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Michigan St vs. UConn: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Mar 27, 2026 9:45 pm - Washington, DC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Connecticut by 2.5, Total Points: 136.5

Matchup Menu: MSU vs. CONN

More Games From Mar 27, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 136.5	Official TR Pick	55% odds to go under
Under 136.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go under
Under 136.5	Decision Tree	55% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MSU	CONN
Season	16-19-0	19-21-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	11-10-0	13-10-0
Streak	Un 2	Un 2
Last 5	3-2-0	1-4-0
Last 10	6-4-0	3-7-0
Home	7-10-0	8-9-0
Away	9-9-0	11-12-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Michigan St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Colgate	144.5	80-69	Over	+4.5
11/08	Home	Arkansas	155.5	69-66	Under	-20.5
11/13	Home	San Jose St	143.0	79-60	Under	-4.0
11/18	Neutral	Kentucky	153.0	83-66	Under	-4.0
11/21	Home	Detroit Mercy	152.5	84-56	Under	-12.5
11/25	Neutral	E Carolina	142.0	89-56	Over	+3.0
11/27	Neutral	North Carolina	152.5	74-58	Under	-20.5
12/02	Home	Iowa	134.0	71-52	Under	-11.0
12/06	Home	Duke	141.5	60-66	Under	-15.5
12/13	Away	Penn St	145.0	76-72	Over	+3.0
12/16	Home	Toledo	150.5	92-69	Over	+10.5
12/20	Neutral	Oakland	154.5	79-70	Under	-5.5
12/29	Home	Cornell	160.5	114-97	Over	+50.5
01/02	Away	Nebraska	146.5	56-58	Under	-32.5
01/05	Home	USC	150.5	80-51	Under	-19.5
01/08	Home	Northwestern	144.0	76-66	Under	-2.0
01/13	Home	Indiana	145.5	81-60	Under	-4.5
01/17	Away	Washington	146.0	80-63	Under	-3.0
01/20	Away	Oregon	140.0	68-52	Under	-20.0
01/24	Home	Maryland	139.5	91-48	Under	-0.5
01/27	Away	Rutgers	139.0	88-79	Over	+28.0
01/30	Home	Michigan	150.5	71-83	Over	+3.5
02/04	Away	Minnesota	134.5	73-76	Over	+14.5
02/07	Home	Illinois	143.5	85-82	Over	+23.5
02/13	Away	Wisconsin	148.0	71-92	Over	+15.0
02/17	Home	UCLA	139.5	82-59	Over	+1.5
02/22	Home	Ohio St	146.5	66-60	Under	-20.5
02/26	Away	Purdue	143.5	76-74	Over	+6.5
03/01	Away	Indiana	144.5	77-64	Under	-3.5
03/05	Home	Rutgers	141.5	91-87	Over	+36.5
03/08	Away	Michigan	152.5	80-90	Over	+17.5
03/13	Neutral	UCLA	141.5	84-88	Over	+30.5
03/19	Neutral	N Dakota St	143.5	92-67	Over	+15.5
03/21	Neutral	Louisville	151.5	77-69	Under	-5.5
03/27	Neutral	UConn	136.5	63-67	Under	-6.5

UConn Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	New Haven	145.5	79-55	Under	-11.5
11/07	Home	UMass Lowell	152.0	110-47	Over	+5.0
11/10	Home	Columbia	155.0	89-62	Under	-4.0
11/15	Neutral	BYU	155.5	86-84	Over	+14.5
11/19	Home	Arizona	156.5	67-71	Under	-18.5
11/23	Home	Bryant	148.5	72-49	Under	-27.5
11/28	Neutral	Illinois	150.5	74-61	Under	-15.5
12/02	Away	Kansas	141.5	61-56	Under	-24.5
12/05	Home	E Texas A&M	141.5	83-59	Over	+0.5
12/09	Neutral	Florida	145.5	77-73	Over	+4.5
12/12	Home	Texas	145.5	71-63	Under	-11.5
12/16	Home	Butler	144.5	79-60	Under	-5.5
12/21	Away	DePaul	134.5	72-54	Under	-8.5
12/31	Away	Xavier	143.5	90-67	Over	+13.5
01/04	Home	Marquette	144.5	73-57	Under	-14.5
01/07	Away	Providence	152.0	103-98	Over	+49.0
01/10	Home	DePaul	138.0	72-60	Under	-6.0
01/13	Away	Seton Hall	132.5	69-64	Over	+0.5
01/17	Away	Georgetown	141.5	64-62	Under	-15.5
01/24	Home	Villanova	136.5	75-67	Over	+5.5
01/27	Home	Providence	152.0	87-81	Over	+16.0
01/31	Away	Creighton	142.5	85-58	Over	+0.5
02/03	Home	Xavier	147.0	92-60	Over	+5.0
02/06	Away	St John's	143.0	72-81	Over	+10.0
02/11	Away	Butler	145.0	80-70	Over	+5.0
02/14	Home	Georgetown	138.5	79-75	Over	+15.5
02/18	Home	Creighton	143.5	84-91	Over	+31.5
02/21	Away	Villanova	141.5	73-63	Under	-5.5
02/25	Home	St John's	145.5	72-40	Under	-33.5
02/28	Home	Seton Hall	130.5	71-67	Over	+7.5
03/07	Away	Marquette	143.5	62-68	Under	-13.5
03/12	Neutral	Xavier	150.5	93-68	Over	+10.5
03/13	Neutral	Georgetown	138.5	67-51	Under	-20.5
03/14	Away	St John's	138.5	52-72	Under	-14.5
03/20	Neutral	Furman	134.5	82-71	Over	+18.5
03/22	Neutral	UCLA	135.5	73-57	Under	-5.5
03/27	Neutral	Michigan St	136.5	67-63	Under	-6.5
03/29	Neutral	Duke	135.5	73-72	Over	+9.5
04/04	Neutral	Illinois	139.5	71-62	Under	-6.5
04/06	Neutral	Michigan	146.5	63-69	Under	-14.5