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Houston at Miami: Recap

Saturday Feb 28, 2026 3:30 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Houston by 2.5, Total Points: 226.5

Matchup Menu: HOU @ MIA

More Games From Feb 28, 2026
Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Houston HOU 55.8%
MIA 44.2%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
HOU -2.5 HOU 50.2%
MIA 49.8%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 226.5 Over 48.4%
Under 51.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off HOU -3.4%
MIA -1.6%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
HOU 114.2 114.5 105
MIA 111.6 112.0 115

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat HOU MIA
Points/Game 114.1 120.9
Avg Score Margin +4.7 +2.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 14.1 18.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 52.7 54.7
Assists/Game 25.1 29.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 57.2 55.0
Effective FG % 53.8% 54.2%
Off Rebound % 34.4% 25.3%
FTA/FGA 0.262 0.266
Turnover % 13.2% 11.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat HOU MIA
Opp Points/Game 109.4 118.6
Opp Effective FG % 53.1% 54.0%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 48.9 52.0
Off Rebounds/Gm 14.9 11.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 32.7 34.5
Blocks/Game 5.7 4.3
Steals/Game 8.8 8.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.5 18.7