This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NBA season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2026-27 NBA section, register for a free account.

Houston at Miami: Point Spread Analysis

Saturday Feb 28, 2026 3:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Houston by 2.5, Total Points: 226.5

Matchup Menu: HOU @ MIA

More Games From Feb 28, 2026

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Houston -2.5 Official TR Pick Houston 50% odds to cover
Houston -2.5 Decision Tree Houston 50% odds to cover
Miami +2.5 Power Rating Model Miami 54% odds to cover
Miami +2.5 Similar Games Miami 57% odds to cover
Miami +2.5 Predictive Ratings Miami 56% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record HOU adv MIA
Season 38-50-0 47-36-0
vs Division 4-12-0 12-6-0
vs Conference 22-36-0 30-23-0
Streak L1 W3
Last 5 2-3-0 3-2-0
Last 10 5-5-0 4-6-0
Home 18-26-0 23-18-0
Away 20-24-0 24-18-0

Houston Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/21 Away Okla City +6.5 L by 1 +5.5
10/24 Home Detroit -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
10/27 Home Brooklyn -16.0 W by 28 +12.0
10/29 Away Toronto -5.5 W by 18 +12.5
11/01 Away Boston -4.5 W by 27 +22.5
11/03 Home Dallas -12.0 W by 8 -4.0
11/05 Away Memphis -7.5 W by 15 +7.5
11/07 Away San Antonio -4.5 L by 11 -15.5
11/09 Away Milwaukee -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
11/12 Home Washington -16.5 W by 23 +6.5
11/14 Home Portland -7.5 W by 24 +16.5
11/16 Home Orlando -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/19 Away Cleveland -1.5 W by 10 +8.5
11/21 Home Denver -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
11/24 Away Phoenix -6.5 W by 22 +15.5
11/26 Away Golden State +3.5 W by 4 +7.5
11/30 Away Utah -11.5 W by 28 +16.5
12/01 Away Utah -11.5 L by 8 -19.5
12/03 Home Sacramento -15.5 W by 26 +10.5
12/05 Home Phoenix -9.5 W by 19 +9.5
12/06 Away Dallas -6.5 L by 13 -19.5
12/11 Home LA Clippers -8.5 W by 2 -6.5
12/15 Away Denver -1.5 L by 3 -4.5
12/18 Away New Orleans -9.5 L by 5 -14.5
12/20 Away Denver +1.5 W by 14 +15.5
12/21 Away Sacramento -12.5 L by 1 -13.5
12/23 Away LA Clippers -7.5 L by 20 -27.5
12/25 Away LA Lakers -2.5 W by 23 +20.5
12/27 Home Cleveland -2.5 W by 17 +14.5
12/29 Home Indiana -12.5 W by 7 -5.5
01/01 Away Brooklyn -13.5 W by 24 +10.5
01/03 Away Dallas -8.5 L by 6 -14.5
01/05 Home Phoenix -8.5 W by 3 -5.5
01/07 Away Portland -7.5 L by 1 -8.5
01/09 Away Portland -6.5 L by 6 -12.5
01/11 Away Sacramento -14.5 L by 13 -27.5
01/13 Home Chicago -12.5 W by 6 -6.5
01/15 Home Okla City +4.5 L by 20 -15.5
01/16 Home Minnesota -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
01/18 Home New Orleans -13.5 W by 9 -4.5
01/20 Home San Antonio -4.5 W by 5 +0.5
01/22 Away Philadelphia -2.5 L by 6 -8.5
01/23 Away Detroit +4.5 W by 7 +11.5
01/26 Home Memphis -11.5 W by 9 -2.5
01/28 Home San Antonio -2.5 L by 12 -14.5
01/29 Away Atlanta -6.5 W by 18 +11.5
01/31 Home Dallas -10.5 W by 4 -6.5
02/02 Away Indiana -6.5 W by 4 -2.5
02/04 Home Boston -8.5 L by 21 -29.5
02/05 Home Charlotte -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
02/07 Away Okla City +3.5 W by 6 +9.5
02/10 Home LA Clippers -9.5 W by 7 -2.5
02/11 Home LA Clippers -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
02/19 Away Charlotte -4.5 W by 4 -0.5
02/21 Away New York +3.5 L by 2 +1.5
02/23 Home Utah -13.5 W by 20 +6.5
02/25 Home Sacramento -13.5 W by 31 +17.5
02/26 Away Orlando -2.5 W by 5 +2.5
02/28 Away Miami -2.5 L by 10 -12.5
03/02 Away Washington -14.5 W by 5 -9.5
03/05 Home Golden State -9.5 L by 2 -11.5
03/06 Home Portland -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/08 Away San Antonio +5.5 L by 25 -19.5
03/10 Home Toronto -4.5 W by 14 +9.5
03/11 Away Denver +6.5 L by 36 -29.5
03/13 Home New Orleans -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
03/16 Home LA Lakers +1.5 L by 8 -6.5
03/18 Home LA Lakers -1.5 L by 8 -9.5
03/20 Home Atlanta -2.5 W by 22 +19.5
03/21 Home Miami -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
03/23 Away Chicago -8.5 L by 8 -16.5
03/25 Away Minnesota -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
03/27 Away Memphis -13.5 W by 10 -3.5
03/29 Away New Orleans -5.5 W by 32 +26.5
03/31 Home New York +1.5 W by 17 +18.5
04/01 Home Milwaukee -18.5 W by 6 -12.5
04/03 Home Utah -17.5 W by 34 +16.5
04/05 Away Golden State -3.5 W by 1 -2.5
04/07 Away Phoenix -1.5 W by 14 +12.5
04/09 Home Philadelphia -6.5 W by 11 +4.5
04/10 Home Minnesota -9.5 L by 4 -13.5
04/12 Home Memphis -14.5 W by 31 +16.5
04/18 Away LA Lakers -2.5 L by 9 -11.5
04/21 Away LA Lakers -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
04/24 Home LA Lakers -7.5 L by 4 -11.5
04/26 Home LA Lakers -4.5 W by 19 +14.5
04/29 Away LA Lakers +3.5 W by 6 +9.5
05/01 Home LA Lakers -4.5 L by 20 -24.5

