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Tuesday Dec 9, 2025 5:00 pm -
Baltimore, MD
Odds:
Buffalo by 3,
Total Points:
145.5
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | BUFF | 56.7% | ||
| UMBC | 43.3% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC +3.0 | BUFF | 47.6% | ||
| UMBC | 52.4% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 145.5 | Over | 44.2% | ||
| Under | 55.8% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | BUFF | -4.1% | ||
| UMBC | -0.1% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUFF | 72.8 | 74.2 | 83 |
| UMBC | 70.3 | 71.2 | 79 |
| Stat | BUFF | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 77.5 | 75.7 |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.5 | +7.1 |
| Assists/Game | 14.1 | 11.9 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm | 31.3 | 34.5 |
| Effective FG % | 55.4% | 54.1% |
| Off Rebound % | 25.6% | 22.6% |
| FTA/FGA | 0.395 | 0.341 |
| Turnover % | 14.3% | 12.5% |
| Stat | BUFF | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 77.0 | 68.5 |
| Opp Effective FG % | 55.1% | 49.4% |
| Off Rebounds/Gm | 7.5 | 6.7 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm | 20.8 | 25.3 |
| Blocks/Game | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| Steals/Game | 7.6 | 4.9 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm | 16.1 | 13.6 |
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