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TCU at UCF: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Feb 17, 2026 7:00 pm - Orlando, FL
Odds: TCU by 1, Total Points: 154.5

Matchup Menu: TCU @ UCF

More Games From Feb 17, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 154.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 154.5	Similar Games	50% odds to go under
Under 154.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TCU	UCF
Season	15-20-0	13-20-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-10-0	7-13-0
Streak	Un 2	Un 4
Last 5	2-3-0	1-4-0
Last 10	3-7-0	4-6-0
Home	8-11-0	9-9-0
Away	7-9-0	4-11-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

TCU Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	New Orleans	150.5	74-78	Over	+1.5
11/06	Home	St Francis PA	153.0	104-63	Over	+14.0
11/10	Home	Lamar	148.5	78-65	Under	-5.5
11/14	Home	Michigan	163.5	63-67	Under	-33.5
11/19	Home	Kansas City	150.5	81-45	Under	-24.5
11/27	Neutral	Florida	155.5	84-80	Over	+8.5
11/28	Neutral	Wisconsin	157.0	74-63	Under	-20.0
12/05	Home	Notre Dame	141.5	85-87	Over	+30.5
12/07	Neutral	N Texas	135.0	65-55	Under	-15.0
12/15	Home	Incarnate Word	144.0	69-65	Under	-10.0
12/18	Home	Oral Roberts	147.5	72-53	Under	-22.5
12/21	Home	Florida A&M	142.5	80-56	Under	-6.5
12/29	Home	Jackson St	142.5	115-64	Over	+36.5
01/03	Home	Baylor	154.5	69-63	Under	-22.5
01/06	Away	Kansas	143.0	100-104	Over	+61.0
01/10	Home	Arizona	158.0	73-86	Over	+1.0
01/14	Away	BYU	161.0	70-76	Under	-15.0
01/17	Away	Utah	155.0	79-82	Over	+6.0
01/20	Home	Oklahoma St	161.5	68-65	Under	-28.5
01/24	Away	Baylor	147.0	97-90	Over	+40.0
01/28	Home	Houston	139.5	70-79	Over	+9.5
02/01	Away	Colorado	153.5	61-87	Under	-5.5
02/07	Home	Kansas St	155.5	84-82	Over	+10.5
02/10	Home	Iowa St	147.5	62-55	Under	-30.5
02/14	Away	Oklahoma St	156.0	95-92	Over	+31.0
02/17	Away	UCF	154.5	71-82	Under	-1.5
02/21	Home	West Virginia	133.5	60-54	Under	-19.5
02/24	Home	Arizona St	149.5	90-78	Over	+18.5
02/28	Away	Kansas St	160.5	77-68	Under	-15.5
03/03	Away	Texas Tech	147.5	73-65	Under	-9.5
03/07	Home	Cincinnati	140.5	73-63	Under	-4.5
03/11	Neutral	Oklahoma St	157.5	95-88	Over	+25.5
03/12	Neutral	Kansas	145.5	73-78	Over	+5.5
03/19	Neutral	Ohio St	146.5	66-64	Under	-16.5
03/21	Neutral	Duke	141.5	58-81	Under	-2.5

UCF Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Hofstra	140.5	82-78	Over	+19.5
11/08	Home	Vanderbilt	166.5	93-105	Over	+31.5
11/11	Home	Florida A&M	170.5	97-60	Under	-13.5
11/14	Away	Texas A&M	173.5	86-74	Under	-13.5
11/17	Home	Oakland	162.5	87-83	Over	+7.5
11/20	Neutral	Pittsburgh	149.5	77-67	Under	-5.5
11/25	Home	Quinnipiac	162.5	102-91	Over	+30.5
11/29	Home	VMI	159.5	82-57	Under	-20.5
12/07	Home	Towson	148.5	86-61	Under	-1.5
12/17	Home	Mercer	160.5	81-63	Under	-16.5
12/20	Home	FGCU	161.5	102-80	Over	+20.5
12/23	Neutral	Florida Atlantic	162.5	85-80	Over	+2.5
01/03	Home	Kansas	157.5	81-75	Under	-1.5
01/06	Away	Oklahoma St	175.5	76-87	Under	-12.5
01/11	Home	Cincinnati	150.5	73-72	Under	-5.5
01/14	Away	Kansas St	170.5	82-73	Under	-15.5
01/17	Home	Arizona	166.0	77-84	Under	-5.0
01/20	Away	Iowa St	157.5	57-87	Under	-13.5
01/24	Away	Colorado	159.5	95-86	Over	+21.5
01/27	Home	Arizona St	161.5	79-76	Under	-6.5
01/31	Home	Texas Tech	160.5	88-80	Over	+7.5
02/04	Away	Houston	147.0	55-79	Under	-13.0
02/08	Away	Cincinnati	146.0	72-92	Over	+18.0
02/14	Home	West Virginia	138.5	67-74	Over	+2.5
02/17	Home	TCU	154.5	82-71	Under	-1.5
02/21	Away	Utah	154.5	73-71	Under	-10.5
02/24	Away	BYU	161.5	97-84	Over	+19.5
02/28	Home	Baylor	160.5	86-87	Over	+12.5
03/03	Home	Oklahoma St	167.5	104-111	Over	+47.5
03/06	Away	West Virginia	142.5	62-77	Under	-3.5
03/11	Neutral	Cincinnati	149.5	66-65	Under	-18.5
03/12	Neutral	Arizona	159.5	59-81	Under	-19.5
03/20	Neutral	UCLA	151.5	71-75	Under	-5.5