Xbox Bowl: Missouri St vs. Arkansas St: Over/Under Analysis

Thursday Dec 18, 2025 8:03 pm - Frisco, TX (Neutral Site)
Odds: Arkansas State by 1.5, Total Points: 55

Matchup Menu: MOST vs. ARST

More Games From Bowl Week

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 55.0 Official TR Pick 51% odds to go under
Under 55.0 Similar Games 55% odds to go under
Under 55.0 Decision Tree 51% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record MOST ARST
Season 5-8-0 5-8-0
vs Conference 1-5-0 2-5-0
Streak Ov 4 Ov 3
Last 5 4-1-0 3-2-0
Last 10 4-6-0 3-7-0
Home 2-4-0 2-4-0
Away 3-4-0 3-4-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Missouri St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
08/30 Away USC 60.0 13-73 Over +26.0
09/06 Away Marshall 53.5 21-20 Under -12.5
09/13 Home SMU 60.5 10-28 Under -22.5
09/20 Home TN Martin 55.5 42-10 Under -3.5
09/27 Home W Kentucky 60.0 22-27 Under -11.0
10/08 Away Middle Tenn 51.5 22-20 Under -9.5
10/22 Away New Mexico St 51.5 24-17 Under -10.5
10/29 Home Florida Intl 50.5 28-21 Under -1.5
11/08 Away Liberty 51.5 21-17 Under -13.5
11/15 Home UTEP 47.5 38-24 Over +14.5
11/22 Away Kennesaw St 54.5 34-41 Over +20.5
11/29 Home Louisiana Tech 45.0 30-42 Over +27.0
12/18 Neutral Arkansas St 55.0 28-34 Over +7.0

Arkansas St Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
08/30 Home SE Missouri 59.5 42-24 Over +6.5
09/06 Away Arkansas 62.5 14-56 Over +7.5
09/13 Home Iowa St 55.5 16-24 Under -15.5
09/20 Away Kennesaw St 57.5 21-28 Under -8.5
09/27 Away UL Monroe 54.5 16-28 Under -10.5
10/04 Home Texas St 63.5 31-30 Under -2.5
10/14 Away S Alabama 57.5 15-14 Under -28.5
10/25 Home Georgia So 59.5 34-24 Under -1.5
11/01 Away Troy 52.5 23-10 Under -19.5
11/08 Home Southern Miss 54.5 21-27 Under -6.5
11/20 Home Louisiana 54.0 30-34 Over +10.0
11/29 Away App State 55.0 30-29 Over +4.0
12/18 Neutral Missouri St 55.0 34-28 Over +7.0