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UCLA at Michigan St: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Feb 17, 2026 8:30 pm - East Lansing, MI
Odds: Michigan State by 8, Total Points: 139.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Michigan St -8.0 Official TR Pick Michigan St 52% odds to cover
Michigan St -8.0 Similar Games Michigan St 62% odds to cover
Michigan St -8.0 Decision Tree Michigan St 52% odds to cover
Michigan St -8.0 Predictive Ratings Michigan St 53% odds to cover
UCLA +8.0 Power Rating Model UCLA 55% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record UCLA adv MSU
Season 17-18-1 17-16-2
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 12-10-1 11-9-1
Streak L2 L1
Last 5 3-2-0 3-2-0
Last 10 7-3-0 6-4-0
Home 10-7-1 7-9-1
Away 7-11-0 10-7-1

UCLA Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home E Washington -30.0 W by 6 -24.0
11/07 Home Pepperdine -29.5 W by 11 -18.5
11/10 Home W Georgia -30.5 W by 21 -9.5
11/14 Neutral Arizona +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
11/18 Home Sacramento St -27.5 W by 31 +3.5
11/21 Home Presbyterian -25.0 W by 40 +15.0
11/25 Neutral California -7.5 L by 8 -15.5
12/03 Away Washington -3.5 W by 2 -1.5
12/06 Home Oregon -8.5 W by 11 +2.5
12/13 Neutral Gonzaga +10.5 L by 10 +0.5
12/17 Home Arizona St -9.5 W by 13 +3.5
12/19 Home Cal Poly -24.5 W by 21 -3.5
12/23 Home UC Riverside -24.0 W by 32 +8.0
01/03 Away Iowa +6.5 L by 13 -6.5
01/06 Away Wisconsin +4.0 L by 8 -4.0
01/10 Home Maryland -13.0 W by 12 -1.0
01/14 Away Penn St -4.5 W by 11 +6.5
01/17 Away Ohio St +4.5 L by 12 -7.5
01/20 Home Purdue +5.5 W by 2 +7.5
01/24 Home Northwestern -7.0 W by 7 0.0
01/28 Away Oregon -4.5 W by 16 +11.5
01/31 Home Indiana -4.0 L by 1 -5.0
02/03 Home Rutgers -13.0 W by 32 +19.0
02/07 Home Washington -4.5 W by 4 -0.5
02/14 Away Michigan +16.5 L by 30 -13.5
02/17 Away Michigan St +8.0 L by 23 -15.0
02/21 Home Illinois +6.5 W by 1 +7.5
02/24 Home USC -6.5 W by 19 +12.5
02/28 Away Minnesota -1.5 L by 5 -6.5
03/03 Home Nebraska +1.5 W by 20 +21.5
03/07 Away USC -4.5 W by 21 +16.5
03/12 Neutral Rutgers -10.5 W by 13 +2.5
03/13 Neutral Michigan St +5.5 W by 4 +9.5
03/14 Neutral Purdue +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
03/20 Neutral UCF -5.5 W by 4 -1.5
03/22 Neutral UConn +5.5 L by 16 -10.5

Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home Colgate -22.0 W by 11 -11.0
11/08 Home Arkansas -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
11/13 Home San Jose St -24.5 W by 19 -5.5
11/18 Neutral Kentucky +3.5 W by 17 +20.5
11/21 Home Detroit Mercy -30.5 W by 28 -2.5
11/25 Neutral E Carolina -20.0 W by 33 +13.0
11/27 Neutral North Carolina -1.0 W by 16 +15.0
12/02 Home Iowa -4.5 W by 19 +14.5
12/06 Home Duke +1.0 L by 6 -5.0
12/13 Away Penn St -12.5 W by 4 -8.5
12/16 Home Toledo -23.0 W by 23 0.0
12/20 Neutral Oakland -20.0 W by 9 -11.0
12/29 Home Cornell -23.5 W by 17 -6.5
01/02 Away Nebraska +2.0 L by 2 0.0
01/05 Home USC -12.0 W by 29 +17.0
01/08 Home Northwestern -13.0 W by 10 -3.0
01/13 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 21 +14.5
01/17 Away Washington -3.5 W by 17 +13.5
01/20 Away Oregon -10.0 W by 16 +6.0
01/24 Home Maryland -18.5 W by 43 +24.5
01/27 Away Rutgers -14.5 W by 9 -5.5
01/30 Home Michigan +2.5 L by 12 -9.5
02/04 Away Minnesota -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
02/07 Home Illinois -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
02/13 Away Wisconsin -2.0 L by 21 -23.0
02/17 Home UCLA -8.0 W by 23 +15.0
02/22 Home Ohio St -10.5 W by 6 -4.5
02/26 Away Purdue +6.5 W by 2 +8.5
03/01 Away Indiana -2.5 W by 13 +10.5
03/05 Home Rutgers -19.5 W by 4 -15.5
03/08 Away Michigan +10.5 L by 10 +0.5
03/13 Neutral UCLA -5.5 L by 4 -9.5
03/19 Neutral N Dakota St -15.5 W by 25 +9.5
03/21 Neutral Louisville -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/27 Neutral UConn +2.5 L by 4 -1.5