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Buffalo at UMBC: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Dec 9, 2025 5:00 pm - Baltimore, MD
Odds: Buffalo by 3, Total Points: 145.5

Matchup Menu: BUFF @ UMBC

More Games From Dec 9, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 145.5	Official TR Pick	56% odds to go under
Under 145.5	Decision Tree	56% odds to go under
Over 145.5	Similar Games	56% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	BUFF	UMBC
Season	16-14-0	14-17-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-9-0	8-11-0
Streak	Un 1	Ov 1
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	4-6-0	4-6-0
Home	7-6-0	7-8-0
Away	9-8-0	7-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Buffalo Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Southern Miss	154.0	85-79	Over	+10.0
11/07	Home	Green Bay	148.0	83-76	Over	+11.0
11/11	Away	DePaul	153.5	66-53	Under	-34.5
11/15	Home	RIT	--	80-64	Under	--
11/18	Home	Vermont	141.5	94-90	Over	+42.5
11/24	Neutral	VMI	151.0	78-70	Under	-3.0
11/26	Neutral	Bucknell	147.0	73-71	Under	-3.0
11/29	Away	Canisius	139.0	71-53	Under	-15.0
12/06	Home	St Bonaventure	144.0	69-77	Over	+2.0
12/09	Away	UMBC	145.5	83-79	Over	+16.5
12/14	Away	E Carolina	146.5	70-73	Under	-3.5
12/20	Away	W Michigan	151.0	88-71	Over	+8.0
12/22	Home	Penn St.-Behrend	--	92-63	Under	--
12/31	Away	N Illinois	155.0	81-67	Under	-7.0
01/03	Home	Ball St	144.5	85-72	Over	+12.5
01/10	Away	Ohio	156.0	80-91	Over	+15.0
01/13	Home	Kent St	165.5	81-87	Over	+2.5
01/17	Away	Miami OH	162.5	102-105	Over	+44.5
01/20	Home	Akron	166.5	63-82	Under	-21.5
01/23	Home	UMass	159.5	67-68	Under	-24.5
01/27	Away	Bowling Green	150.0	89-78	Over	+17.0
01/31	Home	Ohio	156.5	83-95	Over	+21.5
02/03	Home	Miami OH	164.5	71-73	Under	-20.5
02/07	Away	S Alabama	144.0	69-81	Over	+6.0
02/11	Away	Ball St	141.5	63-53	Under	-25.5
02/17	Home	N Illinois	147.0	70-72	Under	-5.0
02/21	Away	UMass	151.5	86-82	Over	+16.5
02/24	Away	Akron	160.5	85-99	Over	+23.5
02/28	Home	C Michigan	151.5	70-75	Under	-6.5
03/03	Home	E Michigan	144.5	72-67	Under	-5.5
03/06	Away	Toledo	155.5	78-98	Over	+20.5
03/12	Neutral	Akron	158.5	70-73	Under	-15.5

UMBC Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Penn St.-York	--	74-53	Under	--
11/08	Away	Dayton	154.5	71-77	Under	-6.5
11/11	Away	Morgan St	162.0	81-79	Under	-2.0
11/16	Home	Wagner	140.0	71-70	Over	+1.0
11/19	Away	G Washington	160.5	52-89	Under	-19.5
11/24	Home	Notre Dame (MD)	--	102-52	Under	--
11/29	Home	Delaware St	138.5	71-57	Under	-10.5
12/03	Away	Georgetown	149.5	81-90	Over	+21.5
12/06	Away	Bucknell	143.5	73-66	Under	-4.5
12/09	Home	Buffalo	145.5	79-83	Over	+16.5
12/12	Home	Army	148.0	60-63	Under	-25.0
12/21	Away	S Florida	160.0	69-94	Over	+3.0
12/29	Away	Coppin St	148.5	93-59	Over	+3.5
01/08	Home	Maine	134.0	69-62	Under	-3.0
01/10	Home	New Hampshire	144.5	75-74	Over	+4.5
01/15	Away	Bryant	135.5	74-79	Over	+17.5
01/19	Away	Binghamton	140.5	78-60	Under	-2.5
01/22	Home	NJIT	143.5	87-74	Over	+17.5
01/24	Home	UMass Lowell	151.5	79-56	Under	-16.5
01/29	Away	Vermont	142.0	55-64	Under	-23.0
01/31	Away	Albany	141.0	68-65	Under	-8.0
02/05	Home	Binghamton	138.0	79-62	Over	+3.0
02/12	Away	Maine	135.0	78-62	Over	+5.0
02/14	Away	New Hampshire	145.0	85-63	Over	+3.0
02/19	Home	Vermont	142.0	75-62	Under	-5.0
02/21	Home	Albany	144.5	66-62	Under	-16.5
02/26	Home	Bryant	138.5	70-58	Under	-10.5
02/28	Away	UMass Lowell	150.5	84-60	Under	-6.5
03/03	Away	NJIT	143.5	91-52	Under	-0.5
03/07	Home	New Hampshire	141.5	84-69	Over	+11.5
03/10	Home	UMass Lowell	147.5	91-69	Over	+12.5
03/14	Home	Vermont	134.5	74-59	Under	-1.5
03/17	Neutral	Howard	144.5	83-86	Over	+24.5