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Southern Miss vs. App State: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Mar 7, 2026 6:30 pm - Pensacola, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: App State by 4.5, Total Points: 137.5

Matchup Menu: USM vs. APP

More Games From Mar 7, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Southern Miss +4.5 Official TR Pick Southern Miss 50% odds to cover
Southern Miss +4.5 Power Rating Model Southern Miss 66% odds to cover
Southern Miss +4.5 Similar Games Southern Miss 50% odds to cover
Southern Miss +4.5 Decision Tree Southern Miss 51% odds to cover
Southern Miss +4.5 Predictive Ratings Southern Miss 53% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record USM adv APP
Season 16-16-0 16-13-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 12-10-0 10-8-1
Streak L1 L2
Last 5 4-1-0 1-4-0
Last 10 8-2-0 5-5-0
Home 5-6-0 7-6-0
Away 11-10-0 9-7-1

Southern Miss Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away Buffalo +3.5 L by 6 -2.5
11/06 Home Tougaloo -- W by 36 --
11/09 Away South Carolina +17.0 L by 4 +13.0
11/13 Away Grambling +2.0 L by 5 -3.0
11/18 Home William Carey -- W by 23 --
11/22 Neutral N Florida -9.5 W by 9 -0.5
11/23 Neutral UT Martin -- W by 10 --
12/03 Away Radford +3.5 W by 7 +10.5
12/06 Away Miami +19.0 L by 24 -5.0
12/08 Home Grambling -8.5 W by 8 -0.5
12/13 Neutral Mississippi +13.0 L by 4 +9.0
12/18 Home Louisiana -11.5 W by 8 -3.5
12/20 Home Arkansas St +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
12/29 Away LSU +21.5 L by 28 -6.5
01/01 Away UL Monroe -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
01/03 Away Louisiana -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
01/08 Home Texas St -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
01/10 Home UL Monroe -14.5 W by 10 -4.5
01/14 Away Troy +9.0 L by 26 -17.0
01/17 Away Texas St +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
01/22 Away Georgia St +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
01/24 Away Coastal Car +2.5 L by 18 -15.5
01/29 Home App State +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
01/31 Home J Madison +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
02/04 Away Marshall +10.5 L by 4 +6.5
02/07 Home Kent St +4.5 W by 1 +5.5
02/12 Home S Alabama -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
02/14 Home Troy +5.0 W by 4 +9.0
02/21 Home Old Dominion -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
02/24 Away Arkansas St +9.5 L by 5 +4.5
02/27 Away S Alabama +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
03/05 Neutral J Madison +2.5 W by 6 +8.5
03/06 Neutral Texas St +1.5 W by 4 +5.5
03/07 Neutral App State +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
03/08 Neutral Troy +5.5 L by 8 -2.5

App State Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Away C Michigan +1.0 L by 16 -15.0
11/05 Home Piedmont International -- W by 46 --
11/09 Home NC Central -11.0 W by 22 +11.0
11/11 Away Ohio St +23.5 L by 22 +1.5
11/16 Away Dartmouth +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
11/21 Home Charlotte -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
11/24 Home Elon -5.5 L by 35 -40.5
11/26 Away Mercer +5.5 L by 8 -2.5
11/30 Neutral NC Asheville +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
12/03 Home Virginia-Lynchburg -- W by 88 --
12/11 Away E Carolina +4.5 W by 13 +17.5
12/14 Neutral High Point +12.0 W by 8 +20.0
12/18 Home Coastal Car -4.5 W by 18 +13.5
12/20 Home Georgia St -7.5 L by 7 -14.5
12/31 Away Old Dominion +1.0 W by 8 +9.0
01/03 Away Marshall +7.0 L by 7 0.0
01/08 Away Georgia St -1.0 W by 2 +1.0
01/10 Away Coastal Car (Pick) L by 5 -5.0
01/15 Home J Madison -2.5 W by 15 +12.5
01/17 Home Old Dominion -6.5 L by 2 -8.5
01/22 Home Louisiana -9.0 W by 14 +5.0
01/23 Home UL Monroe -16.5 W by 16 -0.5
01/29 Away Southern Miss -1.5 W by 7 +5.5
01/31 Away Troy +8.5 W by 22 +30.5
02/04 Home S Alabama -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
02/07 Home E Michigan -7.0 W by 5 -2.0
02/11 Away Georgia So -2.0 W by 16 +14.0
02/14 Away J Madison -1.0 L by 11 -12.0
02/19 Home Marshall -3.5 L by 1 -4.5
02/21 Home Georgia So -7.5 W by 15 +7.5
02/27 Away Texas St +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
03/07 Neutral Southern Miss -4.5 L by 13 -17.5