Duke's Mayo Bowl: Wake Forest vs. Mississippi St: Point Spread Analysis

Friday Jan 2, 2026 8:00 pm - Charlotte, NC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Mississippi State by 3, Total Points: 52.5

Matchup Menu: WAKE vs. MSST

More Games From Bowl Week

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Wake Forest +3.0 Official TR Pick Wake Forest 52% odds to cover
Wake Forest +3.0 Power Ratings Wake Forest 71% odds to cover
Wake Forest +3.0 Similar Games Wake Forest 62% odds to cover
Wake Forest +3.0 Decision Tree Wake Forest 53% odds to cover
Mississippi St -3.0 Predictive Ratings Mississippi St 54% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record WAKE adv MSST
Season 9-4-0 8-5-0
vs Conference 5-3-0 4-4-0
Streak W1 L4
Last 5 4-1-0 1-4-0
Last 10 8-2-0 5-5-0
Home 5-2-0 5-2-0
Away 4-2-0 3-3-0

Wake Forest Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/29 Home Kennesaw St -18.5 W by 1 -17.5
09/06 Home W Carolina -17.5 W by 32 +14.5
09/11 Home NC State +7.0 L by 10 -3.0
09/27 Home Georgia Tech +13.5 L by 1 +12.5
10/04 Away Virginia Tech +5.0 W by 7 +12.0
10/11 Away Oregon St -1.5 W by 25 +23.5
10/25 Home SMU +5.5 W by 1 +6.5
11/01 Away Florida St +11.5 L by 35 -23.5
11/08 Away Virginia +7.0 W by 7 +14.0
11/15 Home North Carolina -3.5 W by 16 +12.5
11/22 Home Delaware -18.0 W by 38 +20.0
11/29 Away Duke +2.5 L by 17 -14.5
01/02 Neutral Mississippi St +3.0 W by 14 +17.0

Mississippi St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
08/30 Away Southern Miss -14.0 W by 17 +3.0
09/06 Home Arizona St +6.0 W by 4 +10.0
09/13 Home Alcorn State -42.5 W by 63 +20.5
09/20 Home N Illinois -24.0 W by 28 +4.0
09/27 Home Tennessee +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
10/04 Away Texas A&M +17.5 L by 22 -4.5
10/18 Away Florida +9.5 L by 2 +7.5
10/25 Home Texas +7.5 L by 7 +0.5
11/01 Away Arkansas +4.5 W by 3 +7.5
11/08 Home Georgia +9.5 L by 20 -10.5
11/15 Away Missouri +7.0 L by 22 -15.0
11/28 Home Mississippi +7.0 L by 19 -12.0
01/02 Neutral Wake Forest -3.0 L by 14 -17.0