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Washington at Phoenix: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Jan 11, 2026 8:00 pm - Phoenix, AZ
Odds: Phoenix by 14.5, Total Points: 229.5

Matchup Menu: WAS @ PHO

More Games From Jan 11, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 229.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 229.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over
Over 229.5	Similar Games	56% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	WAS	PHO
Season	47-35-0	40-48-0
vs Division	10-6-0	6-12-0
vs Conference	33-19-0	27-31-0
Streak	Ov 2	Ov 3
Last 5	3-2-0	3-2-0
Last 10	6-4-0	6-4-0
Home	23-18-0	17-28-0
Away	24-17-0	23-20-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Washington Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Away	Milwaukee	228.0	120-133	Over	+25.0
10/24	Away	Dallas	228.5	117-107	Under	-4.5
10/26	Home	Charlotte	240.0	113-139	Over	+12.0
10/28	Home	Philadelphia	238.5	134-139	Over	+34.5
10/30	Away	Okla City	231.5	108-127	Over	+3.5
11/01	Home	Orlando	234.5	94-125	Under	-15.5
11/03	Away	New York	234.0	102-119	Under	-13.0
11/05	Away	Boston	232.5	107-136	Over	+10.5
11/07	Home	Cleveland	240.5	115-148	Over	+22.5
11/08	Home	Dallas	234.5	105-111	Under	-18.5
11/10	Away	Detroit	236.5	135-137	Over	+35.5
11/12	Away	Houston	236.5	112-135	Over	+10.5
11/16	Home	Brooklyn	231.5	106-129	Over	+3.5
11/19	Away	Minnesota	239.5	109-120	Under	-10.5
11/21	Away	Toronto	238.5	110-140	Over	+11.5
11/22	Away	Chicago	245.5	120-121	Under	-4.5
11/25	Home	Atlanta	239.5	132-113	Over	+5.5
11/28	Away	Indiana	239.5	86-119	Under	-34.5
12/01	Home	Milwaukee	232.5	129-126	Over	+22.5
12/02	Away	Philadelphia	234.5	102-121	Under	-11.5
12/04	Home	Boston	231.5	101-146	Over	+15.5
12/06	Home	Atlanta	237.5	116-131	Over	+9.5
12/12	Home	Cleveland	245.5	126-130	Over	+10.5
12/14	Away	Indiana	233.5	108-89	Under	-36.5
12/18	Away	San Antonio	241.5	94-119	Under	-28.5
12/20	Away	Memphis	233.5	130-122	Over	+18.5
12/21	Home	San Antonio	237.5	113-124	Under	-0.5
12/23	Away	Charlotte	239.5	109-126	Under	-4.5
12/26	Home	Toronto	225.5	138-117	Over	+29.5
12/28	Home	Memphis	241.5	116-112	Under	-13.5
12/29	Home	Phoenix	233.5	101-115	Under	-17.5
12/31	Away	Milwaukee	234.5	114-113	Under	-7.5
01/02	Home	Brooklyn	224.5	119-99	Under	-6.5
01/04	Home	Minnesota	239.5	115-141	Over	+16.5
01/06	Home	Orlando	235.5	120-112	Under	-3.5
01/07	Away	Philadelphia	234.5	110-131	Over	+6.5
01/09	Home	New Orleans	243.5	107-128	Under	-8.5
01/11	Away	Phoenix	229.5	93-112	Under	-24.5
01/14	Away	LA Clippers	226.5	105-119	Under	-2.5
01/16	Away	Sacramento	235.5	115-128	Over	+7.5
01/17	Away	Denver	227.5	115-121	Over	+8.5
01/19	Home	LA Clippers	227.5	106-110	Under	-11.5
01/22	Home	Denver	227.5	97-107	Under	-23.5
01/24	Away	Charlotte	232.5	115-119	Over	+1.5
01/27	Home	Portland	233.5	115-111	Under	-7.5
