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Mississippi St at Kentucky: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Jan 10, 2026 8:30 pm - Lexington, KY
Odds: Kentucky by 10.5, Total Points: 152.5

Matchup Menu: MSST @ UK

More Games From Jan 10, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 154.0	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go over
Over 154.0	Similar Games	59% odds to go over
Over 154.0	Decision Tree	50% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MSST	UK
Season	16-16-0	18-18-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-10-0	11-10-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 1
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	5-5-0	5-5-0
Home	5-11-0	10-9-0
Away	11-5-0	8-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Mississippi St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/05	Home	N Alabama	151.0	86-62	Under	-3.0
11/10	Neutral	Iowa St	149.0	80-96	Over	+27.0
11/15	Home	SE Louisiana	150.5	75-68	Under	-7.5
11/20	Neutral	Kansas St	165.0	77-98	Over	+10.0
11/21	Neutral	New Mexico	150.5	78-80	Over	+7.5
11/24	Home	New Orleans	161.0	81-78	Under	-2.0
11/28	Home	SMU	162.5	81-87	Over	+5.5
12/03	Away	Georgia Tech	150.5	85-73	Over	+7.5
12/07	Neutral	San Francisco	151.0	62-65	Under	-24.0
12/13	Neutral	Utah	152.5	82-74	Over	+3.5
12/16	Home	LIU	152.5	87-83	Over	+17.5
12/20	Home	Memphis	153.5	71-66	Under	-16.5
12/29	Home	Alabama St	154.0	94-56	Under	-4.0
01/03	Away	Texas	157.5	101-98	Over	+41.5
01/07	Home	Oklahoma	159.0	72-53	Under	-34.0
01/10	Away	Kentucky	152.5	68-92	Over	+7.5
01/13	Home	Alabama	171.5	82-97	Over	+7.5
01/17	Home	Mississippi	148.0	67-68	Under	-13.0
01/21	Away	Texas A&M	163.5	68-88	Under	-7.5
01/24	Home	Vanderbilt	160.5	56-88	Under	-16.5
01/28	Away	LSU	154.5	80-66	Under	-8.5
01/31	Away	Missouri	149.5	79-84	Over	+13.5
02/07	Home	Arkansas	164.0	68-88	Under	-8.0
02/11	Home	Tennessee	147.5	64-73	Under	-10.5
02/14	Away	Mississippi	144.0	90-78	Over	+24.0
02/18	Home	Auburn	155.5	91-85	Over	+20.5
02/21	Away	South Carolina	151.5	89-97	Over	+34.5
02/25	Away	Alabama	176.5	75-100	Under	-1.5
02/28	Home	Missouri	155.5	64-88	Under	-3.5
03/03	Away	Florida	161.5	74-108	Over	+20.5
03/07	Home	Georgia	167.5	96-102	Over	+30.5
03/11	Neutral	Auburn	160.5	61-79	Under	-20.5

Kentucky Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Nicholls	157.0	77-51	Under	-29.0
11/07	Home	Valparaiso	157.0	107-59	Over	+9.0
11/11	Away	Louisville	173.0	88-96	Over	+11.0
11/14	Home	E Illinois	148.5	99-53	Over	+3.5
11/18	Neutral	Michigan St	153.0	66-83	Under	-4.0
11/21	Home	Loyola MD	160.0	88-46	Under	-26.0
11/26	Home	Tenn Tech	157.5	104-54	Over	+0.5
12/02	Home	North Carolina	163.5	64-67	Under	-32.5
12/05	Home	Gonzaga	159.5	59-94	Under	-6.5
12/09	Home	NC Central	148.5	103-67	Over	+21.5
12/13	Home	Indiana	156.0	72-60	Under	-24.0
12/20	Neutral	St John's	154.0	78-66	Under	-10.0
12/23	Home	Bellarmine	152.5	99-85	Over	+31.5
01/03	Away	Alabama	174.0	74-89	Under	-11.0
01/07	Home	Missouri	151.0	68-73	Under	-10.0
01/10	Home	Mississippi St	152.5	92-68	Over	+7.5
01/14	Away	LSU	151.5	75-74	Under	-2.5
01/17	Away	Tennessee	145.0	80-78	Over	+13.0
01/21	Home	Texas	151.5	85-80	Over	+13.5
01/24	Home	Mississippi	145.5	72-63	Under	-10.5
01/27	Away	Vanderbilt	154.0	55-80	Under	-19.0
01/31	Away	Arkansas	161.5	85-77	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Oklahoma	152.5	94-78	Over	+19.5
02/07	Home	Tennessee	146.0	74-71	Under	-1.0
02/14	Away	Florida	155.0	83-92	Over	+20.0
02/17	Home	Georgia	161.5	78-86	Over	+2.5
02/21	Away	Auburn	153.5	74-75	Under	-4.5
02/24	Away	South Carolina	151.5	72-63	Under	-16.5
02/28	Home	Vanderbilt	157.5	91-77	Over	+10.5
03/03	Away	Texas A&M	162.5	85-96	Over	+18.5
03/07	Home	Florida	162.5	77-84	Under	-1.5
03/11	Neutral	LSU	151.5	87-82	Over	+17.5
03/12	Neutral	Missouri	148.5	78-72	Over	+1.5
03/13	Neutral	Florida	160.5	63-71	Under	-26.5
03/20	Neutral	Santa Clara	157.5	89-84	Over	+15.5
03/22	Neutral	Iowa St	146.5	63-82	Under	-1.5