New Orleans Bowl: W Kentucky vs. Southern Miss: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Dec 23, 2025 5:30 pm - New Orleans, LA (Neutral Site)
Odds: Southern Miss by 3, Total Points: 59.5

Matchup Menu: WKU vs. USM

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 58.5 Official TR Pick 52% odds to go under
Under 58.5 Similar Games 59% odds to go under
Under 58.5 Decision Tree 52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record WKU USM
Season 6-7-0 6-7-0
vs Conference 3-4-0 4-4-0
Streak Un 1 Un 2
Last 5 2-3-0 1-4-0
Last 10 3-7-0 4-6-0
Home 3-3-0 4-3-0
Away 3-4-0 2-4-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

W Kentucky Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
08/23 Home Sam Houston 58.5 41-24 Over +6.5
08/30 Home N Alabama 60.5 55-6 Over +0.5
09/06 Away Toledo 57.5 21-45 Over +8.5
09/20 Home Nevada 54.5 31-16 Under -7.5
09/27 Away Missouri St 60.0 27-22 Under -11.0
10/03 Away Delaware 63.0 27-24 Under -12.0
10/14 Home Florida Intl 55.5 6-25 Under -24.5
10/21 Away Louisiana Tech 49.5 28-27 Over +5.5
11/01 Home New Mexico St 53.5 35-16 Under -2.5
11/15 Home Middle Tenn 52.5 42-26 Over +15.5
11/22 Away LSU 52.5 10-13 Under -29.5
11/29 Away Jacksonville St 56.5 34-37 Over +14.5
12/23 Neutral Southern Miss 59.5 27-16 Under -16.5

Southern Miss Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
08/30 Home Mississippi St 59.5 17-34 Under -8.5
09/06 Home Jackson State 53.5 38-20 Over +4.5
09/13 Home App State 55.5 38-22 Over +4.5
09/20 Away Louisiana Tech 51.5 20-30 Under -1.5
09/27 Home Jacksonville St 56.0 42-25 Over +11.0
10/09 Away Georgia So 60.0 38-35 Over +13.0
10/18 Away Louisiana 54.5 22-10 Under -22.5
10/25 Home UL Monroe 48.5 49-21 Over +21.5
11/08 Away Arkansas St 54.5 27-21 Under -6.5
11/15 Home Texas St 65.0 14-41 Under -10.0
11/22 Away S Alabama 54.0 35-42 Over +23.0
11/29 Home Troy 50.5 18-28 Under -4.5
12/23 Neutral W Kentucky 59.5 16-27 Under -16.5