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N Illinois at Toledo: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Feb 24, 2026 7:00 pm - Toledo, OH
Odds: Toledo by 12.5, Total Points: 149.5

Matchup Menu: NIU @ TOL

More Games From Feb 24, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 149.5	Official TR Pick	52% odds to go under
Under 149.5	Similar Games	54% odds to go under
Under 149.5	Decision Tree	52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	NIU	TOL
Season	8-20-0	13-19-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	3-15-0	9-12-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 2
Last 5	1-4-0	2-3-0
Last 10	2-8-0	4-6-0
Home	4-7-0	6-7-0
Away	4-13-0	7-12-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

N Illinois Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	UL Monroe	147.0	102-82	Over	+37.0
11/07	Away	Wisconsin	157.5	72-97	Over	+11.5
11/10	Away	Grand Canyon	163.0	59-88	Under	-16.0
11/13	Home	Benedictine University	--	117-62	Under	--
11/18	Away	N Iowa	145.5	57-70	Under	-18.5
11/21	Away	Loyola Chi	148.5	76-59	Under	-13.5
11/25	Away	Austin Peay	148.0	59-77	Under	-12.0
12/02	Home	Lindenwood	148.0	64-99	Over	+15.0
12/06	Away	Bradley	146.5	55-84	Under	-7.5
12/13	Away	Elon	156.5	79-85	Over	+7.5
12/16	Home	East-West University	--	112-64	Under	--
12/20	Home	C Michigan	149.5	74-73	Under	-2.5
12/31	Home	Buffalo	155.0	67-81	Under	-7.0
01/03	Away	Kent St	157.5	73-77	Under	-7.5
01/06	Home	Toledo	160.0	61-75	Under	-24.0
01/13	Away	E Michigan	141.5	59-77	Under	-5.5
01/17	Home	UMass	156.5	70-68	Under	-18.5
01/20	Away	Ohio	155.0	77-80	Over	+2.0
01/24	Away	Ball St	142.0	53-58	Under	-31.0
01/27	Home	W Michigan	147.5	85-65	Over	+2.5
01/31	Away	Miami OH	156.5	61-85	Under	-10.5
02/07	Away	Georgia St	143.0	75-74	Over	+6.0
02/11	Home	Bowling Green	144.5	52-68	Under	-24.5
02/14	Away	C Michigan	146.5	46-88	Under	-12.5
02/17	Away	Buffalo	147.0	72-70	Under	-5.0
02/21	Home	Ohio	148.5	66-74	Under	-8.5
02/24	Away	Toledo	149.5	69-79	Under	-1.5
02/28	Home	Ball St	133.5	43-79	Under	-11.5
03/03	Home	Kent St	148.5	76-102	Over	+29.5
03/06	Away	Akron	155.5	55-94	Under	-6.5

Toledo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	S Alabama	151.0	74-76	Under	-1.0
11/08	Home	Marshall	161.0	73-85	Under	-3.0
11/11	Away	Wright St	159.0	81-71	Under	-7.0
11/15	Home	Detroit Mercy	158.5	90-83	Over	+14.5
11/19	Home	Youngstown St	160.5	92-75	Over	+6.5
11/24	Neutral	Troy	160.5	75-68	Under	-17.5
11/26	Neutral	Belmont	163.5	72-87	Under	-4.5
12/01	Home	Central State (OH)	--	102-58	Under	--
12/06	Away	Oakland	166.5	97-98	Over	+28.5
12/13	Away	Robert Morris	154.5	70-75	Under	-9.5
12/16	Away	Michigan St	150.5	69-92	Over	+10.5
12/20	Home	Lourdes	--	100-67	Under	--
12/30	Home	W Michigan	160.0	84-79	Over	+3.0
01/03	Away	C Michigan	158.0	78-75	Under	-5.0
01/06	Away	N Illinois	160.0	75-61	Under	-24.0
01/09	Home	Miami OH	166.0	73-87	Under	-6.0
01/13	Home	Ohio	161.5	101-85	Over	+24.5
01/16	Away	Kent St	168.0	84-87	Over	+3.0
01/20	Away	UMass	163.5	82-84	Over	+2.5
01/24	Home	Bowling Green	156.5	73-72	Under	-11.5
01/27	Away	Akron	169.5	81-91	Over	+2.5
01/31	Home	Ball St	146.5	73-55	Under	-18.5
02/03	Home	Kent St	161.5	72-75	Under	-14.5
02/07	Away	J Madison	153.0	71-73	Under	-9.0
02/11	Away	W Michigan	155.0	90-79	Over	+14.0
02/14	Away	Bowling Green	151.0	70-80	Under	-1.0
02/21	Home	E Michigan	146.5	94-75	Over	+22.5
02/24	Home	N Illinois	149.5	79-69	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Ohio	158.5	79-67	Under	-12.5
03/03	Away	Miami OH	162.5	72-74	Under	-16.5
03/06	Home	Buffalo	155.5	98-78	Over	+20.5
03/12	Neutral	Bowling Green	150.5	77-76	Over	+2.5
03/13	Neutral	UMass	158.5	77-67	Under	-14.5
03/14	Neutral	Akron	157.5	76-79	Under	-2.5