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Duke at NC State: Point Spread Analysis

Monday Mar 2, 2026 7:00 pm - Raleigh, NC
Odds: Duke by 9.5, Total Points: 150.5

Matchup Menu: DUKE @ NCST

More Games From Mar 2, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
NC State +9.5 Official TR Pick NC State 51% odds to cover
NC State +9.5 Power Rating Model NC State 54% odds to cover
NC State +9.5 Decision Tree NC State 52% odds to cover
NC State +9.5 Predictive Ratings NC State 53% odds to cover
Duke -9.5 Similar Games Duke 63% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record DUKE adv NCST
Season 20-18-0 16-17-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 11-10-0 9-10-1
Streak L2 L2
Last 5 1-4-0 1-4-0
Last 10 4-6-0 2-8-0
Home 7-8-0 7-8-1
Away 13-10-0 9-9-0

Duke Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Neutral Texas -10.5 W by 15 +4.5
11/08 Home W Carolina -37.0 W by 41 +4.0
11/11 Away Army -34.5 W by 55 +20.5
11/14 Home Indiana St -36.5 W by 38 +1.5
11/18 Neutral Kansas -11.0 W by 12 +1.0
11/21 Home Niagara -39.5 W by 58 +18.5
11/23 Home Howard -43.5 W by 37 -6.5
11/27 Neutral Arkansas -12.5 W by 9 -3.5
12/02 Home Florida -9.5 W by 1 -8.5
12/06 Away Michigan St -1.0 W by 6 +5.0
12/16 Home Lipscomb -32.0 W by 24 -8.0
12/20 Neutral Texas Tech -10.0 L by 1 -11.0
12/31 Home Georgia Tech -27.5 W by 6 -21.5
01/03 Away Florida St -16.5 W by 4 -12.5
01/06 Away Louisville (Pick) W by 11 +11.0
01/10 Home SMU -16.0 W by 7 -9.0
01/14 Away California -14.0 W by 15 +1.0
01/17 Away Stanford -11.0 W by 30 +19.0
01/24 Home Wake Forest -18.0 W by 21 +3.0
01/26 Home Louisville -8.5 W by 31 +22.5
01/31 Away Virginia Tech -12.0 W by 14 +2.0
02/03 Home Boston College -27.0 W by 18 -9.0
02/07 Away North Carolina -6.0 L by 3 -9.0
02/10 Away Pittsburgh -18.0 W by 16 -2.0
02/14 Home Clemson -13.5 W by 13 -0.5
02/16 Home Syracuse -20.5 W by 37 +16.5
02/21 Neutral Michigan +2.5 W by 5 +7.5
02/24 Away Notre Dame -16.5 W by 44 +27.5
02/28 Home Virginia -9.5 W by 26 +16.5
03/02 Away NC State -9.5 W by 29 +19.5
03/07 Home North Carolina -18.5 W by 15 -3.5
03/12 Neutral Florida St -16.5 W by 1 -15.5
03/13 Neutral Clemson -10.5 W by 12 +1.5
03/14 Neutral Virginia -6.5 W by 4 -2.5
03/19 Neutral Siena -28.5 W by 6 -22.5
03/21 Neutral TCU -12.5 W by 23 +10.5
03/27 Neutral St John's -6.5 W by 5 -1.5
03/29 Neutral UConn -4.5 L by 1 -5.5

NC State Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/03 Home NC Central -31.0 W by 48 +17.0
11/07 Home UAB -20.0 W by 24 +4.0
11/12 Home NC Greensboro -30.5 W by 46 +15.5
11/17 Home VCU -11.5 W by 6 -5.5
11/24 Neutral Seton Hall -7.5 L by 11 -18.5
11/25 Neutral Boise St -6.5 W by 11 +4.5
11/26 Neutral Texas -1.0 L by 5 -6.0
12/03 Away Auburn +5.5 L by 10 -4.5
12/06 Home NC Asheville -28.0 W by 12 -16.0
12/10 Home Liberty -12.5 W by 40 +27.5
12/13 Home Kansas -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
12/17 Neutral Texas So -34.0 W by 36 +2.0
12/21 Neutral Mississippi -7.5 W by 14 +6.5
12/31 Home Wake Forest -10.0 W by 13 +3.0
01/03 Home Virginia -4.0 L by 15 -19.0
01/06 Away Boston College -12.0 W by 8 -4.0
01/10 Away Florida St -4.5 W by 44 +39.5
01/17 Home Georgia Tech -17.5 L by 4 -21.5
01/20 Away Clemson +2.5 W by 4 +6.5
01/24 Away Pittsburgh -5.5 W by 9 +3.5
01/27 Home Syracuse -11.0 W by 20 +9.0
01/31 Away Wake Forest -6.0 W by 18 +12.0
02/03 Away SMU (Pick) W by 1 +1.0
02/07 Home Virginia Tech -9.0 W by 9 0.0
02/09 Away Louisville +7.5 L by 41 -33.5
02/14 Home Miami -6.5 L by 1 -7.5
02/17 Home North Carolina -8.0 W by 24 +16.0
02/24 Away Virginia +6.5 L by 29 -22.5
02/28 Away Notre Dame -6.5 L by 6 -12.5
03/02 Home Duke +9.5 L by 29 -19.5
03/07 Home Stanford -9.5 L by 1 -10.5
03/11 Neutral Pittsburgh -8.5 W by 10 +1.5
03/12 Neutral Virginia +6.5 L by 7 -0.5
03/17 Neutral Texas -1.5 L by 2 -3.5