Toronto at Golden State: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Aug 2, 2026 8:30 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Golden State by 14.5, Total Points: 164.5

Matchup Menu: TOR @ GSV

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Box Score Projection

Scoring	TOR	GSV
Points	76.3	90.4
Total Points		166.7
Points From 2-Pointers	32.4	39.3
Points From 3-Pointers	27.2	35.1
Points From Free Throws	16.7	16.0

Shooting	TOR	GSV
Field Goals Made	25.3	31.3
Field Goals Attempted	62.9	71.0
Field Goal %	40.2%	44.1%
2 Pointers Made	16.2	19.6
2 Pointers Attempted	35.0	37.5
2 Point Shooting %	46.2%	52.3%
3 Pointers Made	9.1	11.7
3 Pointers Attempted	27.9	33.5
3 Point Shooting %	32.5%	34.9%
Free Throws Made	16.7	16.0
Free Throws Attempted	21.0	20.3
Free Throw %	79.5%	78.7%

Ball Control	TOR	GSV
Rebounds	38.6	43.1
Rebounds - Defensive	28.6	29.7
Rebounds - Offensive	10.0	13.3
Turnovers	14.2	9.6
Blocked Shots	2.5	4.0
Steals	4.7	7.5
Fouls	18.0	17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Toronto

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats	TOR	GSV
Total Possessions	80.1
Effective Scoring Chances	75.9	83.8

% of Possessions with	TOR	GSV
2 Point Attempt	38.2%	39.7%
3 Point Attempt	30.4%	35.4%
Player Fouled	21.9%	22.5%
Turnover	17.7%	12.0%
Opponent Steal	9.3%	5.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken	TOR	GSV
Shot Blocked	5.7%	4.1%
Offensive Rebound	25.1%	31.8%