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Buffalo at UMBC: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Dec 9, 2025 5:00 pm - Baltimore, MD
Odds: Buffalo by 3, Total Points: 145.5

Matchup Menu: BUFF @ UMBC

More Games From Dec 9, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
UMBC +3.0 Official TR Pick UMBC 52% odds to cover
UMBC +3.0 Power Rating Model UMBC 54% odds to cover
UMBC +3.0 Decision Tree UMBC 53% odds to cover
UMBC +3.0 Predictive Ratings UMBC 66% odds to cover
Buffalo -3.0 Similar Games Buffalo 55% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record BUFF adv UMBC
Season 18-12-0 19-12-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-8-0 14-5-0
Streak W1 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 4-1-0
Last 10 5-5-0 8-2-0
Home 6-7-0 9-6-0
Away 12-5-0 10-6-0

Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Southern Miss -3.5 W by 6 +2.5
11/07 Home Green Bay -4.0 W by 7 +3.0
11/11 Away DePaul +18.5 W by 13 +31.5
11/15 Home RIT -- W by 16 --
11/18 Home Vermont +2.0 W by 4 +6.0
11/24 Neutral VMI -7.5 W by 8 +0.5
11/26 Neutral Bucknell -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
11/29 Away Canisius -9.0 W by 18 +9.0
12/06 Home St Bonaventure +6.0 L by 8 -2.0
12/09 Away UMBC -3.0 W by 4 +1.0
12/14 Away E Carolina +1.5 L by 3 -1.5
12/20 Away W Michigan -2.5 W by 17 +14.5
12/22 Home Penn St.-Behrend -- W by 29 --
12/31 Away N Illinois -6.5 W by 14 +7.5
01/03 Home Ball St -6.0 W by 13 +7.0
01/10 Away Ohio +4.5 L by 11 -6.5
01/13 Home Kent St +2.0 L by 6 -4.0
01/17 Away Miami OH +10.5 L by 3 +7.5
01/20 Home Akron +8.5 L by 19 -10.5
01/23 Home UMass +1.5 L by 1 +0.5
01/27 Away Bowling Green +8.0 W by 11 +19.0
01/31 Home Ohio -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
02/03 Home Miami OH +4.5 L by 2 +2.5
02/07 Away S Alabama +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
02/11 Away Ball St -1.5 W by 10 +8.5
02/17 Home N Illinois -8.5 L by 2 -10.5
02/21 Away UMass +7.5 W by 4 +11.5
02/24 Away Akron +15.5 L by 14 +1.5
02/28 Home C Michigan -5.5 L by 5 -10.5
03/03 Home E Michigan -5.5 W by 5 -0.5
03/06 Away Toledo +5.5 L by 20 -14.5
03/12 Neutral Akron +12.5 L by 3 +9.5

UMBC Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Penn St.-York -- W by 21 --
11/08 Away Dayton +25.5 L by 6 +19.5
11/11 Away Morgan St -4.0 W by 2 -2.0
11/16 Home Wagner -6.0 W by 1 -5.0
11/19 Away G Washington +22.0 L by 37 -15.0
11/24 Home Notre Dame (MD) -- W by 50 --
11/29 Home Delaware St -12.5 W by 14 +1.5
12/03 Away Georgetown +19.5 L by 9 +10.5
12/06 Away Bucknell +2.0 W by 7 +9.0
12/09 Home Buffalo +3.0 L by 4 -1.0
12/12 Home Army -8.0 L by 3 -11.0
12/21 Away S Florida +22.5 L by 25 -2.5
12/29 Away Coppin St -10.5 W by 34 +23.5
01/08 Home Maine -8.0 W by 7 -1.0
01/10 Home New Hampshire -6.5 W by 1 -5.5
01/15 Away Bryant -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
01/19 Away Binghamton -4.0 W by 18 +14.0
01/22 Home NJIT -6.5 W by 13 +6.5
01/24 Home UMass Lowell -2.5 W by 23 +20.5
01/29 Away Vermont +6.5 L by 9 -2.5
01/31 Away Albany (Pick) W by 3 +3.0
02/05 Home Binghamton -12.5 W by 17 +4.5
02/12 Away Maine -3.5 W by 16 +12.5
02/14 Away New Hampshire -3.5 W by 22 +18.5
02/19 Home Vermont +1.5 W by 13 +14.5
02/21 Home Albany -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
02/26 Home Bryant -10.5 W by 12 +1.5
02/28 Away UMass Lowell -2.5 W by 24 +21.5
03/03 Away NJIT -4.5 W by 39 +34.5
03/07 Home New Hampshire -12.5 W by 15 +2.5
03/10 Home UMass Lowell -7.5 W by 22 +14.5
03/14 Home Vermont -3.5 W by 15 +11.5
03/17 Neutral Howard +1.5 L by 3 -1.5