This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

Duke at NC State: Recap

Monday Mar 2, 2026 7:00 pm - Raleigh, NC
Odds: Duke by 9.5, Total Points: 150.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Duke DUKE 79.6%
NCST 20.4%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
NCST +9.5 DUKE 48.7%
NCST 51.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 150.5 Over 48.8%
Under 51.2%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off DUKE -3.0%
NCST -1.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
DUKE 79.6 80.0 93
NCST 70.4 70.5 64

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat DUKE NCST
Points/Game 81.6 83.2
Avg Score Margin +18.0 +6.9
Assists/Game 16.6 15.4
Total Rebounds/Gm 40.3 34.5
Effective FG % 56.7% 55.0%
Off Rebound % 36.8% 26.4%
FTA/FGA 0.382 0.351
Turnover % 13.4% 11.5%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat DUKE NCST
Opp Points/Game 63.6 76.3
Opp Effective FG % 46.2% 52.7%
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.8 8.5
Def Rebounds/Gm 26.4 22.8
Blocks/Game 3.4 3.4
Steals/Game 7.4 8.1
Personal Fouls/Gm 15.5 18.2