Music City Bowl: Tennessee vs. Illinois: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Dec 30, 2025 5:30 pm - Nashville, TN (Neutral Site)
Odds: Tennessee by 3, Total Points: 62.5

Matchup Menu: TENN vs. ILL

More Games From Bowl Week

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Illinois +3.0 Official TR Pick Illinois 53% odds to cover
Illinois +3.0 Power Ratings Illinois 68% odds to cover
Illinois +3.0 Similar Games Illinois 60% odds to cover
Illinois +3.0 Decision Tree Illinois 53% odds to cover
Illinois +3.0 Predictive Ratings Illinois 51% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TENN adv ILL
Season 5-8-0 8-4-1
vs Conference 3-5-0 4-4-1
Streak L2 W1
Last 5 1-4-0 3-1-1
Last 10 2-8-0 5-4-1
Home 2-5-0 5-1-1
Away 3-3-0 3-3-0

Tennessee Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/30 Neutral Syracuse -13.5 W by 19 +5.5
09/06 Home East Tennessee State -39.5 W by 55 +15.5
09/13 Home Georgia +3.5 L by 3 +0.5
09/20 Home UAB -39.0 W by 32 -7.0
09/27 Away Mississippi St -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
10/11 Home Arkansas -10.0 W by 3 -7.0
10/18 Away Alabama +9.5 L by 17 -7.5
10/25 Away Kentucky -8.0 W by 22 +14.0
11/01 Home Oklahoma -3.0 L by 6 -9.0
11/15 Home New Mexico St -41.5 W by 33 -8.5
11/22 Away Florida -3.5 W by 20 +16.5
11/29 Home Vanderbilt -2.5 L by 21 -23.5
12/30 Neutral Illinois -3.0 L by 2 -5.0

Illinois Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/29 Home W Illinois -48.5 W by 49 +0.5
09/06 Away Duke -2.5 W by 26 +23.5
09/13 Home W Michigan -27.0 W by 38 +11.0
09/20 Away Indiana +7.0 L by 53 -46.0
09/27 Home USC +7.0 W by 2 +9.0
10/04 Away Purdue -7.5 W by 16 +8.5
10/11 Home Ohio St +14.5 L by 18 -3.5
10/25 Away Washington +3.0 L by 17 -14.0
11/01 Home Rutgers -12.5 W by 22 +9.5
11/15 Home Maryland -17.0 W by 18 +1.0
11/22 Away Wisconsin -8.5 L by 17 -25.5
11/29 Home Northwestern -7.0 W by 7 0.0
12/30 Neutral Tennessee +3.0 W by 2 +5.0