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Southern Miss vs. App State: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Mar 7, 2026 6:30 pm - Pensacola, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: App State by 4.5, Total Points: 137.5

Matchup Menu: USM vs. APP

More Games From Mar 7, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 137.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 137.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go under
Under 137.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	USM	APP
Season	20-12-0	12-18-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	15-7-0	9-10-0
Streak	Ov 4	Ov 1
Last 5	4-1-0	3-2-0
Last 10	7-3-0	4-6-0
Home	4-7-0	5-8-0
Away	16-5-0	7-10-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Southern Miss Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Buffalo	154.0	79-85	Over	+10.0
11/06	Home	Tougaloo	--	93-57	Under	--
11/09	Away	South Carolina	147.5	79-83	Over	+14.5
11/13	Away	Grambling	147.5	70-75	Under	-2.5
11/18	Home	William Carey	--	82-59	Under	--
11/22	Neutral	N Florida	155.0	92-83	Over	+20.0
11/23	Neutral	UT Martin	150.0	70-60	Under	-20.0
12/03	Away	Radford	153.0	82-75	Over	+4.0
12/06	Away	Miami	145.5	64-88	Over	+6.5
12/08	Home	Grambling	142.5	68-60	Under	-14.5
12/13	Neutral	Mississippi	138.5	67-71	Under	-0.5
12/18	Home	Louisiana	132.5	62-54	Under	-16.5
12/20	Home	Arkansas St	155.5	86-93	Over	+23.5
12/29	Away	LSU	154.5	62-90	Under	-2.5
01/01	Away	UL Monroe	154.5	87-73	Over	+5.5
01/03	Away	Louisiana	129.5	74-67	Over	+11.5
01/08	Home	Texas St	144.5	80-70	Over	+5.5
01/10	Home	UL Monroe	155.5	70-60	Under	-25.5
01/14	Away	Troy	145.5	65-91	Over	+10.5
01/17	Away	Texas St	140.5	67-74	Over	+0.5
01/22	Away	Georgia St	144.5	62-69	Under	-13.5
01/24	Away	Coastal Car	143.5	67-85	Over	+8.5
01/29	Home	App State	134.5	63-70	Under	-1.5
01/31	Home	J Madison	143.0	73-65	Under	-5.0
02/04	Away	Marshall	147.5	77-81	Over	+10.5
02/07	Home	Kent St	150.5	66-65	Under	-19.5
02/12	Home	S Alabama	135.5	78-84	Over	+26.5
02/14	Home	Troy	144.5	69-65	Under	-10.5
02/21	Home	Old Dominion	147.5	86-81	Over	+19.5
02/24	Away	Arkansas St	158.5	84-89	Over	+14.5
02/27	Away	S Alabama	141.5	68-55	Under	-18.5
03/05	Neutral	J Madison	143.5	86-80	Over	+22.5
03/06	Neutral	Texas St	140.5	81-77	Over	+17.5
03/07	Neutral	App State	137.5	86-73	Over	+21.5
03/08	Neutral	Troy	143.5	70-78	Over	+4.5

App State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	C Michigan	142.0	66-82	Over	+6.0
11/05	Home	Piedmont International	--	92-46	Under	--
11/09	Home	NC Central	136.5	76-54	Under	-6.5
11/11	Away	Ohio St	147.0	53-75	Under	-19.0
11/16	Away	Dartmouth	140.5	85-77	Over	+21.5
11/21	Home	Charlotte	132.5	65-63	Under	-4.5
11/24	Home	Elon	143.5	53-88	Under	-2.5
11/26	Away	Mercer	142.5	67-75	Under	-0.5
11/30	Neutral	NC Asheville	136.5	55-67	Under	-14.5
12/03	Home	Virginia-Lynchburg	--	133-45	Under	--
12/11	Away	E Carolina	132.0	67-54	Under	-11.0
12/14	Neutral	High Point	144.5	86-78	Over	+19.5
12/18	Home	Coastal Car	138.0	67-49	Under	-22.0
12/20	Home	Georgia St	137.5	63-70	Under	-4.5
12/31	Away	Old Dominion	136.5	81-73	Over	+17.5
01/03	Away	Marshall	141.5	81-88	Over	+27.5
01/08	Away	Georgia St	140.5	52-50	Under	-38.5
01/10	Away	Coastal Car	133.5	62-67	Under	-4.5
01/15	Home	J Madison	133.5	80-65	Over	+11.5
01/17	Home	Old Dominion	140.5	73-75	Over	+7.5
01/22	Home	Louisiana	123.0	72-58	Over	+7.0
01/23	Home	UL Monroe	142.5	59-43	Under	-40.5
01/29	Away	Southern Miss	134.5	70-63	Under	-1.5
01/31	Away	Troy	137.0	66-44	Under	-27.0
02/04	Home	S Alabama	131.0	65-57	Under	-9.0
02/07	Home	E Michigan	129.5	65-60	Under	-4.5
02/11	Away	Georgia So	143.0	81-65	Over	+3.0
02/14	Away	J Madison	135.0	58-69	Under	-8.0
02/19	Home	Marshall	144.0	93-94	Over	+43.0
02/21	Home	Georgia So	147.5	89-74	Over	+15.5
02/27	Away	Texas St	135.5	57-60	Under	-18.5
03/07	Neutral	Southern Miss	137.5	73-86	Over	+21.5