01/29	Home	Milwaukee	223.5	109-99	Under	-15.5
01/30	Home	LA Lakers	229.5	111-142	Over	+23.5
02/01	Home	Sacramento	227.5	116-112	Over	+0.5
02/03	Home	New York	227.5	101-132	Over	+5.5
02/05	Away	Detroit	227.5	126-117	Over	+15.5
02/07	Away	Brooklyn	216.5	113-127	Over	+23.5
02/08	Home	Miami	236.5	101-132	Under	-3.5
02/11	Away	Cleveland	239.5	113-138	Over	+11.5
02/19	Home	Indiana	233.5	112-105	Under	-16.5
02/20	Home	Indiana	230.5	131-118	Over	+18.5
02/22	Home	Charlotte	224.5	112-129	Over	+16.5
02/24	Away	Atlanta	236.5	98-119	Under	-19.5
02/26	Away	Atlanta	235.5	96-126	Under	-13.5
02/28	Home	Toronto	229.5	125-134	Over	+29.5
03/02	Home	Houston	225.5	118-123	Over	+15.5
03/03	Away	Orlando	227.5	109-126	Over	+7.5
03/05	Home	Utah	240.5	112-122	Under	-6.5
03/08	Away	New Orleans	244.5	118-138	Over	+11.5
03/10	Away	Miami	235.5	129-150	Over	+43.5
03/12	Away	Orlando	236.5	131-136	Over	+30.5
03/14	Away	Boston	233.5	100-111	Under	-22.5
03/16	Home	Golden State	234.5	117-125	Over	+7.5
03/17	Home	Detroit	234.5	117-130	Over	+12.5
03/19	Home	Detroit	231.5	95-117	Under	-19.5
03/21	Home	Okla City	231.5	111-132	Over	+11.5
03/22	Away	New York	229.5	113-145	Over	+28.5
03/25	Away	Utah	239.5	133-110	Over	+3.5
03/27	Away	Golden State	230.5	126-131	Over	+26.5
03/29	Away	Portland	236.5	88-123	Under	-25.5
03/30	Away	LA Lakers	236.5	101-120	Under	-15.5
04/01	Home	Philadelphia	238.5	131-153	Over	+45.5
04/04	Away	Miami	245.5	136-152	Over	+42.5
04/05	Away	Brooklyn	230.5	115-121	Over	+5.5
04/07	Home	Chicago	250.5	98-129	Under	-23.5
04/09	Home	Chicago	249.5	108-119	Under	-22.5
04/10	Home	Miami	244.5	117-140	Over	+12.5
04/12	Away	Cleveland	234.5	117-130	Over	+12.5

Phoenix Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
10/22	Home	Sacramento	228.5	120-116	Over	+7.5
10/24	Away	LA Clippers	224.0	102-129	Over	+7.0
10/25	Away	Denver	233.5	111-133	Over	+10.5
10/27	Away	Utah	230.0	134-138	Over	+42.0
10/29	Home	Memphis	242.0	113-114	Under	-15.0
10/31	Home	Utah	238.0	118-96	Under	-24.0
11/02	Home	San Antonio	227.5	130-118	Over	+20.5
11/04	Away	Golden State	235.5	107-118	Under	-10.5
11/06	Home	LA Clippers	224.5	115-102	Under	-7.5
11/08	Away	LA Clippers	226.5	114-103	Under	-9.5
11/10	Home	New Orleans	227.5	121-98	Under	-8.5
11/12	Away	Dallas	227.5	123-114	Over	+9.5
11/13	Home	Indiana	233.5	133-98	Under	-2.5
11/16	Home	Atlanta	226.5	122-124	Over	+19.5
11/18	Away	Portland	235.5	127-110	Over	+1.5
11/21	Home	Minnesota	230.5	114-113	Under	-3.5
11/23	Home	San Antonio	234.5	111-102	Under	-21.5
11/24	Home	Houston	224.5	92-114	Under	-18.5
11/26	Away	Sacramento	233.5	112-100	Under	-21.5
11/28	Away	Okla City	223.5	119-123	Over	+18.5
11/29	Home	Denver	233.5	112-130	Over	+8.5
12/01	Away	LA Lakers	231.5	125-108	Over	+1.5
12/05	Away	Houston	219.5	98-117	Under	-4.5
12/08	Away	Minnesota	226.5	108-105	Under	-13.5
12/10	Away	Okla City	221.5	89-138	Over	+5.5
