana St | -29.5 | W by 46 | +16.5 |
| 09/06 | Home | Oklahoma St | -28.5 | W by 66 | +37.5 |
| 09/13 | Away | Northwestern | -25.5 | W by 20 | -5.5 |
| 09/20 | Home | Oregon St | -33.5 | W by 34 | +0.5 |
| 09/27 | Away | Penn St | +4.0 | W by 6 | +10.0 |
| 10/11 | Home | Indiana | -7.0 | L by 10 | -17.0 |
| 10/18 | Away | Rutgers | -18.0 | W by 46 | +28.0 |
| 10/25 | Home | Wisconsin | -31.5 | W by 14 | -17.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Iowa | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Minnesota | -26.5 | W by 29 | +2.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | USC | -10.5 | W by 15 | +4.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Washington | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | J Madison | -21.0 | W by 17 | -4.0 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +1.5 | W by 23 | +24.5 |
| 01/09 | Neutral | Indiana | +3.0 | L by 34 | -31.0 |
Texas Tech Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/30 | Home | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | -54.5 | W by 60 | +5.5 |
| 09/06 | Home | Kent St | -46.5 | W by 48 | +1.5 |
| 09/13 | Home | Oregon St | -23.5 | W by 31 | +7.5 |
| 09/20 | Away | Utah | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 10/04 | Away | Houston | -13.0 | W by 24 | +11.0 |
| 10/11 | Home | Kansas | -14.0 | W by 25 | +11.0 |
| 10/18 | Away | Arizona St | -7.0 | L by 4 | -11.0 |
| 10/25 | Home | Oklahoma St | -37.5 | W by 42 | +4.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Kansas St | -7.0 | W by 23 | +16.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | BYU | -13.5 | W by 22 | +8.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | UCF | -24.5 | W by 39 | +14.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | West Virginia | -24.0 | W by 49 | +25.0 |
| 12/06 | Neutral | BYU | -13.0 | W by 27 | +14.0 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Oregon | -1.5 | L by 23 | -24.5 |