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Alabama vs. Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Friday Mar 27, 2026 7:35 pm -
Chicago, IL
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Michigan by 9.5,
Total Points:
172.5
Matchup Menu: ALA vs. MICH
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Michigan -9.5 | Official TR Pick | Michigan 54% odds to cover |
| Michigan -9.5 | Similar Games | Michigan 54% odds to cover |
| Michigan -9.5 | Decision Tree | Michigan 55% odds to cover |
| Alabama +9.5 | Power Rating Model | Alabama 68% odds to cover |
| Alabama +9.5 | Predictive Ratings | Alabama 58% odds to cover |
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ALA | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-19-0 | 19-21-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 8-15-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 6-9-0 | 8-7-0 | |
| Away | 9-10-0 | 11-14-0 |
Alabama Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | North Dakota | -35.5 | W by 29 | -6.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | St John's | -- | W by 7 | -- |
| 11/13 | Home | Purdue | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Illinois | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | UNLV | -14.5 | W by 39 | +24.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Maryland | -14.5 | W by 33 | +18.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Clemson | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/07 | Home | UTSA | -33.5 | W by 42 | +8.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | Arizona | +2.5 | L by 21 | -18.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | S Florida | -14.5 | W by 11 | -3.5 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Kennesaw St | -20.0 | W by 11 | -9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Yale | -15.0 | W by 24 | +9.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Kentucky | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Vanderbilt | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Texas | -11.5 | L by 4 | -15.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Mississippi St | -4.5 | W by 15 | +10.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Oklahoma | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Tennessee | -4.0 | L by 6 | -10.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Missouri | -10.5 | W by 26 | +15.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Florida | +9.0 | L by 23 | -14.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Texas A&M | -8.0 | W by 3 | -5.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 19 | +12.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | South Carolina | -17.5 | W by 14 | -3.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Arkansas | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | LSU | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Mississippi St | -12.5 | W by 25 | +12.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Tennessee | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | Georgia | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Auburn | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Mississippi | -12.5 | L by 1 | -13.5 |
| 03/20 | Neutral | Hofstra | -12.5 | W by 20 | +7.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -1.5 | W by 25 | +23.5 |
| 03/27 | Neutral | Michigan | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Oakland | -24.5 | W by 43 | +18.5 |
| 11/11 | Neutral | Wake Forest | -15.0 | W by 1 | -14.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | TCU | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Middle Tenn | -28.0 | W by 25 | -3.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | San Diego St | -5.5 | W by 40 | +34.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Auburn | -5.0 | W by 30 | +25.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +2.5 | W by 40 | +42.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Rutgers | -25.5 | W by 41 | +15.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Villanova | -18.0 | W by 28 | +10.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Maryland | -19.5 | W by 18 | -1.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | La Salle | -40.5 | W by 52 | +11.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | McNeese | -24.0 | W by 41 | +17.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | USC | -22.5 | W by 30 | +7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Penn St | -24.0 | W by 2 | -22.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Wisconsin | -19.0 | L by 3 | -22.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Washington | -12.5 | W by 10 | -2.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Oregon | -18.5 | W by 10 | -8.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Indiana | -15.5 | W by 14 | -1.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ohio St | -16.5 | W by 12 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Nebraska | -12.0 | W by 3 | -9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Michigan St | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Penn St | -26.5 | W by 41 | +14.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Ohio St | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 02/11 | Away | Northwestern | -15.0 | W by 12 | -3.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | UCLA | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Purdue | -2.5 | W by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/21 | Neutral | Duke | -2.5 | L by 5 | -7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Minnesota | -21.5 | W by 10 | -11.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Illinois | -1.5 | W by 14 | +12.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Iowa | -9.5 | W by 3 | -6.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | Michigan St | -10.5 | W by 10 | -0.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Ohio St | -12.5 | W by 4 | -8.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -12.5 | W by 3 | -9.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Purdue | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Howard | -30.5 | W by 21 | -9.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Saint Louis | -12.5 | W by 23 | +10.5 |
| 03/27 | Neutral | Alabama | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Tennessee | -8.5 | W by 33 | +24.5 |
| 04/04 | Neutral | Arizona | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | UConn | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |