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Buffalo at UMBC: Recap

Tuesday Dec 9, 2025 5:00 pm - Baltimore, MD
Odds: Buffalo by 3, Total Points: 145.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Buffalo BUFF 56.7%
UMBC 43.3%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
UMBC +3.0 BUFF 47.6%
UMBC 52.4%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 145.5 Over 44.2%
Under 55.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off BUFF -4.1%
UMBC -0.1%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
BUFF 72.8 74.2 83
UMBC 70.3 71.2 79

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat BUFF UMBC
Points/Game 77.5 75.7
Avg Score Margin +0.5 +7.1
Assists/Game 14.1 11.9
Total Rebounds/Gm 31.3 34.5
Effective FG % 55.4% 54.1%
Off Rebound % 25.6% 22.6%
FTA/FGA 0.395 0.341
Turnover % 14.3% 12.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat BUFF UMBC
Opp Points/Game 77.0 68.5
Opp Effective FG % 55.1% 49.4%
Off Rebounds/Gm 7.5 6.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 20.8 25.3
Blocks/Game 2.8 2.4
Steals/Game 7.6 4.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 16.1 13.6