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Houston at Miami: Point Spread Line Movement

Saturday Feb 28, 2026 3:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Houston by 2.5, Total Points: 226.5

HOU -2.5 Open -3.5 High -3.5
Last -1.5 Low -1.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NBA season there have been 938 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Houston won the game 545 times (58.1%).
  • The team like Miami won the game 393 times (41.9%).
  • The team like Houston did better against the spread, going 475-455-8 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 NBA season there have been 795 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Houston did better against the spread, going 393-389-13 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -- -2.5 --
Open -- -3.5 --
History
02/28 03:31 PM -- -2.5 --
02/28 03:16 PM -- -2.5 --
02/28 03:11 PM -- -2.5 --
02/28 03:06 PM -- -2.5 --
02/28 02:16 PM -- -1.5 --
02/28 02:04 PM -- -2.5 --
02/28 02:01 PM -- -1.5 --
02/28 01:21 PM -- -2.5 --
02/28 01:19 PM -- -1.5 --
02/28 12:56 PM -- -2.5 --
02/28 12:54 PM -- -2.5 --
02/28 12:51 PM -- -2.5 --
02/28 12:49 PM -- -2.5 --
02/28 12:46 PM -- -1.5 --
02/28 11:06 AM -- -2.5 --
02/28 10:51 AM -- -2.5 --
02/28 08:54 AM -- -2.5 --
02/28 08:34 AM -- -2.5 --
02/28 08:29 AM -- -3.5 --
02/28 08:09 AM -- -3.5 --
02/28 07:11 AM -- -3.5 --
02/28 01:36 AM -- -3.5 --
02/28 12:46 AM -- -3.5 --
02/28 12:41 AM -- -3.5 --
02/28 12:24 AM -- -3.5 --
02/28 12:16 AM -- -3.5 --
02/28 12:09 AM -- -3.5 --
02/27 11:51 PM -- -3.5 --
02/27 09:14 PM -- -3.5 --