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Michigan St vs. UConn: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Mar 27, 2026 9:45 pm - Washington, DC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Connecticut by 2.5, Total Points: 136.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Michigan St +2.5 Official TR Pick Michigan St 50% odds to cover
Michigan St +2.5 Power Rating Model Michigan St 62% odds to cover
Michigan St +2.5 Similar Games Michigan St 54% odds to cover
Michigan St +2.5 Decision Tree Michigan St 50% odds to cover
Michigan St +2.5 Predictive Ratings Michigan St 59% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MSU adv CONN
Season 17-16-2 18-22-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-9-1 9-14-0
Streak L1 W5
Last 5 3-2-0 5-0-0
Last 10 6-4-0 7-3-0
Home 7-9-1 4-13-0
Away 10-7-1 14-9-0

Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Colgate -22.0 W by 11 -11.0
11/08 Home Arkansas -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
11/13 Home San Jose St -24.5 W by 19 -5.5
11/18 Neutral Kentucky +3.5 W by 17 +20.5
11/21 Home Detroit Mercy -30.5 W by 28 -2.5
11/25 Neutral E Carolina -20.0 W by 33 +13.0
11/27 Neutral North Carolina -1.0 W by 16 +15.0
12/02 Home Iowa -4.5 W by 19 +14.5
12/06 Home Duke +1.0 L by 6 -5.0
12/13 Away Penn St -12.5 W by 4 -8.5
12/16 Home Toledo -23.0 W by 23 0.0
12/20 Neutral Oakland -20.0 W by 9 -11.0
12/29 Home Cornell -23.5 W by 17 -6.5
01/02 Away Nebraska +2.0 L by 2 0.0
01/05 Home USC -12.0 W by 29 +17.0
01/08 Home Northwestern -13.0 W by 10 -3.0
01/13 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 21 +14.5
01/17 Away Washington -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
01/20 Away Oregon -10.0 W by 16 +6.0
01/24 Home Maryland -18.5 W by 43 +24.5
01/27 Away Rutgers -14.5 W by 9 -5.5
01/30 Home Michigan +2.5 L by 12 -9.5
02/04 Away Minnesota -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
02/07 Home Illinois -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/13 Away Wisconsin -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
02/17 Home UCLA -8.0 W by 23 +15.0
02/22 Home Ohio St -10.5 W by 6 -4.5
02/26 Away Purdue +6.5 W by 2 +8.5
03/01 Away Indiana -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
03/05 Home Rutgers -19.5 W by 4 -15.5
03/08 Away Michigan +10.5 L by 10 +0.5
03/13 Neutral UCLA -5.5 L by 4 -9.5
03/19 Neutral N Dakota St -15.5 W by 25 +9.5
03/21 Neutral Louisville -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/27 Neutral UConn +2.5 L by 4 -1.5

UConn Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home New Haven -42.5 W by 24 -18.5
11/07 Home UMass Lowell -36.5 W by 63 +26.5
11/10 Home Columbia -33.0 W by 27 -6.0
11/15 Neutral BYU -6.0 W by 2 -4.0
11/19 Home Arizona -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
11/23 Home Bryant -37.0 W by 23 -14.0
11/28 Neutral Illinois -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
12/02 Away Kansas -3.0 W by 5 +2.0
12/05 Home E Texas A&M -36.5 W by 24 -12.5
12/09 Neutral Florida -3.5 W by 4 +0.5
12/12 Home Texas -11.5 W by 8 -3.5
12/16 Home Butler -15.5 W by 19 +3.5
12/21 Away DePaul -12.5 W by 18 +5.5
12/31 Away Xavier -11.5 W by 23 +11.5
01/04 Home Marquette -17.0 W by 16 -1.0
01/07 Away Providence -10.0 W by 5 -5.0
01/10 Home DePaul -19.5 W by 12 -7.5
01/13 Away Seton Hall -7.0 W by 5 -2.0
01/17 Away Georgetown -11.0 W by 2 -9.0
01/24 Home Villanova -11.0 W by 8 -3.0
01/27 Home Providence -15.5 W by 6 -9.5
01/31 Away Creighton -7.5 W by 27 +19.5
02/03 Home Xavier -17.0 W by 32 +15.0
02/06 Away St John's -1.0 L by 9 -10.0
02/11 Away Butler -11.0 W by 10 -1.0
02/14 Home Georgetown -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
02/18 Home Creighton -15.5 L by 7 -22.5
02/21 Away Villanova -3.5 W by 10 +6.5
02/25 Home St John's -5.5 W by 32 +26.5
02/28 Home Seton Hall -13.5 W by 4 -9.5
03/07 Away Marquette -9.5 L by 6 -15.5
03/12 Neutral Xavier -17.5 W by 25 +7.5
03/13 Neutral Georgetown -14.5 W by 16 +1.5
03/14 Away St John's -2.5 L by 20 -22.5
03/20 Neutral Furman -20.5 W by 11 -9.5
03/22 Neutral UCLA -5.5 W by 16 +10.5
03/27 Neutral Michigan St -2.5 W by 4 +1.5
03/29 Neutral Duke +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
04/04 Neutral Illinois +1.5 W by 9 +10.5
04/06 Neutral Michigan +6.5 L by 6 +0.5