Miami Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Orlando +8.0 L by 4 +4.0
10/24 Away Memphis +3.0 W by 32 +35.0
10/26 Home New York +3.5 W by 8 +11.5
10/28 Home Charlotte -6.5 W by 27 +20.5
10/30 Away San Antonio +5.5 L by 6 -0.5
11/02 Away LA Lakers +5.0 L by 10 -5.0
11/03 Away LA Clippers +8.0 W by 1 +9.0
11/05 Away Denver +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
11/07 Home Charlotte -7.5 W by 18 +10.5
11/08 Home Portland +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/10 Home Cleveland +7.5 W by 2 +9.5
11/12 Home Cleveland -5.5 L by 14 -19.5
11/14 Away New York +6.5 L by 8 -1.5
11/17 Home New York -1.5 W by 2 +0.5
11/19 Home Golden State -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
11/21 Away Chicago +2.5 W by 36 +38.5
11/23 Away Philadelphia +1.5 W by 10 +11.5
11/24 Home Dallas -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
11/26 Home Milwaukee -10.5 W by 3 -7.5
11/29 Home Detroit -3.5 L by 3 -6.5
12/01 Home LA Clippers -6.5 W by 17 +10.5
12/03 Away Dallas -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/05 Away Orlando +6.5 L by 1 +5.5
12/06 Home Sacramento -8.5 L by 16 -24.5
12/09 Away Orlando +1.5 L by 9 -7.5
12/15 Home Toronto -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
12/18 Away Brooklyn -8.5 W by 11 +2.5
12/19 Away Boston +7.5 L by 13 -5.5
12/21 Away New York +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
12/23 Home Toronto -5.5 L by 21 -26.5
12/26 Away Atlanta +2.5 W by 15 +17.5
12/27 Home Indiana -6.5 W by 26 +19.5
12/29 Home Denver +1.5 W by 24 +25.5
01/01 Away Detroit +4.5 W by 6 +10.5
01/03 Home Minnesota +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
01/04 Home New Orleans -7.5 W by 19 +11.5
01/06 Away Minnesota +5.5 L by 28 -22.5
01/10 Away Indiana -6.5 L by 24 -30.5
01/11 Away Okla City +15.5 L by 12 +3.5
01/13 Home Phoenix -1.5 W by 6 +4.5
01/15 Home Boston +2.5 L by 5 -2.5
01/17 Home Okla City +11.5 W by 2 +13.5
01/19 Away Golden State +5.5 L by 23 -17.5
01/20 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
01/22 Away Portland +3.5 L by 17 -13.5
01/24 Away Utah -6.5 W by 31 +24.5
01/25 Away Phoenix +4.5 W by 9 +13.5
01/28 Home Orlando -3.5 L by 9 -12.5
01/29 Away Chicago -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
01/31 Home Chicago -5.5 L by 7 -12.5
02/01 Home Chicago -5.5 W by 43 +37.5
02/03 Home Atlanta -1.5 L by 12 -13.5
02/06 Away Boston +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
02/08 Away Washington -12.5 W by 31 +18.5
02/09 Home Utah -6.5 L by 4 -10.5
02/11 Away New Orleans +1.5 W by 12 +13.5
02/20 Away Atlanta -3.5 W by 31 +27.5
02/21 Home Memphis -11.5 W by 16 +4.5
02/24 Away Milwaukee -6.5 L by 11 -17.5
02/26 Away Philadelphia +2.5 L by 7 -4.5
02/28 Home Houston +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
03/03 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 26 +13.5
03/05 Home Brooklyn -12.5 W by 16 +3.5
03/06 Away Charlotte +7.5 W by 8 +15.5
03/08 Home Detroit +1.5 W by 11 +12.5
03/10 Home Washington -15.5 W by 21 +5.5
03/12 Home Milwaukee -6.5 W by 7 +0.5
03/14 Home Orlando -4.5 L by 4 -8.5
03/17 Away Charlotte +5.5 L by 30 -24.5
03/19 Home LA Lakers -3.5 L by 8 -11.5
03/21 Away Houston +2.5 L by 1 +1.5
03/23 Home San Antonio +3.5 L by 25 -21.5
03/25 Away Cleveland +2.5 W by 17 +19.5
03/27 Away Cleveland +5.5 L by 21 -15.5
03/29 Away Indiana -8.5 L by 17 -25.5
03/30 Home Philadelphia +2.5 W by 10 +12.5
04/01 Home Boston +4.5 L by 18 -13.5
04/04 Home Washington -17.5 W by 16 -1.5
04/07 Away Toronto +1.5 L by 26 -24.5
04/09 Away Toronto +3.5 L by 14 -10.5
04/10 Away Washington -15.5 W by 23 +7.5
04/12 Home Atlanta -10.5 W by 26 +15.5
04/14 Away Charlotte +6.5 L by 1 +5.5