Sugar Bowl Playoff Quarterfinal: Mississippi vs. Georgia: Over/Under Analysis
Thursday Jan 1, 2026 8:00 pm -
New Orleans, LA
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Georgia by 6,
Total Points:
53.5
Matchup Menu: MISS vs. UGA
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 53.5 | Official TR Pick | 54% odds to go under |
| Under 53.5 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go under |
| Under 53.5 | Decision Tree | 54% odds to go under |
Over/Under Situational Trends
| Record | MISS | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Season | 1-1-0 | 2-0-0 |
| vs Conference | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Streak | Un 1 | Ov 2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1-0 | 2-0-0 |
| Last 10 | 1-1-0 | 2-0-0 |
| Home | 0-1-0 | 2-0-0 |
| Away | 1-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
Records denote overs-unders-pushes
Mississippi Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/30 | Home | Georgia St | 60.5 | 63-7 | Over | +9.5 |
| 09/06 | Away | Kentucky | 50.0 | 30-23 | Over | +3.0 |
| 09/13 | Home | Arkansas | 59.5 | 41-35 | Over | +16.5 |
| 09/20 | Home | Tulane | 61.0 | 45-10 | Under | -6.0 |
| 09/27 | Home | LSU | 57.0 | 24-19 | Under | -14.0 |
| 10/11 | Home | Washington St | 59.0 | 24-21 | Under | -14.0 |
| 10/18 | Away | Georgia | 57.0 | 35-43 | Over | +21.0 |
| 10/25 | Away | Oklahoma | 52.5 | 34-26 | Over | +7.5 |
| 11/01 | Home | South Carolina | 55.5 | 30-14 | Under | -11.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | The Citadel | 63.5 | 49-0 | Under | -14.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Florida | 53.5 | 34-24 | Over | +4.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | Mississippi St | 63.0 | 38-19 | Under | -6.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Tulane | 57.5 | 41-10 | Under | -6.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Georgia | 53.5 | 39-34 | Over | +19.5 |
| 01/08 | Neutral | Miami | 52.5 | 27-31 | Over | +5.5 |
Georgia Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/30 | Home | Marshall | 51.0 | 45-7 | Over | +1.0 |
| 09/06 | Home | Austin Peay | 55.5 | 28-6 | Under | -21.5 |
| 09/13 | Away | Tennessee | 50.0 | 44-41 | Over | +35.0 |
| 09/27 | Home | Alabama | 54.0 | 21-24 | Under | -9.0 |
| 10/04 | Home | Kentucky | 48.5 | 35-14 | Over | +0.5 |
| 10/11 | Away | Auburn | 46.5 | 20-10 | Under | -16.5 |
| 10/18 | Home | Mississippi | 57.0 | 43-35 | Over | +21.0 |
| 11/01 | Neutral | Florida | 50.5 | 24-20 | Under | -6.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Mississippi St | 56.0 | 41-21 | Over | +6.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Texas | 49.5 | 35-10 | Under | -4.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Charlotte | 53.5 | 35-3 | Under | -15.5 |
| 11/28 | Neutral | Georgia Tech | 59.5 | 16-9 | Under | -34.5 |
| 12/06 | Neutral | Alabama | 48.5 | 28-7 | Under | -13.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Mississippi | 53.5 | 34-39 | Over | +19.5 |