Sugar Bowl Playoff Quarterfinal: Mississippi vs. Georgia: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Jan 1, 2026 8:00 pm - New Orleans, LA (Neutral Site)
Odds: Georgia by 6, Total Points: 53.5

Matchup Menu: MISS vs. UGA

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 53.5 Official TR Pick 54% odds to go under
Under 53.5 Similar Games 57% odds to go under
Under 53.5 Decision Tree 54% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record MISS UGA
Season 8-7-0 6-8-0
vs Conference 6-3-0 5-5-0
Streak Ov 2 Ov 1
Last 5 3-2-0 1-4-0
Last 10 5-5-0 4-6-0
Home 3-6-0 3-4-0
Away 5-1-0 3-4-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Mississippi Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
08/30 Home Georgia St 60.5 63-7 Over +9.5
09/06 Away Kentucky 50.0 30-23 Over +3.0
09/13 Home Arkansas 59.5 41-35 Over +16.5
09/20 Home Tulane 61.0 45-10 Under -6.0
09/27 Home LSU 57.0 24-19 Under -14.0
10/11 Home Washington St 59.0 24-21 Under -14.0
10/18 Away Georgia 57.0 35-43 Over +21.0
10/25 Away Oklahoma 52.5 34-26 Over +7.5
11/01 Home South Carolina 55.5 30-14 Under -11.5
11/08 Home The Citadel 63.5 49-0 Under -14.5
11/15 Home Florida 53.5 34-24 Over +4.5
11/28 Away Mississippi St 63.0 38-19 Under -6.0
12/20 Home Tulane 57.5 41-10 Under -6.5
01/01 Neutral Georgia 53.5 39-34 Over +19.5
01/08 Neutral Miami 52.5 27-31 Over +5.5

Georgia Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
08/30 Home Marshall 51.0 45-7 Over +1.0
09/06 Home Austin Peay 55.5 28-6 Under -21.5
09/13 Away Tennessee 50.0 44-41 Over +35.0
09/27 Home Alabama 54.0 21-24 Under -9.0
10/04 Home Kentucky 48.5 35-14 Over +0.5
10/11 Away Auburn 46.5 20-10 Under -16.5
10/18 Home Mississippi 57.0 43-35 Over +21.0
11/01 Neutral Florida 50.5 24-20 Under -6.5
11/08 Away Mississippi St 56.0 41-21 Over +6.0
11/15 Home Texas 49.5 35-10 Under -4.5
11/22 Home Charlotte 53.5 35-3 Under -15.5
11/28 Neutral Georgia Tech 59.5 16-9 Under -34.5
12/06 Neutral Alabama 48.5 28-7 Under -13.5
01/01 Neutral Mississippi 53.5 34-39 Over +19.5