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Michigan at Purdue: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Feb 17, 2026 6:30 pm - West Lafayette, IN
Odds: Michigan by 2.5, Total Points: 157

Matchup Menu: MICH @ PUR

More Games From Feb 17, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Purdue +2.5 Official TR Pick Purdue 54% odds to cover
Purdue +2.5 Power Rating Model Purdue 51% odds to cover
Purdue +2.5 Decision Tree Purdue 56% odds to cover
Purdue +2.5 Predictive Ratings Purdue 52% odds to cover
Michigan -2.5 Similar Games Michigan 55% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MICH adv PUR
Season 19-21-0 17-22-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 8-15-0 9-15-0
Streak L1 L2
Last 5 4-1-0 3-2-0
Last 10 4-6-0 4-6-0
Home 8-7-0 5-12-0
Away 11-14-0 12-10-0

Michigan Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Oakland -24.5 W by 43 +18.5
11/11 Neutral Wake Forest -15.0 W by 1 -14.0
11/14 Away TCU -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/19 Home Middle Tenn -28.0 W by 25 -3.0
11/24 Neutral San Diego St -5.5 W by 40 +34.5
11/25 Neutral Auburn -5.0 W by 30 +25.0
11/26 Neutral Gonzaga +2.5 W by 40 +42.5
12/06 Home Rutgers -25.5 W by 41 +15.5
12/09 Home Villanova -18.0 W by 28 +10.0
12/13 Away Maryland -19.5 W by 18 -1.5
12/21 Home La Salle -40.5 W by 52 +11.5
12/29 Home McNeese -24.0 W by 41 +17.0
01/02 Home USC -22.5 W by 30 +7.5
01/06 Away Penn St -24.0 W by 2 -22.0
01/10 Home Wisconsin -19.0 L by 3 -22.0
01/14 Away Washington -12.5 W by 10 -2.5
01/17 Away Oregon -18.5 W by 10 -8.5
01/20 Home Indiana -15.5 W by 14 -1.5
01/23 Home Ohio St -16.5 W by 12 -4.5
01/27 Home Nebraska -12.0 W by 3 -9.0
01/30 Away Michigan St -2.5 W by 12 +9.5
02/05 Home Penn St -26.5 W by 41 +14.5
02/08 Away Ohio St -9.5 W by 21 +11.5
02/11 Away Northwestern -15.0 W by 12 -3.0
02/14 Home UCLA -16.5 W by 30 +13.5
02/17 Away Purdue -2.5 W by 11 +8.5
02/21 Neutral Duke -2.5 L by 5 -7.5
02/24 Home Minnesota -21.5 W by 10 -11.5
02/27 Away Illinois -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
03/05 Away Iowa -9.5 W by 3 -6.5
03/08 Home Michigan St -10.5 W by 10 -0.5
03/13 Neutral Ohio St -12.5 W by 4 -8.5
03/14 Neutral Wisconsin -12.5 W by 3 -9.5
03/15 Neutral Purdue -4.5 L by 8 -12.5
03/19 Neutral Howard -30.5 W by 21 -9.5
03/21 Neutral Saint Louis -12.5 W by 23 +10.5
03/27 Neutral Alabama -9.5 W by 13 +3.5
03/29 Neutral Tennessee -8.5 W by 33 +24.5
04/04 Neutral Arizona -1.5 W by 18 +16.5
04/06 Neutral UConn -6.5 W by 6 -0.5

Purdue Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Evansville -34.0 W by 31 -3.0
11/07 Home Oakland -32.0 W by 10 -22.0
11/13 Away Alabama +3.0 W by 7 +10.0
11/16 Home Akron -18.5 W by 18 -0.5
11/20 Neutral Memphis -15.0 W by 9 -6.0
11/21 Neutral Texas Tech -2.5 W by 30 +27.5
11/28 Home E Illinois -40.5 W by 47 +6.5
12/02 Away Rutgers -13.5 W by 16 +2.5
12/06 Home Iowa St -4.0 L by 23 -27.0
12/10 Home Minnesota -20.0 W by 28 +8.0
12/13 Home Marquette -17.0 W by 20 +3.0
12/20 Neutral Auburn -7.5 W by 28 +20.5
12/29 Home Kent St -24.0 W by 41 +17.0
01/03 Away Wisconsin -5.5 W by 16 +10.5
01/07 Home Washington -16.5 W by 8 -8.5
01/10 Home Penn St -22.5 W by 8 -14.5
01/14 Home Iowa -10.5 W by 7 -3.5
01/17 Away USC -9.0 W by 5 -4.0
01/20 Away UCLA -5.5 L by 2 -7.5
01/24 Home Illinois -5.5 L by 6 -11.5
01/27 Away Indiana -4.5 L by 5 -9.5
02/01 Away Maryland -14.5 W by 30 +15.5
02/07 Home Oregon -18.5 W by 4 -14.5
02/10 Away Nebraska +2.0 W by 3 +5.0
02/14 Away Iowa -1.0 W by 21 +20.0
02/17 Home Michigan +2.5 L by 11 -8.5
02/20 Home Indiana -11.0 W by 29 +18.0
02/26 Home Michigan St -6.5 L by 2 -8.5
03/01 Away Ohio St -6.5 L by 8 -14.5
03/04 Away Northwestern -11.5 W by 4 -7.5
03/07 Home Wisconsin -9.5 L by 4 -13.5
03/12 Neutral Northwestern -13.5 W by 13 -0.5
03/13 Neutral Nebraska -4.5 W by 16 +11.5
03/14 Neutral UCLA -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
03/15 Neutral Michigan +4.5 W by 8 +12.5
03/20 Neutral Queens -25.5 W by 33 +7.5
03/22 Neutral Miami -7.5 W by 10 +2.5
03/26 Neutral Texas -8.5 W by 2 -6.5
03/28 Neutral Arizona +5.5 L by 15 -9.5