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Michigan St vs. UConn: Recap

Friday Mar 27, 2026 9:45 pm - Washington, DC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Connecticut by 2.5, Total Points: 136.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
UConn MSU 43.5%
CONN 56.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MSU +2.5 MSU 50.3%
CONN 49.7%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 136.5 Over 44.7%
Under 55.3%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MSU -3.2%
CONN -1.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MSU 66.0 67.0 63
CONN 68.4 69.5 67

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MSU CONN
Points/Game 78.8 76.6
Avg Score Margin +10.5 +11.4
Assists/Game 18.6 18.1
Total Rebounds/Gm 39.7 36.6
Effective FG % 53.8% 54.3%
Off Rebound % 36.3% 33.9%
FTA/FGA 0.359 0.299
Turnover % 14.5% 13.9%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MSU CONN
Opp Points/Game 68.3 65.2
Opp Effective FG % 48.9% 45.7%
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.8 10.3
Def Rebounds/Gm 25.9 23.0
Blocks/Game 4.1 5.1
Steals/Game 5.1 6.8
Personal Fouls/Gm 16.0 18.2