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Valparaiso at Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Nov 7, 2025 7:00 pm - Lexington, KY
Odds: Kentucky by 32, Total Points: 157

Matchup Menu: VALP @ UK

More Games From Nov 7, 2025

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Valparaiso +32.0 Official TR Pick Valparaiso 51% odds to cover
Valparaiso +32.0 Power Rating Model Valparaiso 90% odds to cover
Valparaiso +32.0 Similar Games Valparaiso 53% odds to cover
Valparaiso +32.0 Decision Tree Valparaiso 51% odds to cover
Valparaiso +32.0 Predictive Ratings Valparaiso 66% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record VALP adv UK
Season 18-13-1 18-18-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 13-9-0 11-10-0
Streak L3 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 3-2-0
Last 10 4-6-0 6-4-0
Home 10-5-1 9-10-0
Away 8-8-0 9-8-0

Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home E Illinois -6.0 W by 3 -3.0
11/07 Away Kentucky +32.0 L by 48 -16.0
11/12 Home Nicholls -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
11/16 Home Bryant -6.5 W by 18 +11.5
11/19 Away Cleveland St +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
11/26 Home S Indiana -9.5 L by 8 -17.5
11/29 Home W Michigan -5.0 W by 29 +24.0
12/02 Away Marquette +17.5 L by 3 +14.5
12/06 Home Calumet -- W by 40 --
12/13 Home NC Wilmington +3.0 L by 3 0.0
12/16 Away Northwestern +14.5 L by 16 -1.5
12/21 Home Murray St +5.0 L by 6 -1.0
12/29 Away N Iowa +8.5 L by 10 -1.5
01/01 Away S Illinois +7.5 L by 5 +2.5
01/04 Home Illinois Chicago -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
01/07 Home Illinois St +6.5 W by 6 +12.5
01/10 Away Murray St +12.5 L by 13 -0.5
01/13 Away Belmont +11.5 L by 4 +7.5
01/17 Home N Iowa +2.0 W by 10 +12.0
01/21 Home S Illinois -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
01/28 Home Belmont +5.5 L by 1 +4.5
01/31 Away Indiana St +2.0 W by 4 +6.0
02/03 Away Bradley +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
02/06 Home Evansville -9.0 W by 7 -2.0
02/09 Away Drake +4.0 W by 5 +9.0
02/12 Away Illinois St +9.0 L by 22 -13.0
02/15 Home Indiana St -4.5 W by 1 -3.5
02/18 Home Bradley +2.5 W by 7 +9.5
02/21 Away Illinois Chicago +7.5 W by 4 +11.5
02/25 Home Drake -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
02/28 Away Evansville -5.5 L by 1 -6.5
03/05 Neutral Indiana St -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
03/06 Neutral Bradley +5.5 L by 6 -0.5

Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/04 Home Nicholls -31.5 W by 26 -5.5
11/07 Home Valparaiso -32.0 W by 48 +16.0
11/11 Away Louisville +6.0 L by 8 -2.0
11/14 Home E Illinois -35.5 W by 46 +10.5
11/18 Neutral Michigan St -3.5 L by 17 -20.5
11/21 Home Loyola MD -35.5 W by 42 +6.5
11/26 Home Tenn Tech -37.0 W by 50 +13.0
12/02 Home North Carolina -7.5 L by 3 -10.5
12/05 Home Gonzaga +5.0 L by 35 -30.0
12/09 Home NC Central -42.5 W by 36 -6.5
12/13 Home Indiana -3.5 W by 12 +8.5
12/20 Neutral St John's (Pick) W by 12 +12.0
12/23 Home Bellarmine -34.5 W by 14 -20.5
01/03 Away Alabama +5.5 L by 15 -9.5
01/07 Home Missouri -12.5 L by 5 -17.5
01/10 Home Mississippi St -10.5 W by 24 +13.5
01/14 Away LSU -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
01/17 Away Tennessee +6.0 W by 2 +8.0
01/21 Home Texas -6.5 W by 5 -1.5
01/24 Home Mississippi -11.0 W by 9 -2.0
01/27 Away Vanderbilt +5.5 L by 25 -19.5
01/31 Away Arkansas +7.0 W by 8 +15.0
02/04 Home Oklahoma -9.0 W by 16 +7.0
02/07 Home Tennessee (Pick) W by 3 +3.0
02/14 Away Florida +13.0 L by 9 +4.0
02/17 Home Georgia -7.0 L by 8 -15.0
02/21 Away Auburn +3.5 L by 1 +2.5
02/24 Away South Carolina -7.5 W by 9 +1.5
02/28 Home Vanderbilt -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
03/03 Away Texas A&M +1.5 L by 11 -9.5
03/07 Home Florida +5.5 L by 7 -1.5
03/11 Neutral LSU -8.5 W by 5 -3.5
03/12 Neutral Missouri -2.5 W by 6 +3.5
03/13 Neutral Florida +10.5 L by 8 +2.5
03/20 Neutral Santa Clara -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
03/22 Neutral Iowa St +5.5 L by 19 -13.5