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Mississippi St at LSU: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday Jan 28, 2026 7:00 pm - Baton Rouge, LA
Odds: Louisiana State by 7, Total Points: 154.5

Matchup Menu: MSST @ LSU

More Games From Jan 28, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 154.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go under
Under 154.5	Similar Games	52% odds to go under
Under 154.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	MSST	LSU
Season	16-16-0	15-15-2
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-10-0	8-9-2
Streak	Un 1	Ov 3
Last 5	2-3-0	4-1-0
Last 10	5-5-0	6-4-0
Home	5-11-0	7-8-2
Away	11-5-0	8-7-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Mississippi St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/05	Home	N Alabama	151.0	86-62	Under	-3.0
11/10	Neutral	Iowa St	149.0	80-96	Over	+27.0
11/15	Home	SE Louisiana	150.5	75-68	Under	-7.5
11/20	Neutral	Kansas St	165.0	77-98	Over	+10.0
11/21	Neutral	New Mexico	150.5	78-80	Over	+7.5
11/24	Home	New Orleans	161.0	81-78	Under	-2.0
11/28	Home	SMU	162.5	81-87	Over	+5.5
12/03	Away	Georgia Tech	150.5	85-73	Over	+7.5
12/07	Neutral	San Francisco	151.0	62-65	Under	-24.0
12/13	Neutral	Utah	152.5	82-74	Over	+3.5
12/16	Home	LIU	152.5	87-83	Over	+17.5
12/20	Home	Memphis	153.5	71-66	Under	-16.5
12/29	Home	Alabama St	154.0	94-56	Under	-4.0
01/03	Away	Texas	157.5	101-98	Over	+41.5
01/07	Home	Oklahoma	159.0	72-53	Under	-34.0
01/10	Away	Kentucky	152.5	68-92	Over	+7.5
01/13	Home	Alabama	171.5	82-97	Over	+7.5
01/17	Home	Mississippi	148.0	67-68	Under	-13.0
01/21	Away	Texas A&M	163.5	68-88	Under	-7.5
01/24	Home	Vanderbilt	160.5	56-88	Under	-16.5
01/28	Away	LSU	154.5	80-66	Under	-8.5
01/31	Away	Missouri	149.5	79-84	Over	+13.5
02/07	Home	Arkansas	164.0	68-88	Under	-8.0
02/11	Home	Tennessee	147.5	64-73	Under	-10.5
02/14	Away	Mississippi	144.0	90-78	Over	+24.0
02/18	Home	Auburn	155.5	91-85	Over	+20.5
02/21	Away	South Carolina	151.5	89-97	Over	+34.5
02/25	Away	Alabama	176.5	75-100	Under	-1.5
02/28	Home	Missouri	155.5	64-88	Under	-3.5
03/03	Away	Florida	161.5	74-108	Over	+20.5
03/07	Home	Georgia	167.5	96-102	Over	+30.5
03/11	Neutral	Auburn	160.5	61-79	Under	-20.5

LSU Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/05	Home	Tarleton St	149.5	96-60	Over	+6.5
11/10	Home	New Orleans	162.5	93-58	Under	-11.5
11/13	Home	Florida Intl	158.5	98-81	Over	+20.5
11/18	Home	Alcorn St	156.5	107-81	Over	+31.5
11/21	Home	Omaha	163.5	99-73	Over	+8.5
11/28	Neutral	Drake	151.5	71-62	Under	-18.5
11/29	Neutral	DePaul	152.5	96-63	Over	+6.5
12/03	Away	Boston College	149.0	78-69	Under	-2.0
12/07	Neutral	Texas Tech	154.5	58-82	Under	-14.5
12/13	Neutral	SMU	158.5	89-77	Over	+7.5
12/19	Home	SE Louisiana	145.0	78-65	Under	-2.0
12/22	Home	Prairie View	161.5	104-90	Over	+32.5
12/29	Home	Southern Miss	154.5	90-62	Under	-2.5
01/03	Away	Texas A&M	168.0	72-75	Under	-21.0
01/06	Home	South Carolina	146.0	68-78	Push	0.0
01/10	Away	Vanderbilt	159.0	73-84	Under	-2.0
01/14	Home	Kentucky	151.5	74-75	Under	-2.5
01/17	Home	Missouri	148.0	78-70	Push	0.0
01/20	Away	Florida	158.5	61-79	Under	-18.5
01/24	Away	Arkansas	164.5	81-85	Over	+1.5
01/28	Home	Mississippi St	154.5	66-80	Under	-8.5
01/31	Away	South Carolina	148.5	92-87	Over	+30.5
02/07	Home	Georgia	162.0	71-83	Under	-8.0
02/10	Home	Arkansas	159.0	62-91	Under	-6.0
02/14	Away	Tennessee	143.5	63-73	Under	-7.5
02/17	Away	Texas	150.5	85-88	Over	+22.5
02/21	Home	Alabama	171.5	83-90	Over	+1.5
02/25	Away	Mississippi	148.5	106-99	Over	+56.5
02/28	Home	Oklahoma	156.5	67-83	Under	-6.5
03/03	Away	Auburn	155.5	74-88	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	Texas A&M	160.5	91-94	Over	+24.5
03/11	Neutral	Kentucky	151.5	82-87	Over	+17.5