Music City Bowl: Tennessee vs. Illinois: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Dec 30, 2025 5:30 pm - Nashville, TN (Neutral Site)
Odds: Tennessee by 3, Total Points: 62.5

Matchup Menu: TENN vs. ILL

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 62.5 Official TR Pick 53% odds to go under
Under 62.5 Similar Games 57% odds to go under
Under 62.5 Decision Tree 53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record TENN ILL
Season 8-5-0 5-8-0
vs Conference 5-3-0 4-5-0
Streak Un 1 Un 5
Last 5 2-3-0 0-5-0
Last 10 5-5-0 4-6-0
Home 5-2-0 1-6-0
Away 3-3-0 4-2-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Tennessee Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
08/30 Neutral Syracuse 51.0 45-26 Over +20.0
09/06 Home East Tennessee State 59.5 72-17 Over +29.5
09/13 Home Georgia 50.0 41-44 Over +35.0
09/20 Home UAB 68.5 56-24 Over +11.5
09/27 Away Mississippi St 63.5 41-34 Over +11.5
10/11 Home Arkansas 68.5 34-31 Under -3.5
10/18 Away Alabama 61.5 20-37 Under -4.5
10/25 Away Kentucky 54.5 56-34 Over +35.5
11/01 Home Oklahoma 55.5 27-33 Over +4.5
11/15 Home New Mexico St 59.5 42-9 Under -8.5
11/22 Away Florida 58.5 31-11 Under -16.5
11/29 Home Vanderbilt 67.0 24-45 Over +2.0
12/30 Neutral Illinois 62.5 28-30 Under -4.5

Illinois Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
08/29 Home W Illinois 62.5 52-3 Under -7.5
09/06 Away Duke 48.5 45-19 Over +15.5
09/13 Home W Michigan 50.5 38-0 Under -12.5
09/20 Away Indiana 51.5 10-63 Over +21.5
09/27 Home USC 61.5 34-32 Over +4.5
10/04 Away Purdue 55.0 43-27 Over +15.0
10/11 Home Ohio St 52.0 16-34 Under -2.0
10/25 Away Washington 54.5 25-42 Over +12.5
11/01 Home Rutgers 62.5 35-13 Under -14.5
11/15 Home Maryland 51.5 24-6 Under -21.5
11/22 Away Wisconsin 41.5 10-27 Under -4.5
11/29 Home Northwestern 44.5 20-13 Under -11.5
12/30 Neutral Tennessee 62.5 30-28 Under -4.5