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Mississippi St at LSU: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Jan 28, 2026 7:00 pm - Baton Rouge, LA
Odds: Louisiana State by 7, Total Points: 154.5

Matchup Menu: MSST @ LSU

More Games From Jan 28, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
LSU -7.0 Official TR Pick LSU 51% odds to cover
LSU -7.0 Power Rating Model LSU 51% odds to cover
LSU -7.0 Decision Tree LSU 51% odds to cover
LSU -7.0 Predictive Ratings LSU 55% odds to cover
Mississippi St +7.0 Similar Games Mississippi St 55% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MSST adv LSU
Season 10-22-0 18-14-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 6-13-0 11-8-0
Streak L6 W1
Last 5 0-5-0 2-3-0
Last 10 2-8-0 5-5-0
Home 4-12-0 7-10-0
Away 6-10-0 11-4-0

Mississippi St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home N Alabama -24.5 W by 24 -0.5
11/10 Neutral Iowa St +5.0 L by 16 -11.0
11/15 Home SE Louisiana -27.5 W by 7 -20.5
11/20 Neutral Kansas St -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
11/21 Neutral New Mexico -6.5 L by 2 -8.5
11/24 Home New Orleans -24.0 W by 3 -21.0
11/28 Home SMU -1.0 L by 6 -7.0
12/03 Away Georgia Tech -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
12/07 Neutral San Francisco -4.5 L by 3 -7.5
12/13 Neutral Utah -2.5 W by 8 +5.5
12/16 Home LIU -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
12/20 Home Memphis -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
12/29 Home Alabama St -17.5 W by 38 +20.5
01/03 Away Texas +10.0 W by 3 +13.0
01/07 Home Oklahoma -1.0 W by 19 +18.0
01/10 Away Kentucky +10.5 L by 24 -13.5
01/13 Home Alabama +4.5 L by 15 -10.5
01/17 Home Mississippi -4.0 L by 1 -5.0
01/21 Away Texas A&M +8.5 L by 20 -11.5
01/24 Home Vanderbilt +7.5 L by 32 -24.5
01/28 Away LSU +7.0 W by 14 +21.0
01/31 Away Missouri +6.5 L by 5 +1.5
02/07 Home Arkansas +6.0 L by 20 -14.0
02/11 Home Tennessee +7.0 L by 9 -2.0
02/14 Away Mississippi +3.5 W by 12 +15.5
02/18 Home Auburn +5.5 W by 6 +11.5
02/21 Away South Carolina +1.0 L by 8 -7.0
02/25 Away Alabama +12.5 L by 25 -12.5
02/28 Home Missouri +1.5 L by 24 -22.5
03/03 Away Florida +20.5 L by 34 -13.5
03/07 Home Georgia +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
03/11 Neutral Auburn +8.5 L by 18 -9.5

LSU Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/05 Home Tarleton St -15.0 W by 36 +21.0
11/10 Home New Orleans -19.5 W by 35 +15.5
11/13 Home Florida Intl -21.5 W by 17 -4.5
11/18 Home Alcorn St -32.5 W by 26 -6.5
11/21 Home Omaha -21.0 W by 26 +5.0
11/28 Neutral Drake -11.5 W by 9 -2.5
11/29 Neutral DePaul -5.5 W by 33 +27.5
12/03 Away Boston College -7.0 W by 9 +2.0
12/07 Neutral Texas Tech +5.5 L by 24 -18.5
12/13 Neutral SMU -1.5 W by 12 +10.5
12/19 Home SE Louisiana -24.5 W by 13 -11.5
12/22 Home Prairie View -29.5 W by 14 -15.5
12/29 Home Southern Miss -21.5 W by 28 +6.5
01/03 Away Texas A&M +5.5 L by 3 +2.5
01/06 Home South Carolina -7.5 L by 10 -17.5
01/10 Away Vanderbilt +13.5 L by 11 +2.5
01/14 Home Kentucky +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
01/17 Home Missouri -1.0 W by 8 +7.0
01/20 Away Florida +15.5 L by 18 -2.5
01/24 Away Arkansas +10.5 L by 4 +6.5
01/28 Home Mississippi St -7.0 L by 14 -21.0
01/31 Away South Carolina -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
02/07 Home Georgia +1.5 L by 12 -10.5
02/10 Home Arkansas +4.5 L by 29 -24.5
02/14 Away Tennessee +14.5 L by 10 +4.5
02/17 Away Texas +10.5 L by 3 +7.5
02/21 Home Alabama +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
02/25 Away Mississippi +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
02/28 Home Oklahoma -1.5 L by 16 -17.5
03/03 Away Auburn +10.5 L by 14 -3.5
03/07 Home Texas A&M +2.5 L by 3 -0.5
03/11 Neutral Kentucky +8.5 L by 5 +3.5