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Saturday Feb 28, 2026 3:30 pm -
Miami, FL
Odds:
Houston by 2.5,
Total Points:
226.5
| Game Winner Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
| Houston |
|
| HOU |
55.8% |
| MIA |
44.2% |
| ATS Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
HOU -2.5 |
|
| HOU |
50.2% |
| MIA |
49.8% |
| Totals Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Under 226.5 |
|
| Over |
48.4% |
| Under |
51.6% |
| Money Line Value Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Lay Off |
|
| HOU |
-3.4% |
| MIA |
-1.6% |
| Final Score Projection |
Vegas Implied | Actual |
| HOU |
114.2 |
114.5 | 105 |
| MIA |
111.6 |
112.0 | 115 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
HOU |
MIA |
| Points/Game |
114.1 |
120.9 |
| Avg Score Margin |
+4.7 |
+2.3 |
| Fastbreak Pts/Gm |
14.1 |
18.4 |
| Pts in Paint/Gm |
52.7 |
54.7 |
| Assists/Game |
25.1 |
29.0 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm |
57.2 |
55.0 |
| Effective FG % |
53.8% |
54.2% |
| Off Rebound % |
34.4% |
25.3% |
| FTA/FGA |
0.262 |
0.266 |
| Turnover % |
13.2% |
11.4% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
HOU |
MIA |
| Opp Points/Game |
109.4 |
118.6 |
| Opp Effective FG % |
53.1% |
54.0% |
| Opp Pts in Paint/Gm |
48.9 |
52.0 |
| Off Rebounds/Gm |
14.9 |
11.8 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm |
32.7 |
34.5 |
| Blocks/Game |
5.7 |
4.3 |
| Steals/Game |
8.8 |
8.6 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm |
18.5 |
18.7 |