Gator Bowl: Virginia vs. Missouri: Point Spread Line Movement

Saturday Dec 27, 2025 7:30 pm - Jacksonville, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Missouri by 4, Total Points: 43.5

More Games From Bowl Week
MIZZ -4.0 Open -7.0 High -7.0
Last -3.5 Low -3.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 college football season there have been 94 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Missouri won the game 53 times (56.4%).
  • The team like Virginia won the game 41 times (43.6%).
  • The team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 50-41-3 (54.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 college football season there have been 83 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Missouri did better against the spread, going 42-40-1 (51.2% ATS).

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -4.0 -4.0 --
Open -7.0 -7.0 --
History
12/27 07:04 PM -4.0 -- --
12/27 06:58 PM -4.5 -- --
12/27 06:35 PM -- -4.0 --
12/27 06:25 PM -- -3.5 --
12/27 06:15 PM -- -4.0 --
12/26 11:55 AM -- -4.0 --
12/23 08:58 AM -4.0 -- --
12/18 11:25 AM -- -4.5 --
12/18 11:15 AM -- -4.5 --
12/18 11:14 AM -4.0 -- --
12/17 08:28 AM -6.5 -- --
12/09 08:45 AM -- -6.5 --
12/09 08:38 AM -7.0 -- --
12/09 08:34 AM -6.5 -- --
12/09 08:14 AM -7.0 -- --
12/08 04:08 PM -7.0 -- --
12/07 10:35 PM -- -7.0 --
12/07 07:44 PM -7.0 -- --