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Valparaiso at Kentucky: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Nov 7, 2025 7:00 pm - Lexington, KY
Odds: Kentucky by 32, Total Points: 157

Matchup Menu: VALP @ UK

More Games From Nov 7, 2025

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 157.0	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go over
Over 157.0	Decision Tree	54% odds to go over
Under 157.0	Similar Games	56% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	VALP	UK
Season	17-15-0	18-18-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	12-10-0	11-10-0
Streak	Ov 1	Un 1
Last 5	2-3-0	3-2-0
Last 10	6-4-0	5-5-0
Home	6-10-0	10-9-0
Away	11-5-0	8-9-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Valparaiso Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	E Illinois	144.5	66-63	Under	-15.5
11/07	Away	Kentucky	157.0	59-107	Over	+9.0
11/12	Home	Nicholls	143.5	68-63	Under	-12.5
11/16	Home	Bryant	143.5	68-50	Under	-25.5
11/19	Away	Cleveland St	158.5	90-75	Over	+6.5
11/26	Home	S Indiana	150.5	56-64	Under	-30.5
11/29	Home	W Michigan	146.5	84-55	Under	-7.5
12/02	Away	Marquette	146.5	72-75	Over	+0.5
12/06	Home	Calumet	--	98-58	Under	--
12/13	Home	NC Wilmington	137.0	70-73	Over	+6.0
12/16	Away	Northwestern	146.0	70-86	Over	+10.0
12/21	Home	Murray St	155.0	79-85	Over	+9.0
12/29	Away	N Iowa	131.5	48-58	Under	-25.5
01/01	Away	S Illinois	146.5	70-75	Under	-1.5
01/04	Home	Illinois Chicago	144.5	66-59	Under	-19.5
01/07	Home	Illinois St	138.5	77-71	Over	+9.5
01/10	Away	Murray St	152.5	79-92	Over	+18.5
01/13	Away	Belmont	147.0	74-78	Over	+5.0
01/17	Home	N Iowa	130.5	54-44	Under	-32.5
01/21	Home	S Illinois	142.5	69-63	Under	-10.5
01/28	Home	Belmont	145.5	77-78	Over	+9.5
01/31	Away	Indiana St	145.5	76-72	Over	+2.5
02/03	Away	Bradley	144.5	65-72	Under	-7.5
02/06	Home	Evansville	136.0	70-63	Under	-3.0
02/09	Away	Drake	144.5	81-76	Over	+12.5
02/12	Away	Illinois St	138.5	64-86	Over	+11.5
02/15	Home	Indiana St	144.0	76-75	Over	+7.0
02/18	Home	Bradley	144.0	79-72	Over	+7.0
02/21	Away	Illinois Chicago	138.5	71-67	Under	-0.5
02/25	Home	Drake	146.5	74-71	Under	-1.5
02/28	Away	Evansville	138.5	79-80	Over	+20.5
03/05	Neutral	Indiana St	140.5	63-62	Under	-15.5
03/06	Neutral	Bradley	139.5	84-90	Over	+34.5

Kentucky Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/04	Home	Nicholls	157.0	77-51	Under	-29.0
11/07	Home	Valparaiso	157.0	107-59	Over	+9.0
11/11	Away	Louisville	173.0	88-96	Over	+11.0
11/14	Home	E Illinois	148.5	99-53	Over	+3.5
11/18	Neutral	Michigan St	153.0	66-83	Under	-4.0
11/21	Home	Loyola MD	160.0	88-46	Under	-26.0
11/26	Home	Tenn Tech	157.5	104-54	Over	+0.5
12/02	Home	North Carolina	163.5	64-67	Under	-32.5
12/05	Home	Gonzaga	159.5	59-94	Under	-6.5
12/09	Home	NC Central	148.5	103-67	Over	+21.5
12/13	Home	Indiana	156.0	72-60	Under	-24.0
12/20	Neutral	St John's	154.0	78-66	Under	-10.0
12/23	Home	Bellarmine	152.5	99-85	Over	+31.5
01/03	Away	Alabama	174.0	74-89	Under	-11.0
01/07	Home	Missouri	151.0	68-73	Under	-10.0
01/10	Home	Mississippi St	152.5	92-68	Over	+7.5
01/14	Away	LSU	151.5	75-74	Under	-2.5
01/17	Away	Tennessee	145.0	80-78	Over	+13.0
01/21	Home	Texas	151.5	85-80	Over	+13.5
01/24	Home	Mississippi	145.5	72-63	Under	-10.5
01/27	Away	Vanderbilt	154.0	55-80	Under	-19.0
01/31	Away	Arkansas	161.5	85-77	Over	+0.5
02/04	Home	Oklahoma	152.5	94-78	Over	+19.5
02/07	Home	Tennessee	146.0	74-71	Under	-1.0
02/14	Away	Florida	155.0	83-92	Over	+20.0
02/17	Home	Georgia	161.5	78-86	Over	+2.5
02/21	Away	Auburn	153.5	74-75	Under	-4.5
02/24	Away	South Carolina	151.5	72-63	Under	-16.5
02/28	Home	Vanderbilt	157.5	91-77	Over	+10.5
03/03	Away	Texas A&M	162.5	85-96	Over	+18.5
03/07	Home	Florida	162.5	77-84	Under	-1.5
03/11	Neutral	LSU	151.5	87-82	Over	+17.5
03/12	Neutral	Missouri	148.5	78-72	Over	+1.5
03/13	Neutral	Florida	160.5	63-71	Under	-26.5
03/20	Neutral	Santa Clara	157.5	89-84	Over	+15.5
03/22	Neutral	Iowa St	146.5	63-82	Under	-1.5