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UCLA at Michigan St: Over/Under Analysis

Tuesday Feb 17, 2026 8:30 pm - East Lansing, MI
Odds: Michigan State by 8, Total Points: 139.5

Matchup Menu: UCLA @ MSU

More Games From Feb 17, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 139.5	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go over
Over 139.5	Decision Tree	50% odds to go over
Under 139.5	Similar Games	55% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	UCLA	MSU
Season	17-19-0	16-19-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	10-13-0	11-10-0
Streak	Un 3	Un 2
Last 5	1-4-0	3-2-0
Last 10	4-6-0	6-4-0
Home	9-9-0	7-10-0
Away	8-10-0	9-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

UCLA Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	E Washington	149.5	80-74	Over	+4.5
11/07	Home	Pepperdine	151.5	74-63	Under	-14.5
11/10	Home	W Georgia	145.5	83-62	Under	-0.5
11/14	Neutral	Arizona	153.0	65-69	Under	-19.0
11/18	Home	Sacramento St	145.5	79-48	Under	-18.5
11/21	Home	Presbyterian	131.5	86-46	Over	+0.5
11/25	Neutral	California	143.5	72-80	Over	+8.5
12/03	Away	Washington	141.5	82-80	Over	+20.5
12/06	Home	Oregon	147.0	74-63	Under	-10.0
12/13	Neutral	Gonzaga	147.0	72-82	Over	+7.0
12/17	Home	Arizona St	142.5	90-77	Over	+24.5
12/19	Home	Cal Poly	162.5	108-87	Over	+32.5
12/23	Home	UC Riverside	148.5	97-65	Over	+13.5
01/03	Away	Iowa	140.0	61-74	Under	-5.0
01/06	Away	Wisconsin	153.0	72-80	Under	-1.0
01/10	Home	Maryland	148.0	67-55	Under	-26.0
01/14	Away	Penn St	148.5	71-60	Under	-17.5
01/17	Away	Ohio St	147.0	74-86	Over	+13.0
01/20	Home	Purdue	147.5	69-67	Under	-11.5
01/24	Home	Northwestern	144.0	71-64	Under	-9.0
01/28	Away	Oregon	136.5	73-57	Under	-6.5
01/31	Home	Indiana	143.5	97-98	Over	+51.5
02/03	Home	Rutgers	143.0	98-66	Over	+21.0
02/07	Home	Washington	144.5	77-73	Over	+5.5
02/14	Away	Michigan	155.5	56-86	Under	-13.5
02/17	Away	Michigan St	139.5	59-82	Over	+1.5
02/21	Home	Illinois	146.5	95-94	Over	+42.5
02/24	Home	USC	150.5	81-62	Under	-7.5
02/28	Away	Minnesota	137.5	73-78	Over	+13.5
03/03	Home	Nebraska	144.5	72-52	Under	-20.5
03/07	Away	USC	151.5	89-68	Over	+5.5
03/12	Neutral	Rutgers	141.5	72-59	Under	-10.5
03/13	Neutral	Michigan St	141.5	88-84	Over	+30.5
03/14	Neutral	Purdue	143.5	66-73	Under	-4.5
03/20	Neutral	UCF	151.5	75-71	Under	-5.5
03/22	Neutral	UConn	135.5	57-73	Under	-5.5

Michigan St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	Colgate	144.5	80-69	Over	+4.5
11/08	Home	Arkansas	155.5	69-66	Under	-20.5
11/13	Home	San Jose St	143.0	79-60	Under	-4.0
11/18	Neutral	Kentucky	153.0	83-66	Under	-4.0
11/21	Home	Detroit Mercy	152.5	84-56	Under	-12.5
11/25	Neutral	E Carolina	142.0	89-56	Over	+3.0
11/27	Neutral	North Carolina	152.5	74-58	Under	-20.5
12/02	Home	Iowa	134.0	71-52	Under	-11.0
12/06	Home	Duke	141.5	60-66	Under	-15.5
12/13	Away	Penn St	145.0	76-72	Over	+3.0
12/16	Home	Toledo	150.5	92-69	Over	+10.5
12/20	Neutral	Oakland	154.5	79-70	Under	-5.5
12/29	Home	Cornell	160.5	114-97	Over	+50.5
01/02	Away	Nebraska	146.5	56-58	Under	-32.5
01/05	Home	USC	150.5	80-51	Under	-19.5
01/08	Home	Northwestern	144.0	76-66	Under	-2.0
01/13	Home	Indiana	145.5	81-60	Under	-4.5
01/17	Away	Washington	146.0	80-63	Under	-3.0
01/20	Away	Oregon	140.0	68-52	Under	-20.0
01/24	Home	Maryland	139.5	91-48	Under	-0.5
01/27	Away	Rutgers	139.0	88-79	Over	+28.0
01/30	Home	Michigan	150.5	71-83	Over	+3.5
02/04	Away	Minnesota	134.5	73-76	Over	+14.5
02/07	Home	Illinois	143.5	85-82	Over	+23.5
02/13	Away	Wisconsin	148.0	71-92	Over	+15.0
02/17	Home	UCLA	139.5	82-59	Over	+1.5
02/22	Home	Ohio St	146.5	66-60	Under	-20.5
02/26	Away	Purdue	143.5	76-74	Over	+6.5
03/01	Away	Indiana	144.5	77-64	Under	-3.5
03/05	Home	Rutgers	141.5	91-87	Over	+36.5
03/08	Away	Michigan	152.5	80-90	Over	+17.5
03/13	Neutral	UCLA	141.5	84-88	Over	+30.5
03/19	Neutral	N Dakota St	143.5	92-67	Over	+15.5
03/21	Neutral	Louisville	151.5	77-69	Under	-5.5
03/27	Neutral	UConn	136.5	63-67	Under	-6.5