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Duke at NC State: Over/Under Analysis

Monday Mar 2, 2026 7:00 pm - Raleigh, NC
Odds: Duke by 9.5, Total Points: 150.5

Matchup Menu: DUKE @ NCST

More Games From Mar 2, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 150.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 150.5	Similar Games	56% odds to go under
Under 150.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	DUKE	NCST
Season	14-24-0	21-13-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-12-0	14-6-0
Streak	Ov 2	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	4-1-0
Last 10	5-5-0	6-4-0
Home	5-10-0	8-8-0
Away	9-14-0	13-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Duke Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Neutral	Texas	154.0	75-60	Under	-19.0
11/08	Home	W Carolina	153.0	95-54	Under	-4.0
11/11	Away	Army	153.5	114-59	Over	+19.5
11/14	Home	Indiana St	163.5	100-62	Under	-1.5
11/18	Neutral	Kansas	148.5	78-66	Under	-4.5
11/21	Home	Niagara	145.0	100-42	Under	-3.0
11/23	Home	Howard	151.0	93-56	Under	-2.0
11/27	Neutral	Arkansas	160.0	80-71	Under	-9.0
12/02	Home	Florida	157.5	67-66	Under	-24.5
12/06	Away	Michigan St	141.5	66-60	Under	-15.5
12/16	Home	Lipscomb	152.0	97-73	Over	+18.0
12/20	Neutral	Texas Tech	152.5	81-82	Over	+10.5
12/31	Home	Georgia Tech	153.5	85-79	Over	+10.5
01/03	Away	Florida St	163.0	91-87	Over	+15.0
01/06	Away	Louisville	160.5	84-73	Under	-3.5
01/10	Home	SMU	156.0	82-75	Over	+1.0
01/14	Away	California	149.0	71-56	Under	-22.0
01/17	Away	Stanford	149.0	80-50	Under	-19.0
01/24	Home	Wake Forest	151.5	90-69	Over	+7.5
01/26	Home	Louisville	157.0	83-52	Under	-22.0
01/31	Away	Virginia Tech	148.0	72-58	Under	-18.0
02/03	Home	Boston College	141.5	67-49	Under	-25.5
02/07	Away	North Carolina	151.5	68-71	Under	-12.5
02/10	Away	Pittsburgh	136.5	70-54	Under	-12.5
02/14	Home	Clemson	134.0	67-54	Under	-13.0
02/16	Home	Syracuse	145.0	101-64	Over	+20.0
02/21	Neutral	Michigan	150.5	68-63	Under	-19.5
02/24	Away	Notre Dame	142.5	100-56	Over	+13.5
02/28	Home	Virginia	142.5	77-51	Under	-14.5
03/02	Away	NC State	150.5	93-64	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	North Carolina	147.5	76-61	Under	-10.5
03/12	Neutral	Florida St	150.5	80-79	Over	+8.5
03/13	Neutral	Clemson	134.5	73-61	Under	-0.5
03/14	Neutral	Virginia	139.5	74-70	Over	+4.5
03/19	Neutral	Siena	137.5	71-65	Under	-1.5
03/21	Neutral	TCU	141.5	81-58	Under	-2.5
03/27	Neutral	St John's	140.5	80-75	Over	+14.5
03/29	Neutral	UConn	135.5	72-73	Over	+9.5

NC State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Home	NC Central	145.0	114-66	Over	+35.0
11/07	Home	UAB	162.5	94-70	Over	+1.5
11/12	Home	NC Greensboro	153.5	110-64	Over	+20.5
11/17	Home	VCU	164.5	85-79	Under	-0.5
11/24	Neutral	Seton Hall	143.5	74-85	Over	+15.5
11/25	Neutral	Boise St	154.0	81-70	Under	-3.0
11/26	Neutral	Texas	161.5	97-102	Over	+37.5
12/03	Away	Auburn	162.5	73-83	Under	-6.5
12/06	Home	NC Asheville	155.5	75-63	Under	-17.5
12/10	Home	Liberty	149.5	85-45	Under	-19.5
12/13	Home	Kansas	148.5	76-77	Over	+4.5
12/17	Neutral	Texas So	152.5	108-72	Over	+27.5
12/21	Neutral	Mississippi	148.5	76-62	Under	-10.5
12/31	Home	Wake Forest	159.5	70-57	Under	-32.5
01/03	Home	Virginia	151.5	61-76	Under	-14.5
01/06	Away	Boston College	142.0	79-71	Over	+8.0
01/10	Away	Florida St	160.0	113-69	Over	+22.0
01/17	Home	Georgia Tech	154.5	74-78	Under	-2.5
01/20	Away	Clemson	142.0	80-76	Over	+14.0
01/24	Away	Pittsburgh	146.0	81-72	Over	+7.0
01/27	Home	Syracuse	151.5	88-68	Over	+4.5
01/31	Away	Wake Forest	154.5	96-78	Over	+19.5
02/03	Away	SMU	159.5	84-83	Over	+7.5
02/07	Home	Virginia Tech	152.0	82-73	Over	+3.0
02/09	Away	Louisville	161.5	77-118	Over	+33.5
02/14	Home	Miami	158.0	76-77	Under	-5.0
02/17	Home	North Carolina	155.5	82-58	Under	-15.5
02/24	Away	Virginia	152.5	61-90	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Notre Dame	154.5	90-96	Over	+31.5
03/02	Home	Duke	150.5	64-93	Over	+6.5
03/07	Home	Stanford	152.5	84-85	Over	+16.5
03/11	Neutral	Pittsburgh	144.5	98-88	Over	+41.5
03/12	Neutral	Virginia	153.5	74-81	Over	+1.5
03/17	Neutral	Texas	158.5	66-68	Under	-24.5