12/14	Home	LA Lakers	231.5	114-116	Under	-1.5
12/18	Home	Golden State	229.5	99-98	Under	-32.5
12/20	Away	Golden State	226.5	116-119	Over	+8.5
12/23	Home	LA Lakers	226.5	132-108	Over	+13.5
12/26	Away	New Orleans	241.5	115-108	Under	-18.5
12/27	Away	New Orleans	241.5	123-114	Under	-4.5
12/29	Away	Washington	233.5	115-101	Under	-17.5
12/31	Away	Cleveland	233.5	113-129	Over	+8.5
01/02	Home	Sacramento	223.5	129-102	Over	+7.5
01/04	Home	Okla City	229.5	108-105	Under	-16.5
01/05	Away	Houston	222.5	97-100	Under	-25.5
01/07	Away	Memphis	231.5	117-98	Under	-16.5
01/09	Home	New York	228.5	112-107	Under	-9.5
01/11	Home	Washington	229.5	112-93	Under	-24.5
01/13	Away	Miami	230.5	121-127	Over	+17.5
01/15	Away	Detroit	219.5	105-108	Under	-6.5
01/17	Away	New York	224.5	106-99	Under	-19.5
01/19	Away	Brooklyn	214.5	126-117	Over	+28.5
01/20	Away	Philadelphia	223.5	116-110	Over	+2.5
01/23	Away	Atlanta	233.5	103-110	Under	-20.5
01/25	Home	Miami	225.5	102-111	Under	-12.5
01/27	Home	Brooklyn	210.5	106-102	Under	-2.5
01/29	Home	Detroit	213.5	114-96	Under	-3.5
01/30	Home	Cleveland	222.5	126-113	Over	+16.5
02/01	Home	LA Clippers	210.5	93-117	Under	-0.5
02/03	Away	Portland	219.5	130-125	Over	+35.5
02/05	Home	Golden State	213.5	97-101	Under	-15.5
02/07	Home	Philadelphia	225.5	103-109	Under	-13.5
02/10	Home	Dallas	229.5	120-111	Over	+1.5
02/11	Home	Okla City	215.5	109-136	Over	+29.5
02/19	Away	San Antonio	229.5	94-121	Under	-14.5
02/21	Home	Orlando	218.5	113-110	Over	+4.5
02/22	Home	Portland	224.5	77-92	Under	-55.5
02/24	Home	Boston	206.5	81-97	Under	-28.5
02/26	Home	LA Lakers	223.5	113-110	Under	-0.5
03/03	Away	Sacramento	224.5	114-103	Under	-7.5
03/05	Home	Chicago	224.5	103-105	Under	-16.5
03/06	Home	New Orleans	228.5	118-116	Over	+5.5
03/08	Home	Charlotte	218.5	111-99	Under	-8.5
03/10	Away	Milwaukee	219.5	129-114	Over	+23.5
03/12	Away	Indiana	222.5	123-108	Over	+8.5
03/13	Away	Toronto	221.5	115-122	Over	+15.5
03/16	Away	Boston	216.5	112-120	Over	+15.5
03/17	Away	Minnesota	220.5	104-116	Under	-0.5
03/19	Away	San Antonio	228.5	100-101	Under	-27.5
03/21	Home	Milwaukee	218.5	105-108	Under	-5.5
03/22	Home	Toronto	219.5	120-98	Under	-1.5
03/24	Home	Denver	233.5	123-125	Over	+14.5
03/28	Home	Utah	232.5	134-109	Over	+10.5
03/30	Away	Memphis	227.5	131-105	Over	+8.5
03/31	Away	Orlando	224.5	111-115	Over	+1.5
04/02	Away	Charlotte	225.5	107-127	Over	+8.5
04/05	Away	Chicago	240.5	120-110	Under	-10.5
04/07	Home	Houston	220.5	105-119	Over	+3.5
04/08	Home	Dallas	233.5	112-107	Under	-14.5
04/10	Away	LA Lakers	216.5	73-101	Under	-42.5
04/12	Away	Okla City	212.5	135-103	Over	+25.5
04/14	Home	Portland	215.5	110-114	Over	+8.5
04/17	Home	Golden State	219.5	111-96	Under	-12.5
04/19	Away	Okla City	215.5	84-119	Under	-12.5
04/22	Away	Okla City	215.5	107-120	Over	+11.5
04/25	Home	Okla City	212.5	109-121	Over	+17.5
04/27	Home	Okla City	215.5	122-131	Over	+37.5