New Orleans Bowl: W Kentucky vs. Southern Miss: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Dec 23, 2025 5:30 pm - New Orleans, LA (Neutral Site)
Odds: Southern Miss by 3, Total Points: 59.5

Matchup Menu: WKU vs. USM

More Games From Bowl Week

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Southern Miss -3.0 Official TR Pick Southern Miss 52% odds to cover
Southern Miss -3.0 Decision Tree Southern Miss 53% odds to cover
W Kentucky +3.0 Power Ratings W Kentucky 75% odds to cover
W Kentucky +3.0 Similar Games W Kentucky 56% odds to cover
W Kentucky +3.0 Predictive Ratings W Kentucky 67% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record WKU adv USM
Season 10-3-0 5-7-1
vs Conference 5-2-0 3-4-1
Streak W1 L5
Last 5 4-1-0 0-5-0
Last 10 8-2-0 3-6-1
Home 5-1-0 4-3-0
Away 5-2-0 1-4-1

W Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/23 Home Sam Houston -10.0 W by 17 +7.0
08/30 Home N Alabama -27.5 W by 49 +21.5
09/06 Away Toledo +8.0 L by 24 -16.0
09/20 Home Nevada -7.5 W by 15 +7.5
09/27 Away Missouri St -4.0 W by 5 +1.0
10/03 Away Delaware +2.5 W by 3 +5.5
10/14 Home Florida Intl -10.0 L by 19 -29.0
10/21 Away Louisiana Tech +3.5 W by 1 +4.5
11/01 Home New Mexico St -7.5 W by 19 +11.5
11/15 Home Middle Tenn -13.5 W by 16 +2.5
11/22 Away LSU +24.5 L by 3 +21.5
11/29 Away Jacksonville St -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
12/23 Neutral Southern Miss +3.0 W by 11 +14.0

Southern Miss Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/30 Home Mississippi St +14.0 L by 17 -3.0
09/06 Home Jackson State -13.5 W by 18 +4.5
09/13 Home App State +3.0 W by 16 +19.0
09/20 Away Louisiana Tech +3.0 L by 10 -7.0
09/27 Home Jacksonville St -4.5 W by 17 +12.5
10/09 Away Georgia So -3.0 W by 3 0.0
10/18 Away Louisiana -5.0 W by 12 +7.0
10/25 Home UL Monroe -13.5 W by 28 +14.5
11/08 Away Arkansas St -6.5 W by 6 -0.5
11/15 Home Texas St -3.0 L by 27 -30.0
11/22 Away S Alabama -2.5 L by 7 -9.5
11/29 Home Troy -6.5 L by 10 -16.5
12/23 Neutral W Kentucky -3.0 L by 11 -14.0