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Mississippi St at Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Jan 10, 2026 8:30 pm - Lexington, KY
Odds: Kentucky by 10.5, Total Points: 152.5

Matchup Menu: MSST @ UK

More Games From Jan 10, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Kentucky -10.5 Official TR Pick Kentucky 52% odds to cover
Kentucky -10.5 Decision Tree Kentucky 53% odds to cover
Kentucky -10.5 Predictive Ratings Kentucky 50% odds to cover
Mississippi St +10.5 Power Rating Model Mississippi St 72% odds to cover
Mississippi St +10.5 Similar Games Mississippi St 65% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MSST adv UK
Season 10-22-0 18-18-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 6-13-0 11-10-0
Streak L6 L1
Last 5 0-5-0 3-2-0
Last 10 2-8-0 6-4-0
Home 4-12-0 9-10-0
Away 6-10-0 9-8-0

Mississippi St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home N Alabama -24.5 W by 24 -0.5
11/10 Neutral Iowa St +5.0 L by 16 -11.0
11/15 Home SE Louisiana -27.5 W by 7 -20.5
11/20 Neutral Kansas St -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
11/21 Neutral New Mexico -6.5 L by 2 -8.5
11/24 Home New Orleans -24.0 W by 3 -21.0
11/28 Home SMU -1.0 L by 6 -7.0
12/03 Away Georgia Tech -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
12/07 Neutral San Francisco -4.5 L by 3 -7.5
12/13 Neutral Utah -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
12/16 Home LIU -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
12/20 Home Memphis -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
12/29 Home Alabama St -17.5 W by 38 +20.5
01/03 Away Texas +10.0 W by 3 +13.0
01/07 Home Oklahoma -1.0 W by 19 +18.0
01/10 Away Kentucky +10.5 L by 24 -13.5
01/13 Home Alabama +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
01/17 Home Mississippi -4.0 L by 1 -5.0
01/21 Away Texas A&M +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
01/24 Home Vanderbilt +7.5 L by 32 -24.5
01/28 Away LSU +7.0 W by 14 +21.0
01/31 Away Missouri +6.5 L by 5 +1.5
02/07 Home Arkansas +6.0 L by 20 -14.0
02/11 Home Tennessee +7.0 L by 9 -2.0
02/14 Away Mississippi +3.5 W by 12 +15.5
02/18 Home Auburn +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
02/21 Away South Carolina +1.0 L by 8 -7.0
02/25 Away Alabama +12.5 L by 25 -12.5
02/28 Home Missouri +1.5 L by 24 -22.5
03/03 Away Florida +20.5 L by 34 -13.5
03/07 Home Georgia +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
03/11 Neutral Auburn +8.5 L by 18 -9.5

Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Nicholls -31.5 W by 26 -5.5
11/07 Home Valparaiso -32.0 W by 48 +16.0
11/11 Away Louisville +6.0 L by 8 -2.0
11/14 Home E Illinois -35.5 W by 46 +10.5
11/18 Neutral Michigan St -3.5 L by 17 -20.5
11/21 Home Loyola MD -35.5 W by 42 +6.5
11/26 Home Tenn Tech -37.0 W by 50 +13.0
12/02 Home North Carolina -7.5 L by 3 -10.5
12/05 Home Gonzaga +5.0 L by 35 -30.0
12/09 Home NC Central -42.5 W by 36 -6.5
12/13 Home Indiana -3.5 W by 12 +8.5
12/20 Neutral St John's (Pick) W by 12 +12.0
12/23 Home Bellarmine -34.5 W by 14 -20.5
01/03 Away Alabama +5.5 L by 15 -9.5
01/07 Home Missouri -12.5 L by 5 -17.5
01/10 Home Mississippi St -10.5 W by 24 +13.5
01/14 Away LSU -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
01/17 Away Tennessee +6.0 W by 2 +8.0
01/21 Home Texas -6.5 W by 5 -1.5
01/24 Home Mississippi -11.0 W by 9 -2.0
01/27 Away Vanderbilt +5.5 L by 25 -19.5
01/31 Away Arkansas +7.0 W by 8 +15.0
02/04 Home Oklahoma -9.0 W by 16 +7.0
02/07 Home Tennessee (Pick) W by 3 +3.0
02/14 Away Florida +13.0 L by 9 +4.0
02/17 Home Georgia -7.0 L by 8 -15.0
02/21 Away Auburn +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
02/24 Away South Carolina -7.5 W by 9 +1.5
02/28 Home Vanderbilt -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
03/03 Away Texas A&M +1.5 L by 11 -9.5
03/07 Home Florida +5.5 L by 7 -1.5
03/11 Neutral LSU -8.5 W by 5 -3.5
03/12 Neutral Missouri -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
03/13 Neutral Florida +10.5 L by 8 +2.5
03/20 Neutral Santa Clara -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
03/22 Neutral Iowa St +5.5 L by 19 -13.5