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Michigan at Purdue: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Feb 17, 2026 6:30 pm - West Lafayette, IN
Odds: Michigan by 2.5, Total Points: 157

Matchup Menu: MICH @ PUR

More Games From Feb 17, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 157.0	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 157.0	Similar Games	51% odds to go under
Under 157.0	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MICH	PUR
Season	17-23-0	21-18-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-14-0	14-10-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	4-1-0
Last 10	6-4-0	6-4-0
Home	6-9-0	12-5-0
Away	11-14-0	9-13-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Michigan Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Oakland	156.5	121-78	Over	+42.5
11/11	Neutral	Wake Forest	167.0	85-84	Over	+2.0
11/14	Away	TCU	163.5	67-63	Under	-33.5
11/19	Home	Middle Tenn	159.5	86-61	Under	-12.5
11/24	Neutral	San Diego St	149.5	94-54	Under	-1.5
11/25	Neutral	Auburn	163.5	102-72	Over	+10.5
11/26	Neutral	Gonzaga	165.5	101-61	Under	-3.5
12/06	Home	Rutgers	153.0	101-60	Over	+8.0
12/09	Home	Villanova	157.0	89-61	Under	-7.0
12/13	Away	Maryland	163.5	101-83	Over	+20.5
12/21	Home	La Salle	155.5	102-50	Under	-3.5
12/29	Home	McNeese	162.0	112-71	Over	+21.0
01/02	Home	USC	173.5	96-66	Under	-11.5
01/06	Away	Penn St	168.5	74-72	Under	-22.5
01/10	Home	Wisconsin	169.5	88-91	Over	+9.5
01/14	Away	Washington	165.5	82-72	Under	-11.5
01/17	Away	Oregon	157.5	81-71	Under	-5.5
01/20	Home	Indiana	163.5	86-72	Under	-5.5
01/23	Home	Ohio St	165.5	74-62	Under	-29.5
01/27	Home	Nebraska	157.0	75-72	Under	-10.0
01/30	Away	Michigan St	150.5	83-71	Over	+3.5
02/05	Home	Penn St	162.5	110-69	Over	+16.5
02/08	Away	Ohio St	161.5	82-61	Under	-18.5
02/11	Away	Northwestern	154.0	87-75	Over	+8.0
02/14	Home	UCLA	155.5	86-56	Under	-13.5
02/17	Away	Purdue	157.0	91-80	Over	+14.0
02/21	Neutral	Duke	150.5	63-68	Under	-19.5
02/24	Home	Minnesota	145.5	77-67	Under	-1.5
02/27	Away	Illinois	159.5	84-70	Under	-5.5
03/05	Away	Iowa	146.5	71-68	Under	-7.5
03/08	Home	Michigan St	152.5	90-80	Over	+17.5
03/13	Neutral	Ohio St	155.5	71-67	Under	-17.5
03/14	Neutral	Wisconsin	162.5	68-65	Under	-29.5
03/15	Neutral	Purdue	149.5	72-80	Over	+2.5
03/19	Neutral	Howard	151.5	101-80	Over	+29.5
03/21	Neutral	Saint Louis	161.5	95-72	Over	+5.5
03/27	Neutral	Alabama	172.5	90-77	Under	-5.5
03/29	Neutral	Tennessee	146.5	95-62	Over	+10.5
04/04	Neutral	Arizona	157.5	91-73	Over	+6.5
04/06	Neutral	UConn	146.5	69-63	Under	-14.5

Purdue Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Evansville	149.0	82-51	Under	-16.0
11/07	Home	Oakland	160.0	87-77	Over	+4.0
11/13	Away	Alabama	172.5	87-80	Under	-5.5
11/16	Home	Akron	164.0	97-79	Over	+12.0
11/20	Neutral	Memphis	156.5	80-71	Under	-5.5
11/21	Neutral	Texas Tech	154.0	86-56	Under	-12.0
11/28	Home	E Illinois	141.5	109-62	Over	+29.5
12/02	Away	Rutgers	146.5	81-65	Under	-0.5
12/06	Home	Iowa St	154.5	58-81	Under	-15.5
12/10	Home	Minnesota	143.0	85-57	Under	-1.0
12/13	Home	Marquette	154.5	79-59	Under	-16.5
12/20	Neutral	Auburn	152.0	88-60	Under	-4.0
12/29	Home	Kent St	155.5	101-60	Over	+5.5
01/03	Away	Wisconsin	153.5	89-73	Over	+8.5
01/07	Home	Washington	153.5	81-73	Over	+0.5
01/10	Home	Penn St	152.5	93-85	Over	+25.5
01/14	Home	Iowa	145.5	79-72	Over	+5.5
01/17	Away	USC	155.5	69-64	Under	-22.5
01/20	Away	UCLA	147.5	67-69	Under	-11.5
01/24	Home	Illinois	154.5	82-88	Over	+15.5
01/27	Away	Indiana	150.5	67-72	Under	-11.5
02/01	Away	Maryland	148.5	93-63	Over	+7.5
02/07	Home	Oregon	143.5	68-64	Under	-11.5
02/10	Away	Nebraska	146.0	80-77	Over	+11.0
02/14	Away	Iowa	142.5	78-57	Under	-7.5
02/17	Home	Michigan	157.0	80-91	Over	+14.0
02/20	Home	Indiana	149.5	93-64	Over	+7.5
02/26	Home	Michigan St	143.5	74-76	Over	+6.5
03/01	Away	Ohio St	150.5	74-82	Over	+5.5
03/04	Away	Northwestern	145.5	70-66	Under	-9.5
03/07	Home	Wisconsin	154.5	93-97	Over	+35.5
03/12	Neutral	Northwestern	139.5	81-68	Over	+9.5
03/13	Neutral	Nebraska	145.5	74-58	Under	-13.5
03/14	Neutral	UCLA	143.5	73-66	Under	-4.5
03/15	Neutral	Michigan	149.5	80-72	Over	+2.5
03/20	Neutral	Queens	159.5	104-71	Over	+15.5
03/22	Neutral	Miami	147.5	79-69	Over	+0.5
03/26	Neutral	Texas	145.5	79-77	Over	+10.5
03/28	Neutral	Arizona	152.5	64-79	Under	-9.5