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Alabama vs. Michigan: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Mar 27, 2026 7:35 pm - Chicago, IL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Michigan by 9.5, Total Points: 172.5

Matchup Menu: ALA vs. MICH

More Games From Mar 27, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 172.5	Official TR Pick	55% odds to go under
Under 172.5	Decision Tree	55% odds to go under
Over 172.5	Similar Games	62% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	ALA	MICH
Season	17-16-1	17-23-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-8-1	9-14-0
Streak	Un 2	Un 1
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	5-5-0	6-4-0
Home	7-8-0	6-9-0
Away	10-8-1	11-14-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Alabama Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	North Dakota	170.5	91-62	Under	-17.5
11/08	Away	St John's	--	103-96	Under	--
11/13	Home	Purdue	172.5	80-87	Under	-5.5
11/19	Neutral	Illinois	181.5	90-86	Under	-5.5
11/24	Neutral	Gonzaga	178.5	85-95	Over	+1.5
11/25	Neutral	UNLV	181.0	115-76	Over	+10.0
11/26	Neutral	Maryland	166.5	105-72	Over	+10.5
12/03	Home	Clemson	166.0	90-84	Over	+8.0
12/07	Home	UTSA	171.0	97-55	Under	-19.0
12/13	Neutral	Arizona	178.5	75-96	Under	-7.5
12/17	Home	S Florida	178.5	104-93	Over	+18.5
12/21	Neutral	Kennesaw St	182.5	92-81	Under	-9.5
12/29	Home	Yale	171.0	102-78	Over	+9.0
01/03	Home	Kentucky	174.0	89-74	Under	-11.0
01/07	Away	Vanderbilt	176.0	90-96	Over	+10.0
01/10	Home	Texas	177.5	88-92	Over	+2.5
01/13	Away	Mississippi St	171.5	97-82	Over	+7.5
01/17	Away	Oklahoma	176.0	83-81	Under	-12.0
01/24	Home	Tennessee	167.5	73-79	Under	-15.5
01/27	Home	Missouri	166.5	90-64	Under	-12.5
02/01	Away	Florida	177.0	77-100	Push	0.0
02/04	Home	Texas A&M	179.5	100-97	Over	+17.5
02/07	Away	Auburn	175.5	96-92	Over	+12.5
02/11	Away	Mississippi	163.0	93-74	Over	+4.0
02/14	Home	South Carolina	168.0	89-75	Under	-4.0
02/18	Home	Arkansas	184.0	117-115	Over	+48.0
02/21	Away	LSU	171.5	90-83	Over	+1.5
02/25	Home	Mississippi St	176.5	100-75	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Tennessee	162.5	71-69	Under	-22.5
03/03	Away	Georgia	179.5	88-98	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	Auburn	175.5	96-84	Over	+4.5
03/13	Neutral	Mississippi	166.5	79-80	Under	-7.5
03/20	Neutral	Hofstra	158.5	90-70	Over	+1.5
03/22	Neutral	Texas Tech	164.5	90-65	Under	-9.5
03/27	Neutral	Michigan	172.5	77-90	Under	-5.5

Michigan Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Oakland	156.5	121-78	Over	+42.5
11/11	Neutral	Wake Forest	167.0	85-84	Over	+2.0
11/14	Away	TCU	163.5	67-63	Under	-33.5
11/19	Home	Middle Tenn	159.5	86-61	Under	-12.5
11/24	Neutral	San Diego St	149.5	94-54	Under	-1.5
11/25	Neutral	Auburn	163.5	102-72	Over	+10.5
11/26	Neutral	Gonzaga	165.5	101-61	Under	-3.5
12/06	Home	Rutgers	153.0	101-60	Over	+8.0
12/09	Home	Villanova	157.0	89-61	Under	-7.0
12/13	Away	Maryland	163.5	101-83	Over	+20.5
12/21	Home	La Salle	155.5	102-50	Under	-3.5
12/29	Home	McNeese	162.0	112-71	Over	+21.0
01/02	Home	USC	173.5	96-66	Under	-11.5
01/06	Away	Penn St	168.5	74-72	Under	-22.5
01/10	Home	Wisconsin	169.5	88-91	Over	+9.5
01/14	Away	Washington	165.5	82-72	Under	-11.5
01/17	Away	Oregon	157.5	81-71	Under	-5.5
01/20	Home	Indiana	163.5	86-72	Under	-5.5
01/23	Home	Ohio St	165.5	74-62	Under	-29.5
01/27	Home	Nebraska	157.0	75-72	Under	-10.0
01/30	Away	Michigan St	150.5	83-71	Over	+3.5
02/05	Home	Penn St	162.5	110-69	Over	+16.5
02/08	Away	Ohio St	161.5	82-61	Under	-18.5
02/11	Away	Northwestern	154.0	87-75	Over	+8.0
02/14	Home	UCLA	155.5	86-56	Under	-13.5
02/17	Away	Purdue	157.0	91-80	Over	+14.0
02/21	Neutral	Duke	150.5	63-68	Under	-19.5
02/24	Home	Minnesota	145.5	77-67	Under	-1.5
02/27	Away	Illinois	159.5	84-70	Under	-5.5
03/05	Away	Iowa	146.5	71-68	Under	-7.5
03/08	Home	Michigan St	152.5	90-80	Over	+17.5
03/13	Neutral	Ohio St	155.5	71-67	Under	-17.5
03/14	Neutral	Wisconsin	162.5	68-65	Under	-29.5
03/15	Neutral	Purdue	149.5	72-80	Over	+2.5
03/19	Neutral	Howard	151.5	101-80	Over	+29.5
03/21	Neutral	Saint Louis	161.5	95-72	Over	+5.5
03/27	Neutral	Alabama	172.5	90-77	Under	-5.5
03/29	Neutral	Tennessee	146.5	95-62	Over	+10.5
04/04	Neutral	Arizona	157.5	91-73	Over	+6.5
04/06	Neutral	UConn	146.5	69-63	Under	-14.5