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TCU at UCF: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Feb 17, 2026 7:00 pm - Orlando, FL
Odds: TCU by 1, Total Points: 154.5

Matchup Menu: TCU @ UCF

More Games From Feb 17, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
UCF +1.0 Official TR Pick UCF 50% odds to cover
UCF +1.0 Power Rating Model UCF 63% odds to cover
UCF +1.0 Decision Tree UCF 50% odds to cover
UCF +1.0 Predictive Ratings UCF 59% odds to cover
TCU -1.0 Similar Games TCU 56% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record TCU adv UCF
Season 19-16-0 16-17-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-9-0 9-11-0
Streak L1 W1
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-4-0 5-5-0
Home 9-10-0 8-10-0
Away 10-6-0 8-7-0

TCU Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home New Orleans -22.0 L by 4 -26.0
11/06 Home St Francis PA -28.0 W by 41 +13.0
11/10 Home Lamar -18.5 W by 13 -5.5
11/14 Home Michigan +7.5 L by 4 +3.5
11/19 Home Kansas City -24.5 W by 36 +11.5
11/27 Neutral Florida +11.0 W by 4 +15.0
11/28 Neutral Wisconsin +6.5 W by 11 +17.5
12/05 Home Notre Dame -7.0 L by 2 -9.0
12/07 Neutral N Texas +9.5 W by 10 +19.5
12/15 Home Incarnate Word -19.0 W by 4 -15.0
12/18 Home Oral Roberts -23.5 W by 19 -4.5
12/21 Home Florida A&M -29.5 W by 24 -5.5
12/29 Home Jackson St -31.0 W by 51 +20.0
01/03 Home Baylor -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
01/06 Away Kansas +6.5 L by 4 +2.5
01/10 Home Arizona +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
01/14 Away BYU +13.0 L by 6 +7.0
01/17 Away Utah -5.0 L by 3 -8.0
01/20 Home Oklahoma St -8.5 W by 3 -5.5
01/24 Away Baylor +5.5 W by 7 +12.5
01/28 Home Houston +7.5 L by 9 -1.5
02/01 Away Colorado -1.0 L by 26 -27.0
02/07 Home Kansas St -9.5 W by 2 -7.5
02/10 Home Iowa St +7.5 W by 7 +14.5
02/14 Away Oklahoma St (Pick) W by 3 +3.0
02/17 Away UCF -1.0 L by 11 -12.0
02/21 Home West Virginia -4.5 W by 6 +1.5
02/24 Home Arizona St -6.5 W by 12 +5.5
02/28 Away Kansas St -3.5 W by 9 +5.5
03/03 Away Texas Tech +8.5 W by 8 +16.5
03/07 Home Cincinnati -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
03/11 Neutral Oklahoma St -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
03/12 Neutral Kansas +4.5 L by 5 -0.5
03/19 Neutral Ohio St +2.5 W by 2 +4.5
03/21 Neutral Duke +12.5 L by 23 -10.5

UCF Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Hofstra -9.5 W by 4 -5.5
11/08 Home Vanderbilt +9.5 L by 12 -2.5
11/11 Home Florida A&M -23.0 W by 37 +14.0
11/14 Away Texas A&M +10.5 W by 12 +22.5
11/17 Home Oakland -13.5 W by 4 -9.5
11/20 Neutral Pittsburgh +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
11/25 Home Quinnipiac -13.5 W by 11 -2.5
11/29 Home VMI -25.5 W by 25 -0.5
12/07 Home Towson -9.5 W by 25 +15.5
12/17 Home Mercer -16.0 W by 18 +2.0
12/20 Home FGCU -16.5 W by 22 +5.5
12/23 Neutral Florida Atlantic -9.0 W by 5 -4.0
01/03 Home Kansas +4.5 W by 6 +10.5
01/06 Away Oklahoma St +2.0 L by 11 -9.0
01/11 Home Cincinnati -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
01/14 Away Kansas St +2.5 W by 9 +11.5
01/17 Home Arizona +9.5 L by 7 +2.5
01/20 Away Iowa St +14.5 L by 30 -15.5
01/24 Away Colorado +3.5 W by 9 +12.5
01/27 Home Arizona St -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
01/31 Home Texas Tech +5.0 W by 8 +13.0
02/04 Away Houston +15.0 L by 24 -9.0
02/08 Away Cincinnati +4.5 L by 20 -15.5
02/14 Home West Virginia -3.5 L by 7 -10.5
02/17 Home TCU +1.0 W by 11 +12.0
02/21 Away Utah -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
02/24 Away BYU +14.5 W by 13 +27.5
02/28 Home Baylor -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
03/03 Home Oklahoma St -8.5 L by 7 -15.5
03/06 Away West Virginia +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
03/11 Neutral Cincinnati +2.5 W by 1 +3.5
03/12 Neutral Arizona +15.5 L by 22 -6.5
03/20 Neutral UCLA +5.5 L by 4 +1.5